Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Thụy Điển. Superettan / Falkenbergs FF vs Helsingborgs IF

Kiểm toán dự đoán: Falkenbergs FF vs Helsingborgs IF Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

Jul 21, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.67
3 1.81
xG Accuracy: 66%

AI correctly predicted the Helsingborgs IF win.

The match finished 2–3, validating the model's directional assessment.

Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian

Cấp dự đoán A

Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.

  • Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
  • Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Tài 2.5 (5 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
  • 1X2 Helsingborgs IFs IF Helsingborgs IF ✔ Chính xác
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 2-3 ✖ Không đúng

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.48) — 5 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Helsingborgs IF win 2–3).

Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay

Dòng thời gian dự đoán

Dự đoán này chuyển từ dự báo sang đánh giá toàn thời gian như thế nào.

  1. Jul 21, 2026 · 16:59 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Falkenbergs FF 1.67 — Helsingborgs IF 1.81
  2. Jul 21, 2026 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Helsingborgs IF win · 2–3
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Ảnh chụp lịch sử

Bị treo khi bắt đầu — kết quả đầu ra của mô hình như trước khi trận đấu bắt đầu.

Phán quyết lịch sử: Observe
Quyết định lịch sử No Primary Bet
kết quả Validated
Số liệu trước trận đấu (bối cảnh lịch sử)
Độ tin cậy dự đoán 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Chứng cớ ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 05:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1824815

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds 2.47
CLV Pending
Final Result Helsingborgs IF win · Falkenbergs FF 2–3 Helsingborgs IF
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 40.5%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=2)

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Xem lại câu hỏi thường gặp

Dự đoán đó chính xác đến mức nào?
Trang này xếp loại các thị trường định hướng (1X2, Trên/Dưới 2,5, BTTS) so với kết quả toàn thời gian. Mức dự đoán phản ánh có bao nhiêu thị trường được theo dõi phù hợp với thực tế.
Độ chính xác xG đo lường điều gì?
Độ chính xác của xG so sánh hồ sơ bàn thắng dự kiến ​​trước trận đấu của mô hình với tỷ số thực tế — chứ không phải liệu mọi thị trường có thành công hay không. Đánh giá mang tính định hướng mạnh mẽ có thể cùng tồn tại với điểm chính xác xG vừa phải.
Tại sao tỷ số chính xác không được dự đoán?
Các kết quả có tỷ số chính xác là các kết quả có xác suất thấp ngay cả khi mô hình đọc tốt hồ sơ trận đấu. Chúng tôi nêu bật các thùng điểm cao nhất cho ngữ cảnh; thiếu dòng chính xác không làm mất hiệu lực của đánh giá định hướng.
Điều này có cải thiện bản ghi AI không?
Mỗi trận đấu kết thúc sẽ được ghi vào hệ thống xác thực của chúng tôi. Tỷ lệ trúng tổng hợp và nghiên cứu CLV được xuất bản riêng - trang này là đường dẫn kiểm tra mỗi trận đấu.

Dự đoán chỉ nhằm mục đích thông tin. Luôn đánh bạc có trách nhiệm và trong giới hạn của bạn. Hiệu suất trong quá khứ không đảm bảo kết quả trong tương lai.

