Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 2 / Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II

Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 13, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Tłuchowia Tłuchowia ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 1-3 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
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  "content_hash": "0c77eac4394d593797156751afbb0de45f2962d361647b3d7b07e1e87db940b7",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Lech Pozna\u0144 II",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "50%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "0%",
      "winner_name": "Lech Pozna\u0144 II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "T\u0142uchowia",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1965,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2211,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 30,
        "away_score_rate": 83.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 13,
        "home_played": 30,
        "home_score_rate": 56.7,
        "no_prob": 52.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 52.8,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 47.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.15,
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            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 9.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-3",
            "prob": 6.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "T\u0142uchowia or Draw",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "T\u0142uchowia or Lech Pozna\u0144 II",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Lech Pozna\u0144 II",
            "prob": 100.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Lech Pozna\u0144 II",
        "pick_prob": 100.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 50.0,
        "draw_pct": 50.0,
        "home_pct": 0.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.15,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 61.0,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 61.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.15,
        "under_prob": 39.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 9.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2672,
        "ev_yes": -0.2448,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2672,
        "no_prob": 52.8,
        "sort_key": 10390.48,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 47.2
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0003,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2211,
        "max_ev": 0.0003,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "T\u0142uchowia",
        "sort_key": 5200.24,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
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        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0423,
        "ev_under": -0.0718,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0423,
        "over_prob": 61.0,
        "sort_key": 1789.425,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 39.0,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 809.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 9133,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/9133.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Lech Pozna\u0144 II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410737,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 26181,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/26181.webp",
      "home_team_name": "T\u0142uchowia",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 781,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/781.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-13 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3962,
            "best_odd": 1.61,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0897,
            "ev": -0.2555,
            "implied_prob": 0.5521,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.4624
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2865,
            "best_odd": 3.92,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0086,
            "ev": -0.0775,
            "implied_prob": 0.2268,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2353
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.141,
            "best_odd": 4.02,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0277,
            "ev": 0.0003,
            "implied_prob": 0.2211,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.2488
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.4,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.6,
          "edge_no": 0.1155,
          "edge_yes": -0.1155,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2672,
          "ev_yes": -0.2448,
          "implied_no": 0.4125,
          "implied_yes": 0.5875,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.57,
          "best_under_odd": 2.38,
          "edge_over": 0.0139,
          "edge_under": -0.0139,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0423,
          "ev_under": -0.0718,
          "implied_over": 0.5961,
          "implied_under": 0.4039,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2672,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.472,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.61,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.39,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0277,
          "ev": 0.0003,
          "implied_prob": 0.2211,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "T\u0142uchowia"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1155,
          "ev": 0.2672,
          "implied_prob": 0.4125,
          "model_prob": 0.528,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0139,
          "ev": -0.0423,
          "implied_prob": 0.5961,
          "model_prob": 0.61,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410737,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2672,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Lech Pozna\u0144 II",
        "home": "T\u0142uchowia"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.141082,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2672,
        "implied_prob": 0.4125,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.528,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410737,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-13T15:59:37.298652+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Quay lại Dự đoán
III Liga - Group 2 III Liga - Group 2Bảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 33 24 5 4 77
2 Luzino 33 23 4 6 73
3 Polonia Środa 33 19 6 8 63
4 Lech Poznań II 33 14 7 12 49
5 Flota Świnoujście 33 14 7 12 49
6 Elana Toruń 33 14 7 12 49
7 Wda Świecie 32 14 6 12 48
8 Lipno Stęszew 33 14 6 13 48
9 Unia Swarzędz 33 13 8 12 47
10 Kluczevia Stargard 33 13 7 13 46
11 Noteć Czarnków 33 13 7 14 46
12 Stargard Szczeciński 33 11 9 13 42
13 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 33 10 9 14 39
14 Victoria Września 33 12 3 18 39
15 Cartusia Kartuzy 33 11 5 17 38
16 Pogoń Szczecin II 32 10 5 17 35
17 Tłuchowia 33 7 6 19 28
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 33 3 6 24 15
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Luzino 33 76 37 +39 73
2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 33 71 23 +48 77
3 Lech Poznań II 33 66 52 +14 49
4 Polonia Środa 33 65 42 +23 63
5 Pogoń Szczecin II 32 58 64 -6 35
6 Stargard Szczeciński 33 53 51 +2 42
7 Kluczevia Stargard 33 52 40 +12 46
8 Flota Świnoujście 33 48 49 -1 49
9 Elana Toruń 33 47 50 -3 49
10 Noteć Czarnków 33 46 45 +1 46
11 Unia Swarzędz 33 44 37 +7 47
12 Lipno Stęszew 33 43 51 -8 48
13 Wda Świecie 32 42 50 -8 48
14 Victoria Września 33 39 45 -6 39
15 Cartusia Kartuzy 33 38 49 -11 38
16 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 33 34 44 -10 39
17 Tłuchowia 33 32 64 -32 28
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 33 19 80 -61 15