Các thị trường khác nhau có hiệu quả định giá khác nhau - 1X2 có thể vượt qua trong khi thị trường mục tiêu vẫn cho thấy lợi thế.
| Steam thị trường | Mạnh |
|---|---|
| EV hiện tại | Âm |
| Áp lực đường đóng | Cao |
| Giá trị còn lại | Hạn chế |
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "c880d8bd92d10715a80da1a49c11d4a171a2ee132977adb6077bf3157d2efa39",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Osasuna II or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Osasuna II"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Osasuna II",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.095,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5126,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 10,
"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 37,
"away_score_rate": 75.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 12,
"home_failed_to_score": 19,
"home_played": 37,
"home_score_rate": 48.6,
"no_prob": 63.2,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 63.2,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 36.8
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.15,
"home_expected": 1.05,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 11.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.7
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Osasuna II or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Osasuna II or M\u00e9rida AD",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or M\u00e9rida AD",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Osasuna II or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.0,
"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Osasuna II"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.2,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.7,
"over_prob": 37.7,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 62.3,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.2,
"under_prob": 62.3
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "M\u00e9rida AD",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Osasuna II",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 51.26,
"gap_pp": -9.5,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.17,
"gap_pp": -0.51,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 22.56,
"gap_pp": 10.0,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 51.37,
"gap_pp": -13.67,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 37.7
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.63,
"gap_pp": 13.67,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 62.3
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.69,
"early": 1.69,
"implied_closing_pct": 51.26,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 51.26,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.31,
"early": 3.31,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.17,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.17,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.84,
"early": 3.84,
"implied_closing_pct": 22.56,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 22.56,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.78,
"early": 1.78,
"implied_closing_pct": 51.37,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 51.37,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.88,
"early": 1.88,
"implied_closing_pct": 48.63,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 48.63,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 13.7,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3082,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 30.8,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_yes": -0.3376,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -33.8,
"text": "-33.8%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3082,
"no_prob": 63.2,
"sort_key": 10427.38,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 36.8
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2837,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -28.4,
"text": "-28.4%"
},
"ev_under": 0.246,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 24.6,
"text": "+24.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.246,
"over_prob": 37.7,
"sort_key": 10221.4,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 62.3,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.2162,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -21.6,
"text": "-21.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5126,
"max_ev": -0.0357,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -3.6,
"text": "-3.6%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Osasuna II",
"sort_key": 1791.075,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 820.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 10140,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10140.webp",
"away_team_name": "M\u00e9rida AD",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
"country_name": "Spain",
"fixture_id": 1431884,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 9584,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9584.webp",
"home_team_name": "Osasuna II",
"league_country": "Spain",
"league_id": 435,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/435.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n RFEF - Group 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.255,
"best_odd": 3.84,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0255,
"ev": -0.0357,
"implied_prob": 0.2256,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2511
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2977,
"best_odd": 3.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0015,
"ev": -0.1386,
"implied_prob": 0.2617,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2602
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5145,
"best_odd": 1.69,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0489,
"ev": -0.2162,
"implied_prob": 0.5126,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4638
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.07,
"best_yes_odd": 1.8,
"edge_no": 0.1641,
"edge_yes": -0.1641,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3082,
"ev_yes": -0.3376,
"implied_no": 0.4679,
"implied_yes": 0.5321,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.9,
"best_under_odd": 2.0,
"edge_over": -0.1317,
"edge_under": 0.1317,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2837,
"ev_under": 0.246,
"implied_over": 0.5087,
"implied_under": 0.4913,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3082,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.368,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.377,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.623,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0489,
"ev": -0.2162,
"implied_prob": 0.5126,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Osasuna II"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1641,
"ev": 0.3082,
"implied_prob": 0.4679,
"model_prob": 0.632,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1317,
"ev": 0.246,
"implied_prob": 0.4913,
"model_prob": 0.623,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1431884,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3082,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.246,
"implied_prob": 0.4913,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.623,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.246,
"implied_prob": 0.4913,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.623,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "M\u00e9rida AD",
"home": "Osasuna II"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.194782,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3082,
"implied_prob": 0.4679,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.632,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1431884,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T19:07:47.443696+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | ĐỘI | MP | T | H | B | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta de Vigo II | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid U21 | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Real Madrid II | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 53 |
| 10 | Mérida AD | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 13 | Athletic Club II | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereño | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 28 |
| # | ĐỘI | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 62 | 24 | +38 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta de Vigo II | 38 | 61 | 48 | +13 | 65 |
| 3 | Real Madrid II | 38 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid U21 | 36 | 56 | 47 | +9 | 56 |
| 5 | Real Avilés | 38 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 44 |
| 6 | Zamora | 38 | 53 | 42 | +11 | 61 |
| 7 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 53 | 49 | +4 | 56 |
| 8 | Barakaldo | 38 | 51 | 38 | +13 | 58 |
| 9 | Pontevedra | 38 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 58 |
| 10 | Mérida AD | 38 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 52 |
| 12 | Ourense CF | 38 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | Guadalajara | 38 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 41 |
| 14 | Ponferradina | 38 | 43 | 33 | +10 | 60 |
| 15 | Cacereño | 38 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 44 |
| 16 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 49 |
| 17 | Athletic Club II | 38 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 49 |
| 18 | CF Talavera | 38 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 43 |
| 19 | Lugo | 38 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 53 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 28 |
| 21 | Osasuna II | 38 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 40 |
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