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
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        "alert_breadth_note": "10/14 sportsbooks confirmed",
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        "model_prob_pct": 40.5,
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        "show": true,
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        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
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        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
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          {
            "key": "steam",
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            "title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
            "url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
          },
          {
            "key": "clv_pending",
            "read_min": 3,
            "title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
            "url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
          }
        ],
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          "gap_pp": 14.8,
          "key": "agree",
          "label": "Agree",
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          "pricing_aligned": true,
          "pricing_key": "moderate",
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        },
        "authority": {
          "action": "lean",
          "alignment": {
            "direction_aligned": false,
            "direction_key": "conflict",
            "gap_pp": 14.8,
            "key": "agree",
            "label": "Agree",
            "model_strong": false,
            "pricing_aligned": true,
            "pricing_key": "moderate",
            "probability_gap_pp": 14.8,
            "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF)."
          },
          "alignment_key": "agree",
          "best_consensus_ev": 0.0811,
          "best_outlier_ev": 0.4995,
          "confidence_band": "Moderate",
          "decision_strength": 6.8,
          "decision_strength_v1": 5.0,
          "decision_strength_v2": 6.8,
          "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
          "execution_confidence": 52,
          "extreme_disagreement": false,
          "gap_pp": 14.8,
          "gates_failed": [
            "Decision strength below 7"
          ],
          "headline": "Selective Lean",
          "hero_mode": "default",
          "icon": "\u2192",
          "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
          "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
          "model_conflict_detail": null,
          "model_lean": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
          "outlier_detected": true,
          "outlier_excluded_panel": "Excluded top quotes (audit row \u2014 never Primary): #1 \u00b7 market 1X2 \u00b7 side Helsingborgs IFs IF \u00b7 decimal odds ~3.70 (derived from model% \u00d7 (1+EV)) \u00b7 EV +50% \u00b7 book: not captured on live render (see odds history / admin snapshot) \u00b7 captured: \u2014 \u00b7 audit_ref: fixture=1497625 \u00b7 snapshot=live-render \u00b7 odds\u22483.70 \u00b7 reason=thin|single-book|\u0394EV\u22653.0%EV \u00b7 book=admin-only \u00b7 trigger: outlier EV \u2212 consensus EV \u2265 +3.0% EV (not probability pp) AND thin/single-book style \u00b7 consensus used +8.1% EV. Excluded quotes cannot clear Primary.",
          "primary_allowed": false,
          "primary_block_explain": {
            "entries": [
              {
                "key": "positive_ev",
                "label": "Consensus EV +8.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
                "ok": true
              },
              {
                "key": "gate",
                "label": "Decision strength below 7",
                "ok": false
              }
            ],
            "lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
            "primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
            "subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
            "title": "Why not Primary?"
          },
          "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +8.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 \u274c (need \u22657.0) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
          "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +8.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 (gate \u22657.0) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked",
          "primary_type": null,
          "reasons": [
            "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF).",
            "Decision strength: 6.8/10",
            "Decision strength below 7",
            "Outlier price +50% EV detected \u2014 not used for Primary (consensus only)."
          ],
          "reliability_score": 66,
          "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2192 NOT Primary; at most discretionary selective (\u22640.25\u20130.5% bankroll, further cut under extreme-xG).",
          "strength_v2_breakdown": [
            "Base decision score (v1)",
            "Reliability supports action",
            "Market aligns with model",
            "Consensus-line +EV"
          ],
          "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
          "tier": "lean",
          "value_context": {
            "consensus_ev": 0.0811,
            "consensus_ev_display": "+8.1%",
            "consensus_odds": 3.7,
            "disagreement_label": "Moderate",
            "disagreement_level": "moderate",
            "implied_prob": 0.2577,
            "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
            "model_prob": 0.4053,
            "raw_edge_display": "+14.8 percentage points",
            "raw_edge_pp": 14.8,
            "raw_implied_prob": 0.27027027027027023,
            "raw_signal_ev": 0.4996,
            "raw_signal_ev_display": "+50.0%"
          },
          "version": "v2.4",
          "xg_calibration": {
            "block_value_alert": false,
            "calibration_status": "ok",
            "deviation_pct": 34.1,
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_action": "ok",
            "strength_delta": 0.0,
            "uplift_away": null,
            "uplift_home": null
          }
        },
        "bet_status": "lean",
        "evidence": {
          "score": 80,
          "signals": [
            {
              "icon": "\u2713",
              "key": "statistical_edge",
              "label": "Statistical edge detected",
              "status": "pass"
            },
            {
              "icon": "!",
              "key": "market_agreement",
              "label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
              "status": "caution"
            },
            {
              "icon": "\u2713",
