AI correctly predicted the Fortaleza EC win.
The match finished 0–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Cấp dự đoán
F
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (1 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-1 ✔ Chính xác
Mô hình so với thị trường đóng cửa
| kết quả | Người mẫu | Thị trường đóng cửa | Sự khác biệt | Tín hiệu |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América Mineiro | 23.1% | 24.7% | -1.6 pp | Aligned |
| Draw | 26.5% | 27.2% | -0.7 pp | Aligned |
| Fortaleza EC | 50.5% | 48.1% | +2.3 pp | Aligned |
The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Sau toàn thời gian, độ nghiêng định hướng của mô hình khớp với kết quả (Fortaleza EC win 0–1).
Market Assessment
The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.
- Current pricing remains close to the model baseline.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Fortaleza EC attacking xG significantly stronger (1.75 vs 1.13)
- Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Fortaleza EC win 0–1).
Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay
Dòng thời gian dự đoán
Dự đoán này chuyển từ dự báo sang đánh giá toàn thời gian như thế nào.
-
Oct 07, 2026 · 19:21 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · América Mineiro 23.1% · Draw 26.4% · Fortaleza EC 50.5%
- xG · América Mineiro 1.13 — Fortaleza EC 1.75
-
Oct 07, 2026 · 23:09 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE20
- 1X2 odds · América Mineiro 4.20 · Draw 3.30 · Fortaleza EC 1.86
- Implied 1X2 · América Mineiro 22.1% · Draw 28.1% · Fortaleza EC 49.8%
- Bookmaker · bet365 us
-
Oct 07, 2026 · 23:29 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · América Mineiro 3.80 · Draw 3.45 · Fortaleza EC 1.95
- Implied 1X2 · América Mineiro 24.7% · Draw 27.2% · Fortaleza EC 48.1%
- Bookmaker · kto br
-
Oct 07, 2026 · 23:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Fortaleza EC win · 0–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Ảnh chụp lịch sử
Bị treo khi bắt đầu — kết quả đầu ra của mô hình như trước khi trận đấu bắt đầu.
Phán quyết lịch sử:
Observe
Quyết định lịch sử
No Primary Bet
kết quả
Validated
Số liệu trước trận đấu (bối cảnh lịch sử)
Độ tin cậy dự đoán
78/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Chứng cớ
★★★★★
- Moderate model lean
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Market Compatibility
88/100
Betting Confidence
81/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.95
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Fortaleza EC win · América Mineiro 0–1 Fortaleza EC
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Xem lại câu hỏi thường gặp
- Dự đoán đó chính xác đến mức nào?
- Trang này xếp loại các thị trường định hướng (1X2, Trên/Dưới 2,5, BTTS) so với kết quả toàn thời gian. Mức dự đoán phản ánh có bao nhiêu thị trường được theo dõi phù hợp với thực tế.
- Độ chính xác xG đo lường điều gì?
- Độ chính xác của xG so sánh hồ sơ bàn thắng dự kiến trước trận đấu của mô hình với tỷ số thực tế — chứ không phải liệu mọi thị trường có thành công hay không. Đánh giá mang tính định hướng mạnh mẽ có thể cùng tồn tại với điểm chính xác xG vừa phải.
- Tại sao tỷ số chính xác không được dự đoán?
- Các kết quả có tỷ số chính xác là các kết quả có xác suất thấp ngay cả khi mô hình đọc tốt hồ sơ trận đấu. Chúng tôi nêu bật các thùng điểm cao nhất cho ngữ cảnh; thiếu dòng chính xác không làm mất hiệu lực của đánh giá định hướng.
- Điều này có cải thiện bản ghi AI không?
- Mỗi trận đấu kết thúc sẽ được ghi vào hệ thống xác thực của chúng tôi. Tỷ lệ trúng tổng hợp và nghiên cứu CLV được xuất bản riêng - trang này là đường dẫn kiểm tra mỗi trận đấu.
