Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Kitzbühel Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 36.9%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về Kitzbühel, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Kitzbühel Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 0-0 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "7638cebcc0b9051aaa56841c2502367896b2a8af931c72309000215aa25c3e2d",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.341,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.2897,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.3693,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": 0.341,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.341,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.478,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.522,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2897,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.2897,
"fair_odds_away": 2.93,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 2.93,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.45,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.45,
"fair_odds_home": 2.71,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.71,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.23,
"home_win_prob": 0.3693,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.3693,
"over_25_prob": 0.451,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.549
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Kitzb\u00fchel or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0553,
"edge_gap": 0.0277,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4242,
"model_prob": 0.3689,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 34.1,
"draw": 29.0,
"home": 36.9
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.07
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.07,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Kitzb\u00fchel Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.36,
"market_odds": 2.07,
"model_odds": 2.71,
"overround": 13.9,
"prob_edge": -11.4,
"value_pct": -23.6,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 71.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 10,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 70.8,
"no_prob": 47.8,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 52.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 52.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.25,
"home_expected": 1.23,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 8.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Kitzb\u00fchel or Draw",
"prob": 65.9
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Kitzb\u00fchel or TSV St. Johann",
"prob": 71.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or TSV St. Johann",
"prob": 63.1
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel or TSV St. Johann",
"pick_prob": 71.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.1,
"draw_pct": 29.0,
"home_pct": 36.9,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.48,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 45.1,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 54.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.48,
"under_prob": 54.9
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 5.8,
"implied_prob": 27.4,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 29.0,
"odds": 3.65
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.9
}
},
"home_xg": 1.23,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.4101,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 41.0,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_yes": -0.2431,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -24.3,
"text": "-24.3%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.4101,
"no_prob": 47.8,
"sort_key": 10519.09,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 52.2
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2964,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -29.6,
"text": "-29.6%"
},
"ev_under": 0.5262,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 52.6,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.5262,
"over_prob": 45.1,
"sort_key": 10473.58,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 54.9,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1691,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -16.9,
"text": "-16.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4242,
"max_ev": -0.0719,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -7.2,
"text": "-7.2%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3689,
"side_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel",
"sort_key": 1782.025,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.7,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.9
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 4994,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4994.webp",
"away_team_name": "TSV St. Johann",
"country_code": "AT",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/at.svg",
"country_name": "Austria",
"fixture_id": 1398946,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Austria",
"home_team_id": 4947,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4947.webp",
"home_team_name": "Kitzb\u00fchel",
"league_country": "Austria",
"league_id": 223,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/223.webp",
"league_name": "Regionalliga - West",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-06-04 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Kitzb\u00fchel",
"venue_name": "Sportplatz Langau"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
],
"score": 4.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4459,
"best_odd": 2.62,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0027,
"ev": -0.1148,
"implied_prob": 0.3352,
"model_prob": 0.3412,
"p_final": 0.3379
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2779,
"best_odd": 3.65,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0137,
"ev": -0.0719,
"implied_prob": 0.2406,
"model_prob": 0.2898,
"p_final": 0.2543
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4127,
"best_odd": 2.07,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0228,
"ev": -0.1691,
"implied_prob": 0.4242,
"model_prob": 0.3689,
"p_final": 0.4014
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.95,
"best_yes_odd": 1.45,
"edge_no": 0.1481,
"edge_yes": -0.1481,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.4101,
"ev_yes": -0.2431,
"implied_no": 0.3299,
"implied_yes": 0.6701,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.56,
"best_under_odd": 2.78,
"edge_over": -0.1831,
"edge_under": 0.1831,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2964,
"ev_under": 0.5262,
"implied_over": 0.6341,
"implied_under": 0.3659,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.48,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5262,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.522,
"draw_prob": 0.2898,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3689,
"over_prob": 0.451,
"total_xg": 2.48,
"under_prob": 0.549,
"xg_diff": 0.02
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0228,
"ev": -0.1691,
"implied_prob": 0.4242,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3689,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1481,
"ev": 0.4101,
"implied_prob": 0.3299,
"model_prob": 0.478,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1831,
"ev": 0.5262,
"implied_prob": 0.3659,
"model_prob": 0.549,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1398946,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5262,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3412,
"draw": 0.2898,
"home": 0.3689
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"variance_medium"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5262,
"implied_prob": 0.3659,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.549,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5262,
"implied_prob": 0.3659,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.549,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "TSV St. Johann",
"home": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.196028,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4101,
"implied_prob": 0.3299,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.478,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1398946,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-04T18:09:54.689145+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Kitzbühel & TSV St. Johann!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Regionalliga - West — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wacker Innsbruck | 31 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 83 |
| 2 | Kuchl | 31 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 65 |
| 3 | Seekirchen | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 61 |
| 4 | Imst | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 61 |
| 5 | Dornbirn | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Bischofshofen | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | SVG Reichenau | 31 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 45 |
| 8 | Hohenems | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Schwaz | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 44 |
| 10 | Kitzbühel | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 43 |
| 11 | Wals-Grünau | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 |
| 12 | TSV St. Johann | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 32 |
| 13 | Lustenau | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 31 |
| 14 | Rheindorf Altach II | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 27 |
| 15 | Kufstein | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 |
| 16 | Pinzgau Saalfelden | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 24 |
| 17 | Lauterach | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 20 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wacker Innsbruck | 31 | 83 | 18 | +65 | 83 |
| 2 | Seekirchen | 31 | 82 | 47 | +35 | 61 |
| 3 | Imst | 31 | 68 | 38 | +30 | 61 |
| 4 | Kuchl | 31 | 61 | 40 | +21 | 65 |
| 5 | Dornbirn | 31 | 61 | 44 | +17 | 52 |
| 6 | Bischofshofen | 31 | 58 | 42 | +16 | 51 |
| 7 | Schwaz | 32 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 44 |
| 8 | Hohenems | 31 | 53 | 49 | +4 | 44 |
| 9 | Wals-Grünau | 31 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 38 |
| 10 | Lustenau | 31 | 46 | 77 | -31 | 31 |
| 11 | TSV St. Johann | 31 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | SVG Reichenau | 31 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Kitzbühel | 31 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 14 | Lauterach | 31 | 40 | 78 | -38 | 20 |
| 15 | Rheindorf Altach II | 31 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 27 |
| 16 | Kufstein | 31 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 25 |
| 17 | Pinzgau Saalfelden | 31 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |