AI correctly predicted the Botafogo-SP win.
The match finished 3–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Cấp dự đoán
A
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Tài 2.5 (4 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Botafogo-SP Botafogo-SP ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-0, 2-1, 1-0, 3-0, 1-1 3-1 ✖ Không đúng
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.35) — 4 goals materialised
- Botafogo-SP attacking xG significantly stronger (2.42 vs 0.93)
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Botafogo-SP win 3–1).
Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay
Dòng thời gian dự đoán
Dự đoán này chuyển từ dự báo sang đánh giá toàn thời gian như thế nào.
-
Jul 06, 2026 · 21:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Botafogo-SP 2.42 — Avaí 0.93
-
Jul 06, 2026 · 22:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Botafogo-SP win · 3–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Ảnh chụp lịch sử
Bị treo khi bắt đầu — kết quả đầu ra của mô hình như trước khi trận đấu bắt đầu.
Phán quyết lịch sử:
Observe
Quyết định lịch sử
No Primary Bet
kết quả
Validated
Số liệu trước trận đấu (bối cảnh lịch sử)
Độ tin cậy dự đoán
51/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
- High xG deviation from league baseline (79%+)
Chứng cớ
★★★★★
- Strong model lean
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
53/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
1.44
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Botafogo-SP win · Botafogo-SP 3–1 Avaí
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 69.3%
- Historical Bucket: 65–70% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Xem lại câu hỏi thường gặp
- Dự đoán đó chính xác đến mức nào?
- Trang này xếp loại các thị trường định hướng (1X2, Trên/Dưới 2,5, BTTS) so với kết quả toàn thời gian. Mức dự đoán phản ánh có bao nhiêu thị trường được theo dõi phù hợp với thực tế.
- Độ chính xác xG đo lường điều gì?
- Độ chính xác của xG so sánh hồ sơ bàn thắng dự kiến trước trận đấu của mô hình với tỷ số thực tế — chứ không phải liệu mọi thị trường có thành công hay không. Đánh giá mang tính định hướng mạnh mẽ có thể cùng tồn tại với điểm chính xác xG vừa phải.
- Tại sao tỷ số chính xác không được dự đoán?
- Các kết quả có tỷ số chính xác là các kết quả có xác suất thấp ngay cả khi mô hình đọc tốt hồ sơ trận đấu. Chúng tôi nêu bật các thùng điểm cao nhất cho ngữ cảnh; thiếu dòng chính xác không làm mất hiệu lực của đánh giá định hướng.
- Điều này có cải thiện bản ghi AI không?
- Mỗi trận đấu kết thúc sẽ được ghi vào hệ thống xác thực của chúng tôi. Tỷ lệ trúng tổng hợp và nghiên cứu CLV được xuất bản riêng - trang này là đường dẫn kiểm tra mỗi trận đấu.
Dự đoán chỉ nhằm mục đích thông tin. Luôn đánh bạc có trách nhiệm và trong giới hạn của bạn. Hiệu suất trong quá khứ không đảm bảo kết quả trong tương lai.
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
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"market_intelligence": {
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"alert_breadth": "10/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +35.7%",
"alert_team": "Ava\u00ed",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 18.7,
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"show": true,
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"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 92,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Betting Signal"
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"decision_chain": {
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{
"key": "market_disagree",
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"url": "/academy/ai-betting/when-should-you-trust-ai-over-the-market/en"
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{
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"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
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"icon": "\u2713",
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{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Market partially disagrees",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "!",
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{
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},
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"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Warning",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "gap",
"label": "Large market gap (19 pp)",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Steam conflicts with model",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 15.6,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 7.7,
"steam_coherence": 0.0,
"validation": 14.0
},
"score": 54,
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Execution Confidence",
"score": 43,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Model Value",
"score": 33,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "monitor",
"label": "Monitor"
}
},
"verdict": {
"icon": "\ud83d\udc41",
"label": "Monitor \u2014 validate before acting",
"tier": "monitor"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Botafogo-SP 2.42 xG vs Ava\u00ed 0.93 \u2192 Botafogo-SP 69.2%",
"Market: Botafogo-SP ~50.5% implied",
"Steam: Ava\u00ed \u2191 +35.7%"
],
"one_liner": "Model leans Botafogo-SP, but market pricing diverges by 19 pp.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 18.71,
"fair_prob": 69.21,
"label": "Botafogo-SP",
"market_prob": 50.5,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.9,
"fair_prob": 19.18,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 29.08,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.81,
"fair_prob": 11.61,
"label": "Ava\u00ed",
"market_prob": 20.42,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 65.0,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 34.9,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 56.2,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 43.8,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 18.71,
"fair_prob_pct": 69.21,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Botafogo-SP",
"market_prob_pct": 50.5,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Ava\u00ed"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The statistical model estimates Botafogo-SP\u0027s win probability at 69.2%, compared with the closing market\u0027s implied probability of 50.5%, a difference of 18.7 percentage points. This highlights a substantial disagreement between the model\u0027s assessment and the market consensus, rather than indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 18.71,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Favourite",