              "key": "steam",
              "label": "Sharp steam supports model side",
              "status": "pass"
            },
            {
              "icon": "!",
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation warning",
              "status": "caution"
            }
          ],
          "stars": 4,
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "forecast_reliability": {
          "breakdown": [
            {
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation: Warning",
              "tone": "caution"
            },
            {
              "key": "gap",
              "label": "Large market gap (15 pp)",
              "tone": "caution"
            },
            {
              "key": "steam",
              "label": "Steam aligns with model",
              "tone": "ok"
            }
          ],
          "parts": {
            "alignment": 17.6,
            "data_quality": 12.0,
            "market_coverage": 7.1,
            "steam_coherence": 10.0,
            "validation": 14.0
          },
          "score": 66,
          "stars": 3,
          "tier": "moderate",
          "tier_label": "Moderate"
        },
        "lean_gap_pp": 14.75,
        "max_gap_pp": 14.75,
        "model_calibration": {
          "away_xg": 1.81,
          "calibration_status": "ok",
          "deviation_pct": 34.0,
          "elevated": false,
          "home_xg": 1.67,
          "impact_note": "",
          "league_avg_xg": 1.35,
          "peak_xg": 1.81,
          "status_label": "Within typical league range",
          "summary": "Home xG 1.67 \u00b7 Away xG 1.81 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +34%",
          "title": "Model Calibration Check"
        },
        "move_is_drift": false,
        "mv_status": "warning",
        "odds_delta_pct": -6.3,
        "steam_conflicts": false,
        "steam_move_display": "\u2193 -6.3%",
        "steam_team": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
        "suppress_execution": false,
        "value_split": {
          "execution_confidence": {
            "label": "Execution Confidence",
            "score": 52,
            "tier": "moderate",
            "tier_label": "Moderate"
          },
          "market_compatibility": {
            "label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
            "note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
            "score": 26,
            "tier": "low",
            "tier_label": "Low"
          },
          "model_edge_strength": {
            "label": "Model Signal Strength",
            "score": 40,
            "tier": "low",
            "tier_label": "Low"
          },
          "model_value": {
            "label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
            "note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
            "score": 26,
            "tier": "low",
            "tier_label": "Low"
          },
          "recommendation": {
            "action": "lean",
            "label": "Selective Lean"
          }
        },
        "verdict": {
          "agree_note": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
          "alignment": {
            "direction_aligned": false,
            "direction_key": "conflict",
            "gap_pp": 14.8,
            "key": "agree",
            "label": "Agree",
            "model_strong": false,
            "pricing_aligned": true,
            "pricing_key": "moderate",
            "probability_gap_pp": 14.8,
            "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF)."
          },
          "authority": {
            "action": "lean",
            "alignment": {
              "direction_aligned": false,
              "direction_key": "conflict",
              "gap_pp": 14.8,
              "key": "agree",
              "label": "Agree",
              "model_strong": false,
              "pricing_aligned": true,
              "pricing_key": "moderate",
              "probability_gap_pp": 14.8,
              "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF)."
            },
            "alignment_key": "agree",
            "best_consensus_ev": 0.0811,
            "best_outlier_ev": 0.4995,
            "confidence_band": "Moderate",
            "decision_strength": 6.8,
            "decision_strength_v1": 5.0,
            "decision_strength_v2": 6.8,
            "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
            "execution_confidence": 52,
            "extreme_disagreement": false,
            "gap_pp": 14.8,
            "gates_failed": [
              "Decision strength below 7"
            ],
            "headline": "Selective Lean",
            "hero_mode": "default",
            "icon": "\u2192",
            "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
            "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
            "model_conflict_detail": null,
            "model_lean": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
            "outlier_detected": true,
            "outlier_excluded_panel": "Excluded top quotes (audit row \u2014 never Primary): #1 \u00b7 market 1X2 \u00b7 side Helsingborgs IFs IF \u00b7 decimal odds ~3.70 (derived from model% \u00d7 (1+EV)) \u00b7 EV +50% \u00b7 book: not captured on live render (see odds history / admin snapshot) \u00b7 captured: \u2014 \u00b7 audit_ref: fixture=1497625 \u00b7 snapshot=live-render \u00b7 odds\u22483.70 \u00b7 reason=thin|single-book|\u0394EV\u22653.0%EV \u00b7 book=admin-only \u00b7 trigger: outlier EV \u2212 consensus EV \u2265 +3.0% EV (not probability pp) AND thin/single-book style \u00b7 consensus used +8.1% EV. Excluded quotes cannot clear Primary.",
            "primary_allowed": false,
            "primary_block_explain": {
              "entries": [
                {
                  "key": "positive_ev",
                  "label": "Consensus EV +8.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
                  "ok": true
                },
                {
                  "key": "gate",
                  "label": "Decision strength below 7",
                  "ok": false
                }
              ],
              "lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
              "primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
              "subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
              "title": "Why not Primary?"
            },
            "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +8.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 \u274c (need \u22657.0) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
            "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +8.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 (gate \u22657.0) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked",
            "primary_type": null,