Dự đoán chỉ nhằm mục đích thông tin. Luôn đánh bạc có trách nhiệm và trong giới hạn của bạn. Hiệu suất trong quá khứ không đảm bảo kết quả trong tương lai.
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
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"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Fortaleza EC).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 69,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0647,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.5%",
"consensus_odds": 1.875,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4903,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.5048,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5333333333333333,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0535,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.3%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 29.6,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.62"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.62
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "8/9",
"breadth_ratio": 0.8888888888888888,
"evidence": {
"score": 86,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "Moderate model lean",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift supports model side (direction only \u2014 not pricing convergence)",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation pending",
"status": "caution"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pending",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift aligns with model",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 25.0,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 8.9,
"steam_coherence": 10.0,
"validation": 8.0
},
"score": 69,
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 0.0,
"market_agreement": "unknown",
"max_gap_pp": 0.0,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.75,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 30.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.13,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.75,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.13 \u00b7 Away xG 1.75 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +30%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": true,
"mv_status": "pending",
"odds_delta_pct": 26.2,
"steam_conflicts": false,
"steam_move_display": "\u2191 +26.2%",
"steam_team": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 72,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 92,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 50,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 92,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Fortaleza EC).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.5,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Fortaleza EC)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.5,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Fortaleza EC)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1584,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1584,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.1,
"decision_strength_v1": 7.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.6,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 72,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Fortaleza EC at 50.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 49.0%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Fortaleza EC as the value side (50.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Fortaleza EC",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +15.8% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.1/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +15.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "69 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "72 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+15.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Fortaleza EC).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 69,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0647,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.5%",
"consensus_odds": 1.875,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4903,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.5048,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5333333333333333,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0535,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.3%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 29.6,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.62"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.62
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Am\u00e9rica Mineiro 1.13 xG vs Fortaleza EC 1.75 \u2192 Fortaleza EC 50.5%",
"Market Drift: Am\u00e9rica Mineiro odds \u2191 +26.2%"
],
"one_liner": "Fortaleza EC projects stronger on expected goals (+0.62 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 23.1,
"label": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 26.46,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 50.45,
"label": "Fortaleza EC",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.72,
"fair_prob": 54.9,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 46.18,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.72,
"fair_prob": 45.1,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 53.82,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.3,
"fair_prob": 57.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 50.1,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.3,
"fair_prob": 42.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 49.9,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations.",
"comparison_available": false,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "unknown",
"max_gap_pp": 0.0,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "",
"edge_label_key": "",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Fortaleza EC",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "\u2014",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 49.0,
"model_prob_gap_display": "+1.5 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": 1.5,
"model_prob_pct": 50.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "+1.5 percentage points",
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"label": "High",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
},
"reliability_headline": "Moderate reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 69,
"reliability_tier": "moderate",