"favourite_label": "Botafogo-SP",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
"headline": "Clear favourite",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 50.5,
"model_prob_pct": 69.2,
"outcome_separation_tier": "high",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Botafogo-SP, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "favourite",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Execution Confidence",
"score": 43,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Model Value",
"score": 33,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "monitor",
"label": "Monitor"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Botafogo-SP 2.42 xG vs Ava\u00ed 0.93 \u2192 Botafogo-SP 69.2%",
"Market: Botafogo-SP ~50.5% implied",
"Steam: Ava\u00ed \u2191 +35.7%"
],
"one_liner": "Model leans Botafogo-SP, but market pricing diverges by 19 pp.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "High",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 18.71,
"hero_label": "Botafogo-SP",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Ava\u00ed odds lengthened \u2191 +35.7%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Ava\u00ed has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 35.7%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Botafogo-SP.",
"note": "Drift away from Ava\u00ed \u2014 odds lengthened by 35.7% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Botafogo-SP.",
"However, Ava\u00ed has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 35.7%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Ava\u00ed \u2014 odds lengthened by 35.7% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors Botafogo-SP more strongly than current market pricing.",
"At the same time, Ava\u00ed has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 35.7%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (10/13) supports the current market view on Ava\u00ed."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 18.71,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 50.0 pp (at 69.2%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 50.0,
"max_prob_pct": 69.2,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "High",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "strong",
"largest_gap_label": "Botafogo-SP",
"largest_gap_pp": 18.7,
"lead": "The model rates Botafogo-SP considerably stronger than the closing betting market.",
"level": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 18.7,
"title": "Strong Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 18.71,
"edge_pp": 18.71,
"fair_prob_pct": 69.21,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Botafogo-SP",
"market_prob_pct": 50.5,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "model_edge",
"signal_label": "Model Edge"
},
{
"difference_pp": -9.9,
"edge_pp": -9.9,
"fair_prob_pct": 19.18,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 29.08,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": -8.81,
"edge_pp": -8.81,
"fair_prob_pct": 11.61,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Ava\u00ed",
"market_prob_pct": 20.42,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Ava\u00ed \u2014 odds lengthened by 35.7% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Botafogo-SP (50.5%).",
"However, Ava\u00ed has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +35.7%, 10/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Botafogo-SP, Market \u2192 Botafogo-SP, Recent sharp money \u2192 Ava\u00ed.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 52.63,
"closing_odds": 1.9,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 52.63,
"entry_odds": 1.9,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +35.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": 35.7
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +29.1%",
"odds_delta_pct": 29.1
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 3,
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +28.6%",
"odds_delta_pct": 28.6
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +25.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": 25.7
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 7,
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +17.6%",
"odds_delta_pct": 17.6
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 36,
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.3%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.3
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 5,
"bookmaker_name": "SBO",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +6.8%",
"odds_delta_pct": 6.8
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +5.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": 5.7
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 9,
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +2.3%",
"odds_delta_pct": 2.3
}
],
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +35.7%",
"move_pct_abs": 35.7,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 143h 30m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"10/13 books synchronized on Ava\u00ed (35.7% steam, score 92) \u2014 high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.",
"Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 35.7,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"4.75",
"4.12",
"3.50"
],
"display": "4.75 \u2192 3.38 \u2192 4.75",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 143h 30m",
"pick_team": "Ava\u00ed",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.75"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.38"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.75"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
3.5,
4.7,
4.75
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.7 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.50"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "3.50"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "4.75"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.75"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 3.5,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Ava\u00ed \u2191 +35.7% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Ava\u00ed",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Ava\u00ed \u2191 +35.7% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "steam",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udd25",
