Al-Fateh vs Al Najma Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 14, 2026 - 15:55
2 2.54
0 0.88
xG Accuracy: 68%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 1-0, 3-1 2-0 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
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  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "a631427299fc9b6c9441c77eec114f6b71029d78f6aecbafac3dd8c76c6e5c82",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.88,
      "away_win_prob": 0.0989,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.1774,
      "fair_odds_away": 10.11,
      "fair_odds_draw": 5.64,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.38,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.54,
      "home_win_prob": 0.7237,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Al-Fateh or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Al-Fateh",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Al-Fateh"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.88,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Al-Fateh",
      "confidence": 72.4,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "medium",
        "display_text": "Winner : Al-Fateh",
        "edge": 0.073,
        "edge_gap": 0.5469,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.651,
        "model_prob": 0.724,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 9.9,
          "draw": 17.7,
          "home": 72.4
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Al-Fateh"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.43
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#ff9800",
      "risk_key": "medium_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.43,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Al-Fateh Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.54,
        "market_odds": 1.43,
        "model_odds": 1.38,
        "overround": 7.4,
        "prob_edge": 2.5,
        "value_pct": 3.6,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 3,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 58.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 92.1,
        "no_prob": 45.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.88,
        "home_expected": 2.54,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 10.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-0",
            "prob": 8.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 7.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Al-Fateh or Draw",
            "prob": 90.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Al-Fateh or Al Najma",
            "prob": 82.3
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Al Najma",
            "prob": 27.6
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Al-Fateh or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.1
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 9.9,
        "draw_pct": 17.7,
        "home_pct": 72.4,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Al-Fateh"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.42,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 66.4,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 66.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.42,
        "under_prob": 33.6
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 3.6,
        "implied_prob": 69.9,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Al-Fateh Win",
        "model_prob": 72.5,
        "odds": 1.43
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-0",
        "prob": 10.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 2.54,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1501,
        "ev_yes": -0.1381,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1501,
        "no_prob": 45.1,
        "sort_key": 10285.09,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 54.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0438,
        "ev_under": 0.008,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.008,
        "over_prob": 66.4,
        "sort_key": 5206.4,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 33.6,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0133,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.651,
        "max_ev": -0.0133,
        "model_prob": 0.724,
        "side_label": "Al-Fateh",
        "sort_key": 1796.675,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 811.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-0",
        "top_prob": 10.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2992,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2992.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Al Najma",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/sa.svg",
      "country_name": "Saudi-Arabia",
      "fixture_id": 1438974,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2931,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2931.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Al-Fateh",
      "league_country": "Saudi-Arabia",
      "league_id": 307,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/307.webp",
      "league_name": "Pro League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-13 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1776,
            "best_odd": 5.37,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0132,
            "ev": -0.1402,
            "implied_prob": 0.1734,
            "model_prob": 0.0988,
            "p_final": 0.1601
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1995,
            "best_odd": 5.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0003,
            "ev": -0.0675,
            "implied_prob": 0.1756,
            "model_prob": 0.1772,
            "p_final": 0.1759
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5343,
            "best_odd": 1.43,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.039,
            "ev": -0.0133,
            "implied_prob": 0.651,
            "model_prob": 0.724,
            "p_final": 0.69
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.55,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": 0.0647,
          "edge_yes": -0.0647,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1501,
          "ev_yes": -0.1381,
          "implied_no": 0.3863,
          "implied_yes": 0.6137,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.44,
          "best_under_odd": 3.0,
          "edge_over": -0.0077,
          "edge_under": 0.0077,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0438,
          "ev_under": 0.008,
          "implied_over": 0.6717,
          "implied_under": 0.3283,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.42,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1501,
      "confidence": 7.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)"
        ],
        "score": 7.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.549,
          "draw_prob": 0.1772,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.724,
          "over_prob": 0.664,
          "total_xg": 3.42,
          "under_prob": 0.336,
          "xg_diff": 1.66
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.039,
          "ev": -0.0133,
          "implied_prob": 0.651,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.724,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Al-Fateh"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0647,
          "ev": 0.1501,
          "implied_prob": 0.3863,
          "model_prob": 0.451,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0077,
          "ev": 0.008,
          "implied_prob": 0.3283,
          "model_prob": 0.336,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1438974,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1501,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.0988,
        "draw": 0.1772,
        "home": 0.724
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Al Najma",
        "home": "Al-Fateh"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.067695,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1501,
        "implied_prob": 0.3863,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.451,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1438974,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-13T16:59:05.777000+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Al-Fateh & Al Najma!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

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Pro League Pro LeagueBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Al-Nassr 34 28 2 4 86
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 34 25 9 0 84
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 25 6 3 81
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 23 8 3 77
5 Al-Ittihad FC 34 16 7 11 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 53
7 Al-Ettifaq 34 14 8 12 50
8 NEOM 34 12 9 13 45
9 Al-Hazm 34 11 9 14 42
10 Al-Fayha 34 10 8 16 38
11 Al-Fateh 34 9 10 15 37
12 Al Khaleej Saihat 34 10 7 17 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 16
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al-Nassr 34 91 28 +63 86
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 34 85 27 +58 84
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 83 34 +49 77
4 Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 71 25 +46 81
5 Al Taawon 34 59 46 +13 53
6 Al-Ittihad FC 34 55 48 +7 55
7 Al Khaleej Saihat 34 54 62 -8 37
8 Al-Ettifaq 34 51 55 -4 50
9 Al Shabab 34 44 57 -13 35
10 NEOM 34 43 48 -5 45
11 Al-Fayha 34 41 54 -13 38
12 Al-Fateh 34 41 55 -14 37
13 Al Kholood 34 39 61 -22 33
14 Al-Hazm 34 38 57 -19 42
15 Al Riyadh 34 35 63 -28 30
16 Damac 34 32 55 -23 29
17 Al Najma 34 32 76 -44 16
18 Al Okhdood 34 27 70 -43 20
# ĐỘI MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 34 67.1 25.3 +41.8 84
2 Al-Nassr 34 67.0 25.7 +41.3 86
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 57.5 25.4 +32.1 81
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 62.9 35.2 +27.7 77
5 Al-Ittihad FC 34 49.5 41.2 +8.3 55
6 NEOM 34 45.8 39.4 +6.4 45
7 Al Shabab 34 44.1 44.7 -0.6 35
8 Al Khaleej Saihat 34 42.0 44.5 -2.5 37
9 Al Taawon 34 42.0 44.7 -2.7 53
10 Al-Fateh 34 41.1 44.8 -3.7 37
11 Al Riyadh 34 41.4 50.5 -9.1 30
12 Al-Fayha 34 33.3 43.4 -10.1 38
13 Al-Hazm 34 34.1 47.4 -13.3 42
14 Damac 34 25.1 38.5 -13.4 29
15 Al Kholood 34 32.9 48.7 -15.8 33
16 Al-Ettifaq 34 39.0 56.5 -17.5 50
17 Al Najma 34 28.1 61.0 -32.9 16
18 Al Okhdood 34 26.8 62.8 -36.0 20