"summary": "Fortaleza EC \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pending",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 72,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 92,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 50,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 92,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Am\u00e9rica Mineiro 1.13 xG vs Fortaleza EC 1.75 \u2192 Fortaleza EC 50.5%",
"Market Drift: Am\u00e9rica Mineiro odds \u2191 +26.2%"
],
"one_liner": "Fortaleza EC projects stronger on expected goals (+0.62 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": false,
"hero_edge_pp": null,
"hero_label": "",
"hero_side": null,
"market_activity": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro odds lengthened \u2191 +26.2%.",
"market_agreement": "unknown",
"market_agreement_label": "\u2014",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 0.0,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pending",
"status": "pending"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pending",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 24.0 pp (at 50.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 24.0,
"max_prob_pct": 50.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "aligned",
"largest_gap_label": "",
"largest_gap_pp": null,
"lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
"level": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 0.0,
"title": "Broadly Aligned"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": null,
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob_pct": 23.1,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"market_prob_pct": null,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "",
"signal_label": ""
},
{
"difference_pp": null,
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob_pct": 26.46,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": null,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "",
"signal_label": ""
},
{
"difference_pp": null,
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob_pct": 50.45,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Fortaleza EC",
"market_prob_pct": null,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "",
"signal_label": ""
}
],
"status": "unknown",
"status_label": "\u2014",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical model leans Fortaleza EC (50.5%).",
"However, Am\u00e9rica Mineiro has seen one of the strongest multi-book drifts of the day (\u2191 +26.2%, 8/9) \u2014 odds lengthened, not shortened.",
"Fortaleza EC \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": null,
"closing_odds": null,
"closing_reason": "Expected before kickoff",
"closing_status": "waiting",
"closing_status_label": "Waiting",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "market_monitoring",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
"entry_implied_pct": 24.39,
"entry_odds": 4.1,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pending",
"model_validation_status": "pending",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 8,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +26.2%",
"odds_delta_pct": 26.2
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +15.8%",
"odds_delta_pct": 15.8
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +15.2%",
"odds_delta_pct": 15.2
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 7,
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +15.2%",
"odds_delta_pct": 15.2
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 3,
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +14.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": 14.7
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +12.0%",
"odds_delta_pct": 12.0
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +10.0%",
"odds_delta_pct": 10.0
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 5,
"bookmaker_name": "SBO",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +5.9%",
"odds_delta_pct": 5.9
}
],
"books_total": 9,
"breadth_display": "8/9",
"clv_label": "Waiting for Close",
"clv_status": "waiting",
"current_odds": 4.1,
"is_drift": true,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +26.2%",
"move_pct_abs": 26.2,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 103h 44m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"8/9 books lengthened Am\u00e9rica Mineiro together (26.2% drift, score 71) \u2014 broad market fade, not a single-book blip.",
"Noticeable drift \u2014 odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam)."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 26.2,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"4.10",
"3.67",
"3.25"
],
"display": "4.11 \u2192 3.25 \u2192 4.10",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 103h 44m",
"pick_team": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.11"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.25"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.10"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
3.25,
4.1
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.25"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "3.25"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "4.10"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.10"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 3.25,
"page_alert_line": "Market drift alert: Am\u00e9rica Mineiro odds \u2191 +26.2% \u2014 pricing moves against this side",
"phase_label": "Market drift",
"phase_tip": "Broad lengthening \u2014 market pricing moves against the tracked side.",
"pick_team": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Market drift alert: Am\u00e9rica Mineiro odds \u2191 +26.2% \u2014 pricing moves against this side",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "fade",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc9",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 4.1,
"is_drift": true,
"label": "Market Signal",
"move_display": "\u2191 +26.2%",
"open_odds": 3.25,
"summary": "Broad market drift supports the same direction as the model lean.",
"team": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"tone": "with"
},
"signal_key": "strong_drift",
"signal_label": "Strong drift",
"steam_score": 71,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "8/9",
"current_odds": 4.1,
"move_display": "\u2191 +26.2%",
"open_odds": 3.25,
"pick_team": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"steam_score": 71,
"steam_team_name": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "fortaleza-ec",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Fortaleza EC",
"away_team_id": 154,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/154.webp",
"away_team_name": "Fortaleza EC",