"signal_key": "strong_steam",
"signal_label": "Strong steam",
"steam_score": 92,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_display": "\u2191 +35.7%",
"open_odds": 3.5,
"pick_team": "Ava\u00ed",
"steam_score": 92,
"steam_team_name": "Ava\u00ed",
"steam_tier": "A+"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 18.7,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_id": 145,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/145.webp",
"away_team_name": "Ava\u00ed",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1520751,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 2618,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2618.webp",
"home_team_name": "Botafogo-SP",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 72,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/72.webp",
"league_name": "Serie B Brazil",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-07-06 22:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Ribeirao Preto",
"venue_name": "Estadio Santa Cruz"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1735,
"best_odd": 4.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0153,
"ev": -0.1124,
"implied_prob": 0.2042,
"model_prob": 0.1159,
"p_final": 0.1888
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2553,
"best_odd": 3.3,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0254,
"ev": -0.1241,
"implied_prob": 0.2908,
"model_prob": 0.1915,
"p_final": 0.2654
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4311,
"best_odd": 1.9,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0809,
"ev": 0.1133,
"implied_prob": 0.505,
"model_prob": 0.6927,
"p_final": 0.5859
}
},
"btts": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.35,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.1"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1133,
"confidence": 7.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)"
],
"score": 7.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"draw_prob": 0.1915,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6927,
"over_prob": 0.65,
"total_xg": 3.35,
"under_prob": 0.349,
"xg_diff": 1.49
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0809,
"ev": 0.1133,
"implied_prob": 0.505,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6927,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Botafogo-SP"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.562,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.65,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1520751,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1133,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1159,
"draw": 0.1915,
"home": 0.6927
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Ava\u00ed",
"home": "Botafogo-SP"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.094179,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1133,
"implied_prob": 0.505,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.6927,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Botafogo-SP",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1520751,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-07-06T21:59:06.853540+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Botafogo-SP & Avaí!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Serie B Brazil — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciúma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 53 |
| 6 | Atlético Goianiense | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 50 |
| 9 | Operário-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiabá | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 47 |
| 11 | Goiás | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 45 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 |
| 13 | Náutico Recife | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo-SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 |
| 17 | Avaí | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 28 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 13 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 32 | 54 | 27 | +27 | 57 |
| 2 | CRB | 32 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 51 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 32 | 44 | 31 | +13 | 58 |
| 4 | Sport Recife | 32 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 50 |
| 5 | São Bernardo | 32 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 45 |
| 6 | Operário-PR | 32 | 44 | 43 | +1 | 48 |
| 7 | Atlético Goianiense | 32 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 52 |
| 8 | Londrina | 32 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Náutico Recife | 32 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 32 | 38 | 37 | +1 | 42 |
| 11 | Juventude | 32 | 37 | 19 | +18 | 59 |
| 12 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 56 |
| 13 | Botafogo-SP | 32 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
| 14 | Ceará | 32 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Criciúma | 32 | 33 | 28 | +5 | 53 |
| 16 | Cuiabá | 32 | 32 | 25 | +7 | 47 |
| 17 | Goiás | 32 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 | Avaí | 32 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 32 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 17 | 68 | -51 | 13 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 32 | 17.2 | 9.2 | +8.0 | 57 |
| 2 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 16.8 | 10.1 | +6.7 | 56 |
| 3 | Cuiabá | 32 | 12.3 | 7.0 | +5.3 | 47 |
| 4 | Atlético Goianiense | 32 | 15.2 | 11.1 | +4.1 | 52 |
| 5 | Avaí | 32 | 11.9 | 8.5 | +3.4 | 33 |
| 6 | Vila Nova | 32 | 13.3 | 10.1 | +3.2 | 58 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 18.6 | 15.8 | +2.8 | 51 |
| 8 | Juventude | 32 | 10.2 | 8.0 | +2.2 | 59 |
| 9 | Criciúma | 32 | 10.0 | 8.1 | +1.9 | 53 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13.7 | 12.6 | +1.1 | 50 |
| 11 | Londrina | 32 | 10.4 | 9.6 | +0.8 | 28 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 45 |
| 13 | Botafogo-SP | 32 | 13.7 | 13.8 | -0.1 | 38 |
| 14 | Náutico Recife | 32 | 15.3 | 16.1 | -0.8 | 42 |
| 15 | Goiás | 32 | 11.8 | 13.1 | -1.3 | 45 |
| 16 | Operário-PR | 32 | 12.8 | 16.2 | -3.4 | 48 |
| 17 | Ceará | 32 | 9.1 | 14.2 | -5.1 | 42 |
| 18 | América Mineiro | 32 | 11.7 | 16.9 | -5.2 | 17 |
| 19 | Athletic Club | 32 | 11.9 | 19.2 | -7.3 | 42 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 8.7 | 24.8 | -16.1 | 13 |