            "reasons": [
              "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF).",
              "Decision strength: 6.8/10",
              "Decision strength below 7",
              "Outlier price +50% EV detected \u2014 not used for Primary (consensus only)."
            ],
            "reliability_score": 66,
            "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2192 NOT Primary; at most discretionary selective (\u22640.25\u20130.5% bankroll, further cut under extreme-xG).",
            "strength_v2_breakdown": [
              "Base decision score (v1)",
              "Reliability supports action",
              "Market aligns with model",
              "Consensus-line +EV"
            ],
            "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
            "tier": "lean",
            "value_context": {
              "consensus_ev": 0.0811,
              "consensus_ev_display": "+8.1%",
              "consensus_odds": 3.7,
              "disagreement_label": "Moderate",
              "disagreement_level": "moderate",
              "implied_prob": 0.2577,
              "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
              "model_prob": 0.4053,
              "raw_edge_display": "+14.8 percentage points",
              "raw_edge_pp": 14.8,
              "raw_implied_prob": 0.27027027027027023,
              "raw_signal_ev": 0.4996,
              "raw_signal_ev_display": "+50.0%"
            },
            "version": "v2.4",
            "xg_calibration": {
              "block_value_alert": false,
              "calibration_status": "ok",
              "deviation_pct": 34.1,
              "reasons": [],
              "recommended_action": "ok",
              "strength_delta": 0.0,
              "uplift_away": null,
              "uplift_home": null
            }
          },
          "headline": "Selective Lean",
          "icon": "\u2192",
          "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
          "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
          "tier": "lean"
        },
        "why": {
          "action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
          "bullets": [
            "Model: Falkenbergs FF 1.67 xG vs Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF 1.81 \u2192 Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF 40.5%",
            "Market: Falkenbergs FF ~25.8% implied",
            "Market Steam: Helsingborgs IFs IF \u2193 -6.3%"
          ],
          "one_liner": "Model and market both lean Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF with no major conflict.",
          "title": "Why?"
        }
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": -11.99,
          "fair_prob": 34.76,
          "label": "Falkenbergs FF",
          "market_prob": 46.75,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -2.76,
          "fair_prob": 24.72,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 27.48,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 14.75,
          "fair_prob": 40.52,
          "label": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF",
          "market_prob": 25.77,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 67.5,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 32.5,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 69.1,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 30.9,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": 14.75,
        "fair_prob_pct": 40.52,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF",
        "market_prob_pct": 25.77,
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "steam_team_name": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "closing_capture": "PRE1",
        "closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "comparison_summary": "The statistical model estimates Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF\u0027s win probability at 40.5%, compared with the closing market\u0027s implied probability of 25.8%, a difference of 14.8 percentage points. This highlights a substantial disagreement between the model\u0027s assessment and the market consensus, rather than indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
          "max_gap_pp": 14.75,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_direction": {
            "label": "Supports model direction",
            "positive": true
          },
          "market_prob_pct": 25.8,
          "model_prob_gap_display": "+14.7 percentage points",
          "model_prob_gap_pp": 14.7,
          "model_prob_pct": 40.5,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "pricing_convergence": {
            "gap_display": "+14.7 percentage points",
            "gap_pp": 14.7,
            "label": "Moderate",
            "label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
          },
          "reliability_headline": "Moderate reliability",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_score": 66,
          "reliability_tier": "moderate",
          "summary": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning",
          "value_split": {
            "execution_confidence": {
              "label": "Execution Confidence",
              "score": 52,
              "tier": "moderate",
              "tier_label": "Moderate"
            },
            "market_compatibility": {
              "label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
              "note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
              "score": 26,
              "tier": "low",
              "tier_label": "Low"
            },
            "model_edge_strength": {
              "label": "Model Signal Strength",
              "score": 40,
              "tier": "low",
              "tier_label": "Low"
            },
            "model_value": {
              "label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
              "note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
              "score": 26,
              "tier": "low",
              "tier_label": "Low"
            },
            "recommendation": {
              "action": "lean",
              "label": "Selective Lean"
            }
          },
          "why": {
            "action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
            "bullets": [
              "Model: Falkenbergs FF 1.67 xG vs Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF 1.81 \u2192 Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF 40.5%",
              "Market: Falkenbergs FF ~25.8% implied",
              "Market Steam: Helsingborgs IFs IF \u2193 -6.3%"
            ],
            "one_liner": "Model and market both lean Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF with no major conflict.",
            "title": "Why?"
          }
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 14.75,