"away_team_public_id": "3KvkFHVvgDwS2g",
"away_team_slug": "fortaleza-ec",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_display_name": "Brazil",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_id": 24,
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1520910,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_display_name": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"home_team_id": 125,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/125.webp",
"home_team_name": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro",
"home_team_public_id": "4Je08NIrzOrRyh",
"home_team_slug": "america-mineiro",
"ht.home_team_slug": "america-mineiro",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_country_display": "Brazil",
"league_display_name": "Serie B Brazil",
"league_id": 72,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/72.webp",
"league_name": "Serie B Brazil",
"league_public_id": "2LSvtRZWAbkOzE",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-10-07 23:30:00",
"public_id": "0swA9pulphMV61",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Bello Harisanta",
"venue_name": "Arena Independ\u00eancia"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.587,
"best_odd": 1.875,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0085,
"ev": -0.0647,
"implied_prob": 0.4903,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4903,
"draw": 0.2724,
"home": 0.2373
},
"model_prob": 0.5048,
"p_final": 0.4988
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2964,
"best_odd": 3.375,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0024,
"ev": -0.0886,
"implied_prob": 0.2724,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4903,
"draw": 0.2724,
"home": 0.2373
},
"model_prob": 0.2644,
"p_final": 0.27
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2971,
"best_odd": 3.875,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0019,
"ev": -0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.2373,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4903,
"draw": 0.2724,
"home": 0.2373
},
"model_prob": 0.2308,
"p_final": 0.2353
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 1.95,
"edge": -0.008,
"ev": -0.0157,
"implied_prob": 0.5128,
"model_prob": 0.5048
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.61,
"edge": -0.0126,
"ev": -0.0455,
"implied_prob": 0.277,
"model_prob": 0.2644
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 4.11,
"edge": -0.0125,
"ev": -0.0513,
"implied_prob": 0.2433,
"model_prob": 0.2308
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.4678,
"alpha_yes": 0.4678,
"best_no_odd": 1.9,
"best_yes_odd": 1.87,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": -0.073,
"edge_yes": 0.073,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1906,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.1404,
"ev_yes": 0.0734,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.015,
"implied_no": 0.499,
"implied_yes": 0.501,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.4678,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"edge": -0.034,
"ev": -0.1404,
"implied_prob": 0.4986,
"model_prob": 0.426,
"p_final": 0.4647
},
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.4678,
"best_odd": 1.84,
"edge": 0.034,
"ev": -0.015,
"implied_prob": 0.5014,
"model_prob": 0.574,
"p_final": 0.5353
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"p_final_no": 0.4647,
"p_final_yes": 0.5353,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.4781,
"alpha_under": 0.5259,
"best_over_odd": 2.11,
"best_under_odd": 1.8,
"consensus_over_odd": 2.05,
"consensus_under_odd": 1.75,
"edge_over": 0.0872,
"edge_under": -0.0872,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1584,
"ev_over_risk_adj": 0.0308,
"ev_under": -0.1882,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.1373,
"implied_over": 0.4618,
"implied_over_mf": 0.4605,
"implied_under": 0.5382,
"implied_under_mf": 0.5395,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.4781,
"best_odd": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0423,
"ev": 0.0308,
"implied_prob": 0.4605,
"model_prob": 0.549,
"p_final": 0.5028
},
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.5259,
"best_odd": 1.75,
"edge": -0.0465,
"ev": -0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.5395,
"model_prob": 0.451,
"p_final": 0.4929
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.5028,
"p_final_under": 0.4929,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.88,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1584,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1584,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1584,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 8.1,
"score_v1_legacy": 7.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.6,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 8.1,
"score_pre_penalty": 7.6
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.5,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Fortaleza EC)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1584,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1584,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.1,
"decision_strength_v1": 7.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.6,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 72,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Fortaleza EC at 50.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 49.0%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Fortaleza EC as the value side (50.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Fortaleza EC",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +15.8% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.1/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +15.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "69 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "72 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+15.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Fortaleza EC).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 69,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0647,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.5%",
"consensus_odds": 1.875,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4903,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.5048,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5333333333333333,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0535,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.3%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 29.6,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.62"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.62
