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Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về Ituzaingó, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Thị trường và mô hình được liên kết rộng rãi. Bất kỳ khoảng cách giá nhỏ nào cũng có thể phản ánh tỷ lệ làm tròn hoặc biên độ của nhà cái chứ không phải là sự bất đồng về cơ cấu.
Hoạt động thị trường phù hợp với khoảng cách giá lớn nhất trên Ituzaingó.
| kết quả | Hội chợ | Chợ | Bờ rìa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ituzaingó | 36.59% | 32.22% | +4.4 pp |
| Hòa | 29.64% | 32.81% | -3.2 pp |
| Liniers | 33.77% | 34.97% | -1.2 pp |
Xác suất hợp lý từ mô hình thống kê Poisson/xG. Không phải tỷ lệ cá cược. Không tư vấn cá cược.
Các thị trường khác nhau có hiệu quả định giá khác nhau - 1X2 có thể vượt qua trong khi thị trường mục tiêu vẫn cho thấy lợi thế.
Ituzaingó market context before kickoff
— Theo dõi on Ituzaingó
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Giai đoạn hiện tại: Giám sát thị trường
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
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],
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"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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"paragraphs": [
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],
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
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"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
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"venue_name": "Estadio Carlos Sacaan"
},
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"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 6.0
},
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.0054,
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"draw": {
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"edge": -0.0135,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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},
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"best_yes_odd": 2.38,
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"edge_yes": 0.1428,
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"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 1.36,
"edge_over": 0.1619,
"edge_under": -0.1619,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.446,
"ev_under": -0.2955,
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}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
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"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
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"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.446,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.366,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0184,
"ev": -0.0463,
"implied_prob": 0.3222,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.366,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Ituzaing\u00f3"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1428,
"ev": 0.2971,
"implied_prob": 0.4022,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1619,
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.3201,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1499479,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.446,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3375,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.366
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.3201,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.3201,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Liniers",
"home": "Ituzaing\u00f3"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.161919,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2971,
"implied_prob": 0.4022,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1499479,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T07:27:00.936205+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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