        "hero_label": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "Helsingborgs IFs IF odds shortened \u2193 -6.3%.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF.",
          "note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Helsingborgs IFs IF.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF.",
            "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Helsingborgs IFs IF."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate favors Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF more strongly than current market pricing.",
            "Recent line movement on Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF (\u2193 -6.3%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (10/14) supports the current market view on Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "market_source": "closing_1x2",
        "max_gap_pp": 14.75,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 5.8 pp (at 40.5%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 5.8,
          "max_prob_pct": 40.5,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "overall_assessment": {
          "badge_class": "strong",
          "largest_gap_label": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF",
          "largest_gap_pp": 14.8,
          "lead": "The model rates Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF considerably stronger than the closing betting market.",
          "level": "strong",
          "max_gap_pp": 14.8,
          "title": "Strong Disagreement"
        },
        "rows": [
          {
            "difference_pp": -11.99,
            "edge_pp": -11.99,
            "fair_prob_pct": 34.76,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Falkenbergs FF",
            "market_prob_pct": 46.75,
            "side": "home",
            "signal_key": "market_higher",
            "signal_label": "Market Higher"
          },
          {
            "difference_pp": -2.76,
            "edge_pp": -2.76,
            "fair_prob_pct": 24.72,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 27.48,
            "side": "draw",
            "signal_key": "aligned",
            "signal_label": "Aligned"
          },
          {
            "difference_pp": 14.75,
            "edge_pp": 14.75,
            "fair_prob_pct": 40.52,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF",
            "market_prob_pct": 25.77,
            "side": "away",
            "signal_key": "model_edge",
            "signal_label": "Model Edge"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Helsingborgs IFs IF.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Falkenbergs FF (25.8%).",
          "Helsingborgs IFs IF has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -6.3%, 10/14).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF, Market \u2192 Falkenbergs FF, Recent sharp money \u2192 Helsingborgs IFs IF.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 27.03,
        "closing_odds": 3.7,
        "closing_reason": "",
        "closing_status": "recorded",
        "closing_status_label": "Recorded",
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_reason": "",
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 27.03,
        "entry_odds": 3.7,
        "match_phase": "upcoming",
        "match_phase_detail": "",
        "match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
        "match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Prediction Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 10,
        "books_reacting_detail": [
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 4,
            "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
            "is_sharp": true,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -8.0%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -8.0
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 8,
            "bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
            "is_sharp": true,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -6.3%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -6.3
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 32,
            "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -5.8%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -5.8
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 34,
            "bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -5.8%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -5.8
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 16,
            "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -5.6%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -5.6
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 11,
            "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -5.3%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -5.3
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 2,
            "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -5.3%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -5.3
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 9,
            "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -4.3%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -4.3
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 21,
            "bookmaker_name": "888Sport",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -3.2%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -3.2
          },
          {
            "bookmaker_id": 7,
            "bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
            "is_sharp": false,
            "move_delta_display": "\u2193 -3.2%",
            "odds_delta_pct": -3.2
          }
        ],
        "books_total": 14,
        "breadth_display": "10/14",
        "clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
        "clv_status": "evaluated",
        "current_odds": 3.0,
        "is_drift": false,
        "move_context": "Largest move today",
        "move_display": "\u2193 -6.3%",
        "move_pct_abs": 6.3,
        "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
        "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 155h 18m",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Pinnacle led repricing on Helsingborgs IFs IF (6.3%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
          "A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_delta_pct": -6.3,
        "odds_path": {
          "chart_y_labels": [
            "3.70",
            "3.35",
            "3.00"
          ],
          "display": "4.02 \u2192 3.00 \u2192 3.00",
          "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
          "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 155h 18m",
          "pick_team": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "4.02"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "3.00"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "3.00"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_points": [
