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Bản tóm tắt:
Cả hai đều nạc Elfsborg W, nhưng thị trường định giá chúng cao hơn (50.3% so với mô hình 36.6%). Lợi thế vẫn còn khiêm tốn và trận đấu vẫn tương đối cởi mở.
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Ước tính hợp lý khác biệt đáng kể so với giá thị trường hiện tại. Điều này có thể phản ánh sự bất đồng thực sự hoặc thông tin đánh giá đầu vào không đầy đủ.
Về mặt thực tế, thị trường lạc quan hơn về Elfsborg W so với ước tính hợp lý hiện tại.
Hành vi thị trường hiện tại cho thấy có sự nhất trí rộng rãi rằng Elfsborg W là bên chiếm ưu thế.
| kết quả | Hội chợ | Chợ | Bờ rìa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elfsborg W | 36.59% | 50.3% | -13.7 pp |
| Hòa | 29.64% | 26.68% | +3.0 pp |
| Göteborg W | 33.77% | 23.01% | +10.8 pp |
Xác suất hợp lý từ mô hình thống kê Poisson/xG. Không phải tỷ lệ cá cược. Không tư vấn cá cược.
Các thị trường khác nhau có hiệu quả định giá khác nhau - 1X2 có thể vượt qua trong khi thị trường mục tiêu vẫn cho thấy lợi thế.
Giai đoạn hiện tại: Cảnh báo xác thực mô hình
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
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],
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"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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{
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],
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},
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"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
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{
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"steam_score": 26,
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},
"match": {
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"away_team_name": "G\u00f6teborg W",
"country_code": "SE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
"country_name": "Sweden",
"fixture_id": 1501409,
"goals_away": null,
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"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/21693.webp",
"home_team_name": "Elfsborg W",
"league_country": "Sweden",
"league_id": 736,
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"league_name": "Elitettan",
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"match_date": "2026-06-13 11:00:00",
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"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
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"venue_name": null
},
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"breakdown_resolved": [
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"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"draw": {
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"edge": 0.0085,
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"home": {
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},
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},
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},
"unified_decision": {
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"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0464,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.366,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0464,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4511,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "under",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0653,
"ev": -0.199,
"implied_prob": 0.503,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.366,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Elfsborg W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0115,
"ev": -0.0582,
"implied_prob": 0.4435,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0669,
"ev": 0.0464,
"implied_prob": 0.4511,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1501409,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0464,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3375,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.366
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "G\u00f6teborg W",
"home": "Elfsborg W"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1501409,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T07:54:45.686298+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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