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.574,
"draw_prob": 0.2644,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5048,
"over_prob": 0.549,
"total_xg": 2.88,
"under_prob": 0.451,
"xg_diff": 0.62
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.875,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0085,
"ev": -0.0647,
"implied_prob": 0.4903,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.5048,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Fortaleza EC"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.4678,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.84,
"edge": 0.034,
"market_prob": 0.5014,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.574,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.4678,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"edge": -0.034,
"ev": -0.1404,
"implied_prob": 0.4986,
"model_prob": 0.426,
"p_final": 0.4647
},
"p_final": 0.5353,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.015,
"value_side": "yes",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.4678,
"best_odd": 1.84,
"edge": 0.034,
"ev": -0.015,
"implied_prob": 0.5014,
"model_prob": 0.574,
"p_final": 0.5353
}
},
"edge": 0.073,
"ev": 0.0734,
"implied_prob": 0.501,
"model_prob": 0.574,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.4781,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0423,
"market_prob": 0.4605,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.549,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.4781,
"best_odd": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0423,
"ev": 0.0308,
"implied_prob": 0.4605,
"model_prob": 0.549,
"p_final": 0.5028
},
"p_final": 0.5028,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0308,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.5259,
"best_odd": 1.75,
"edge": -0.0465,
"ev": -0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.5395,
"model_prob": 0.451,
"p_final": 0.4929
},
"value_side": "over"
},
"edge": 0.0872,
"ev": 0.1584,
"implied_prob": 0.4618,
"model_prob": 0.549,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1520910,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1584,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.5048,
"draw": 0.2644,
"home": 0.2308
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0734,
"implied_prob": 0.501,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.574,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0734,
"implied_prob": 0.501,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.574,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Fortaleza EC",
"home": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.108702,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1584,
"implied_prob": 0.4618,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.549,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0647,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.5%",
"consensus_odds": 1.875,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4903,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.5048,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5333333333333333,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0535,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.3%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1520910,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-10-07T19:21:27.356226+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Serie B Brazil — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciúma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 53 |
| 6 | Atlético Goianiense | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 50 |
| 9 | Operário-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiabá | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 47 |
| 11 | Goiás | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 45 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 |
| 13 | Náutico Recife | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo-SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 |
| 17 | Avaí | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 28 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 13 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 32 | 54 | 27 | +27 | 57 |
| 2 | CRB | 32 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 51 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 32 | 44 | 31 | +13 | 58 |
| 4 | Sport Recife | 32 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 50 |
| 5 | São Bernardo | 32 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 45 |
| 6 | Operário-PR | 32 | 44 | 43 | +1 | 48 |
| 7 | Atlético Goianiense | 32 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 52 |
| 8 | Londrina | 32 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Náutico Recife | 32 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 32 | 38 | 37 | +1 | 42 |
| 11 | Juventude | 32 | 37 | 19 | +18 | 59 |
| 12 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 56 |
| 13 | Botafogo-SP | 32 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
| 14 | Ceará | 32 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Criciúma | 32 | 33 | 28 | +5 | 53 |
| 16 | Cuiabá | 32 | 32 | 25 | +7 | 47 |
| 17 | Goiás | 32 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 | Avaí | 32 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 32 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 17 | 68 | -51 | 13 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 32 | 17.2 | 9.2 | +8.0 | 57 |
| 2 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 16.8 | 10.1 | +6.7 | 56 |
| 3 | Cuiabá | 32 | 12.3 | 7.0 | +5.3 | 47 |
| 4 | Atlético Goianiense | 32 | 15.2 | 11.1 | +4.1 | 52 |
| 5 | Avaí | 32 | 11.9 | 8.5 | +3.4 | 33 |
| 6 | Vila Nova | 32 | 13.3 | 10.1 | +3.2 | 58 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 18.6 | 15.8 | +2.8 | 51 |
| 8 | Juventude | 32 | 10.2 | 8.0 | +2.2 | 59 |
| 9 | Criciúma | 32 | 10.0 | 8.1 | +1.9 | 53 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13.7 | 12.6 | +1.1 | 50 |
| 11 | Londrina | 32 | 10.4 | 9.6 | +0.8 | 28 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 45 |
| 13 | Botafogo-SP | 32 | 13.7 | 13.8 | -0.1 | 38 |
| 14 | Náutico Recife | 32 | 15.3 | 16.1 | -0.8 | 42 |
| 15 | Goiás | 32 | 11.8 | 13.1 | -1.3 | 45 |
| 16 | Operário-PR | 32 | 12.8 | 16.2 | -3.4 | 48 |
| 17 | Ceará | 32 | 9.1 | 14.2 | -5.1 | 42 |
| 18 | América Mineiro | 32 | 11.7 | 16.9 | -5.2 | 17 |
| 19 | Athletic Club | 32 | 11.9 | 19.2 | -7.3 | 42 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 8.7 | 24.8 | -16.1 | 13 |