            3.2,
            3.7,
            3.0
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,12.9 28.0,0.0 56.0,18.0",
          "sparkline_trend": "volatile",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing",
          "summary_boxes": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "3.20"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "low",
              "value": "3.00"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "high",
              "value": "3.70"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "3.00"
            }
          ]
        },
        "open_odds": 3.2,
        "page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 10/14 sportsbooks on Helsingborgs IFs IF",
        "phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
        "phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
        "pick_team": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "",
        "sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "confirm",
        "signal_icon": "\u26a1",
        "signal_impact": {
          "current_odds": 3.0,
          "is_drift": false,
          "label": "Sharp signal",
          "move_display": "\u2193 -6.3%",
          "open_odds": 3.2,
          "summary": "Sharp money supports the same direction as the model lean.",
          "team": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
          "tone": "with"
        },
        "signal_key": "sharp_led",
        "signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
        "steam_score": 46,
        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "10/14",
        "current_odds": 3.0,
        "move_display": "\u2193 -6.3%",
        "open_odds": 3.2,
        "pick_team": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
        "steam_score": 46,
        "steam_team_name": "Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF",
        "steam_tier": "B"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 14.8,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_goal_display": null,
      "away_team_display_name": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
      "away_team_id": 811,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/811.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
      "away_team_name_canonical": "Helsingborgs IF",
      "away_team_slug": "helsingborg",
      "country_code": "SE",
      "country_display_name": "Sweden",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
      "country_id": 148,
      "country_name": "Sweden",
      "fixture_id": 1497625,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_goal_display": null,
      "home_team_country": "Sweden",
      "home_team_display_name": "Falkenbergs FF",
      "home_team_id": 812,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/812.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Falkenbergs FF",
      "home_team_slug": "falkenbergs-ff",
      "league_country": "Sweden",
      "league_country_display": "Sweden",
      "league_display_name": "Superettan",
      "league_id": 114,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/114.webp",
      "league_name": "Superettan",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-07-21 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "score_penalty_away": null,
      "score_penalty_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Falkenberg",
      "venue_name": "Falcon Alkoholfri Arena"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2336,
            "best_odd": 3.7,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0345,
            "ev": 0.0811,
            "implied_prob": 0.2577,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.2577,
              "draw": 0.2748,
              "home": 0.4675
            },
            "model_prob": 0.4053,
            "p_final": 0.2922
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2876,
            "best_odd": 3.47,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.008,
            "ev": -0.074,
            "implied_prob": 0.2748,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.2577,
              "draw": 0.2748,
              "home": 0.4675
            },
            "model_prob": 0.2472,
            "p_final": 0.2669
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3691,
            "best_odd": 2.04,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0442,
            "ev": -0.1367,
            "implied_prob": 0.4675,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.2577,
              "draw": 0.2748,
              "home": 0.4675
            },
            "model_prob": 0.3476,
            "p_final": 0.4232
          }
        },
        "1x2_outlier": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
          "away": {
            "best_odd": 3.7,
            "edge": 0.135,
            "ev": 0.4995,
            "implied_prob": 0.2703,
            "model_prob": 0.4053
          },
          "draw": {
            "best_odd": 3.47,
            "edge": -0.041,
            "ev": -0.1423,
            "implied_prob": 0.2882,
            "model_prob": 0.2472
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "best_odd": 2.04,
            "edge": -0.1426,
            "ev": -0.291,
            "implied_prob": 0.4902,
            "model_prob": 0.3476
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "ev_available": false,
          "n_bookmakers": 0,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "ev_available": false,
          "n_bookmakers": 0,
          "reliability": "low"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.48,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.3.1"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_consensus_ev": 0.0811,
      "best_outlier_ev": 0.4995,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0811,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "breakdown_v2": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Reliability supports action",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "score": 6.8,
        "score_v1_legacy": 5.0,
        "score_v2_pre_penalty": 6.8,
        "strength_v2": true
      },
      "decision_strength_v2": {
        "breakdown": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Reliability supports action",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "score": 6.8,
        "score_pre_penalty": 6.8
      },
      "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "B",
        "stake_factor": 0.5
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "final_action": "lean",
      "final_decision": {
        "action": "lean",
        "alignment": {
          "direction_aligned": false,
          "direction_key": "conflict",
          "gap_pp": 14.8,
          "key": "agree",
          "label": "Agree",
