Karvan vs Neftchi Baku Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 05, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 draw Neftchi Baku ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 0-1, 0-2, 1-1, 1-2, 0-3 0-3 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Neftchi Baku",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Neftchi Baku"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.2725,
        "edge_gap": 0.0,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.1775,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 45.0,
          "draw": 45.0,
          "home": 10.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 10,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 69.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 2,
        "home_failed_to_score": 14,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 51.7,
        "no_prob": 64.3,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 64.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 35.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.85,
        "home_expected": 0.9,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 10.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.8
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          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-3",
            "prob": 6.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Karvan or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Karvan or Neftchi Baku",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Neftchi Baku",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Neftchi Baku",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.75,
        "under_prob": 48.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 11.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1767,
        "ev_yes": -0.3038,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1767,
        "no_prob": 64.3,
        "sort_key": 10309.03,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 35.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0862,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.1775,
        "max_ev": 0.0862,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "side_label": "draw",
        "sort_key": 10077.58,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1437,
        "ev_under": 0.0823,
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        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "under_prob": 48.1,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 815.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
        "top_prob": 11.8
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2270,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2270.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Neftchi Baku",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/az.svg",
      "country_name": "Azerbaijan",
      "fixture_id": 1445945,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 11239,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11239.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Karvan",
      "league_country": "Azerbaijan",
      "league_id": 419,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/419.webp",
      "league_name": "Premyer Liqa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-05 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
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            "best_odd": 1.27,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0968,
            "ev": -0.2037,
            "implied_prob": 0.7238,
            "model_prob": 0.45,
            "p_final": 0.627
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          "draw": {
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            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": 0.0862,
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          "home": {
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            "best_odd": 9.31,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0003,
            "ev": -0.0784,
            "implied_prob": 0.0987,
            "model_prob": 0.1,
            "p_final": 0.099
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.83,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.95,
          "edge_no": 0.1201,
          "edge_yes": -0.1201,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1767,
          "ev_yes": -0.3038,
          "implied_no": 0.5229,
          "implied_yes": 0.4771,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
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          "best_under_odd": 2.25,
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          "edge_under": 0.0559,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1437,
          "ev_under": 0.0823,
          "implied_over": 0.5749,
          "implied_under": 0.4251,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1767,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
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        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.357,
          "draw_prob": 0.45,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.45,
          "over_prob": 0.519,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.481,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0322,
          "ev": 0.0862,
          "implied_prob": 0.1775,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.45,
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1201,
          "ev": 0.1767,
          "implied_prob": 0.5229,
          "model_prob": 0.643,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0559,
          "ev": 0.0823,
          "implied_prob": 0.4251,
          "model_prob": 0.481,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1445945,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1767,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.45,
        "draw": 0.45,
        "home": 0.1
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Neftchi Baku",
        "home": "Karvan"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.113618,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1767,
        "implied_prob": 0.5229,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.643,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1445945,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-05T11:59:04.236710+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Karvan & Neftchi Baku!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
Premyer Liqa Premyer LiqaBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Sabah FA 32 23 6 3 75
2 Qarabag 32 20 6 6 66
3 Turan 32 17 8 7 59
4 Neftchi Baku 32 15 11 6 56
5 Zira 32 13 14 5 53
6 Araz 32 12 7 13 43
7 Sumqayıt 32 12 5 15 41
8 Şamaxı FK 33 9 11 13 38
9 Imisli FK 32 7 12 13 33
10 Qabala 33 7 6 20 27
11 Kapaz 32 8 3 21 27
12 Karvan 32 3 5 24 14
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sabah FA 32 73 24 +49 75
2 Qarabag 32 67 24 +43 66
3 Neftchi Baku 32 56 32 +24 56
4 Turan 32 43 25 +18 59
5 Sumqayıt 32 42 45 -3 41
6 Zira 32 41 33 +8 53
7 Araz 32 41 56 -15 43
8 Qabala 33 32 49 -17 27
9 Şamaxı FK 33 31 40 -9 38
10 Kapaz 32 25 60 -35 27
11 Imisli FK 32 22 42 -20 33
12 Karvan 32 22 65 -43 14