Qabala vs Şamaxı FK Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 21, 2026 - 14:30
3 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Qabala Qabala ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "2d88a2a62997db1b03de54ff19e4464570d2a2e98053d7b2ff5aede178172555",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Qabala or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Qabala"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Qabala",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0225,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4402,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 13,
        "away_failed_to_score": 12,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 62.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 15,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 53.1,
        "no_prob": 66.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 66.8,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 33.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.2,
        "home_expected": 1.05,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 12.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 11.1
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 10.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Qabala or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Qabala or Keshla FC",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Keshla FC",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Qabala or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Qabala"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.25,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 39.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 60.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.25,
        "under_prob": 60.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Keshla FC",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Qabala",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.02,
          "gap_pp": -2.25,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.82,
          "gap_pp": -4.15,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.16,
          "gap_pp": 6.41,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 41.71,
          "gap_pp": -2.61,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 39.1
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 58.29,
          "gap_pp": 2.61,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 60.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.08,
          "early": 2.08,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.02,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.02,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.07,
          "early": 3.07,
          "implied_closing_pct": 29.82,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 29.82,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.5,
          "early": 3.5,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.16,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.16,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.25,
          "early": 2.25,
          "implied_closing_pct": 41.71,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 41.71,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.61,
          "early": 1.61,
          "implied_closing_pct": 58.29,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 58.29,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 6.4,
        "kind": "1x2_a"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 13.3
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.169,
        "ev_yes": -0.336,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.169,
        "no_prob": 66.8,
        "sort_key": 10302.1,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 33.2
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0499,
        "ev_under": -0.0195,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0195,
        "over_prob": 39.1,
        "sort_key": 1795.125,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 60.9,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1048,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4402,
        "max_ev": -0.0236,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Qabala",
        "sort_key": 1794.1,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 819.9,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 13.3
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 666,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/666.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Keshla FC",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/az.svg",
      "country_name": "Azerbaijan",
      "fixture_id": 1446696,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 627,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/627.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Qabala",
      "league_country": "Azerbaijan",
      "league_id": 419,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/419.webp",
      "league_name": "Premyer Liqa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 13:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2712,
            "best_odd": 3.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0174,
            "ev": -0.0236,
            "implied_prob": 0.2616,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.279
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2813,
            "best_odd": 3.07,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0117,
            "ev": -0.1203,
            "implied_prob": 0.2982,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2865
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4348,
            "best_odd": 2.08,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0098,
            "ev": -0.1048,
            "implied_prob": 0.4402,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4304
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.75,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.0,
          "edge_no": 0.1368,
          "edge_yes": -0.1368,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.169,
          "ev_yes": -0.336,
          "implied_no": 0.5312,
          "implied_yes": 0.4688,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.43,
          "best_under_odd": 1.61,
          "edge_over": -0.015,
          "edge_under": 0.015,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0499,
          "ev_under": -0.0195,
          "implied_over": 0.406,
          "implied_under": 0.594,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.169,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.332,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.391,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.609,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0098,
          "ev": -0.1048,
          "implied_prob": 0.4402,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Qabala"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1368,
          "ev": 0.169,
          "implied_prob": 0.5312,
          "model_prob": 0.668,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.015,
          "ev": -0.0195,
          "implied_prob": 0.594,
          "model_prob": 0.609,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1446696,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.169,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Keshla FC",
        "home": "Qabala"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.112892,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.169,
        "implied_prob": 0.5312,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.668,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1446696,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T18:30:46.381873+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Qabala & Şamaxı FK!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
Premyer Liqa Premyer LiqaBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Sabah FA 33 24 6 3 78
2 Qarabag 33 21 6 6 69
3 Neftchi Baku 33 16 11 6 59
4 Turan 33 17 8 8 59
5 Zira 33 13 14 6 53
6 Araz 33 13 7 13 46
7 Sumqayıt 33 12 5 16 41
8 Şamaxı FK 33 9 11 13 38
9 Imisli FK 32 7 12 13 33
10 Qabala 33 7 6 20 27
11 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 27
12 Karvan 32 3 5 24 14
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Sabah FA 33 75 25 +50 78
2 Qarabag 33 71 27 +44 69
3 Neftchi Baku 33 57 32 +25 59
4 Sumqayıt 33 45 49 -4 41
5 Turan 33 44 27 +17 59
6 Araz 33 44 58 -14 46
7 Zira 33 43 36 +7 53
8 Qabala 33 32 49 -17 27
9 Şamaxı FK 33 31 40 -9 38
10 Kapaz 33 25 61 -36 27
11 Imisli FK 32 22 42 -20 33
12 Karvan 32 22 65 -43 14