          "model_strong": false,
          "pricing_aligned": true,
          "pricing_key": "moderate",
          "probability_gap_pp": 14.8,
          "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF)."
        },
        "alignment_key": "agree",
        "best_consensus_ev": 0.0811,
        "best_outlier_ev": 0.4995,
        "confidence_band": "Moderate",
        "decision_strength": 6.8,
        "decision_strength_v1": 5.0,
        "decision_strength_v2": 6.8,
        "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
        "execution_confidence": 52,
        "extreme_disagreement": false,
        "gap_pp": 14.8,
        "gates_failed": [
          "Decision strength below 7"
        ],
        "headline": "Selective Lean",
        "hero_mode": "default",
        "icon": "\u2192",
        "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
        "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
        "model_conflict_detail": null,
        "model_lean": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
        "outlier_detected": true,
        "outlier_excluded_panel": "Excluded top quotes (audit row \u2014 never Primary): #1 \u00b7 market 1X2 \u00b7 side Helsingborgs IFs IF \u00b7 decimal odds ~3.70 (derived from model% \u00d7 (1+EV)) \u00b7 EV +50% \u00b7 book: not captured on live render (see odds history / admin snapshot) \u00b7 captured: \u2014 \u00b7 audit_ref: fixture=1497625 \u00b7 snapshot=live-render \u00b7 odds\u22483.70 \u00b7 reason=thin|single-book|\u0394EV\u22653.0%EV \u00b7 book=admin-only \u00b7 trigger: outlier EV \u2212 consensus EV \u2265 +3.0% EV (not probability pp) AND thin/single-book style \u00b7 consensus used +8.1% EV. Excluded quotes cannot clear Primary.",
        "primary_allowed": false,
        "primary_block_explain": {
          "entries": [
            {
              "key": "positive_ev",
              "label": "Consensus EV +8.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
              "ok": true
            },
            {
              "key": "gate",
              "label": "Decision strength below 7",
              "ok": false
            }
          ],
          "lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
          "primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
          "subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
          "title": "Why not Primary?"
        },
        "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +8.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 \u274c (need \u22657.0) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
        "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +8.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 (gate \u22657.0) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked",
        "primary_type": null,
        "reasons": [
          "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Helsingborgs IFs IFs IF).",
          "Decision strength: 6.8/10",
          "Decision strength below 7",
          "Outlier price +50% EV detected \u2014 not used for Primary (consensus only)."
        ],
        "reliability_score": 66,
        "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2192 NOT Primary; at most discretionary selective (\u22640.25\u20130.5% bankroll, further cut under extreme-xG).",
        "strength_v2_breakdown": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Reliability supports action",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_context": {
          "consensus_ev": 0.0811,
          "consensus_ev_display": "+8.1%",
          "consensus_odds": 3.7,
          "disagreement_label": "Moderate",
          "disagreement_level": "moderate",
          "implied_prob": 0.2577,
          "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
          "model_prob": 0.4053,
          "raw_edge_display": "+14.8 percentage points",
          "raw_edge_pp": 14.8,
          "raw_implied_prob": 0.27027027027027023,
          "raw_signal_ev": 0.4996,
          "raw_signal_ev_display": "+50.0%"
        },
        "version": "v2.4",
        "xg_calibration": {
          "block_value_alert": false,
          "calibration_status": "ok",
          "deviation_pct": 34.1,
          "reasons": [],
          "recommended_action": "ok",
          "strength_delta": 0.0,
          "uplift_away": null,
          "uplift_home": null
        }
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.691,
          "draw_prob": 0.2472,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4053,
          "over_prob": 0.675,
          "total_xg": 3.48,
          "under_prob": 0.325,
          "xg_diff": 0.14
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "hero_mode": "default",
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "consensus_odds": 3.7,
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0345,
          "ev": 0.0811,
          "implied_prob": 0.2577,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4053,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Helsingborgs IFs IF"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": null,
          "ev": null,
          "implied_prob": null,
          "model_prob": 0.691,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": null,
          "ev": null,
          "implied_prob": null,
          "model_prob": 0.675,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1497625,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0811,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4053,
        "draw": 0.2472,
        "home": 0.3476
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "show_betting_primary_label": false,
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
        "home": "Falkenbergs FF"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.026296,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0811,
        "implied_prob": 0.2577,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.4053,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "away",
        "side_label": "Helsingborgs IFs IF",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1,
      "value_context_1x2": {
        "consensus_ev": 0.0811,
        "consensus_ev_display": "+8.1%",
        "consensus_odds": 3.7,
        "disagreement_label": "Moderate",
        "disagreement_level": "moderate",
        "implied_prob": 0.2577,
        "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
        "model_prob": 0.4053,
        "raw_edge_display": "+14.8 percentage points",
        "raw_edge_pp": 14.8,
        "raw_implied_prob": 0.27027027027027023,
        "raw_signal_ev": 0.4996,
        "raw_signal_ev_display": "+50.0%"
      }
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1497625,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-07-21T16:59:07.407705+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Falkenbergs FF & Helsingborgs IF!

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Superettan Superettan — Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 IFK Norrköping 25 17 4 4 55
2 Falkenbergs FF 25 13 6 6 45
3 Varbergs BoIS FC 25 13 5 7 44
4 Östersunds FK 25 11 10 4 43
5 Landskrona BoIS 25 11 7 7 40
6 IK Oddevold 25 9 9 7 36
7 Östers IF 25 11 3 11 36
8 United Nordic 25 9 9 7 36
9 Sandvikens IF 25 9 7 9 34
10 Helsingborgs IF 25 8 6 11 30
11 IFK Värnamo 25 8 5 12 29
12 Ljungskile SK 25 7 7 11 28
13 Norrby IF 25 4 12 9 24
14 Örebro SK 25 5 9 11 24
15 IK Brage 25 5 8 12 23
16 GIF Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 IFK Norrköping 25 48 16 +32 55
2 Falkenbergs FF 25 46 33 +13 45
3 Varbergs BoIS FC 25 44 33 +11 44
4 Sandvikens IF 25 41 35 +6 34
5 Landskrona BoIS 25 39 26 +13 40
6 IK Brage 25 39 48 -9 23
7 IK Oddevold 25 38 34 +4 36
8 Östers IF 25 38 38 0 36
9 United Nordic 25 38 40 -2 36
10 Helsingborgs IF 25 36 45 -9 30
11 Östersunds FK 25 33 24 +9 43
12 Ljungskile SK 25 33 36 -3 28
13 IFK Värnamo 25 33 45 -12 29
14 Norrby IF 25 28 35 -7 24
15 Örebro SK 25 27 39 -12 24
16 GIF Sundsvall 25 19 53 -34 19
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Varbergs BoIS FC 25 4.8 2.8 +2.0 44
2 IFK Norrköping 25 4.5 2.8 +1.7 55
3 Ljungskile SK 25 1.2 1.1 +0.1 28
4 IK Oddevold 25 1.1 1.2 -0.1 36
5 Landskrona BoIS 25 1.6 2.6 -1.0 40
6 Östersunds FK 25 0.6 3.4 -2.8 43
7 Falkenbergs FF 25 — — — 45
8 Östers IF 25 — — — 36
9 United Nordic 25 — — — 36
10 Sandvikens IF 25 — — — 34
11 Helsingborgs IF 25 — — — 30
12 IFK Värnamo 25 — — — 29
13 Norrby IF 25 — — — 24
14 Örebro SK 25 — — — 24
15 IK Brage 25 — — — 23
16 GIF Sundsvall 25 — — — 19