Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Leixoes Hơi yêu thích
- Xác suất mô hình
- 47.8%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình nghiêng về Leixoes, có sự tách biệt khiêm tốn với các kết quả khác. Theo dõi diễn biến thị trường trước khi bắt đầu.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Leixoes Leixoes ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 2-0, 0-1 2-1 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "74f0393a2f9580bbaff723b3baaaad57871c5244ffe80e3d1e7fe595dcc3ec52",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.8,
"away_win_prob": 0.207,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3147,
"fair_odds_away": 4.83,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.18,
"fair_odds_home": 2.09,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.34,
"home_win_prob": 0.4783,
"prediction_confidence": "low"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Leixoes or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Leixoes",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Leixoes"
},
"away_xg": 0.8,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Leixoes",
"confidence": 47.9,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "Winner : Leixoes",
"edge": 0.0177,
"edge_gap": 0.164,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4608,
"model_prob": 0.4785,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 20.7,
"draw": 31.4,
"home": 47.8
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Leixoes"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.04
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.04,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Leixoes Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.17,
"market_odds": 2.04,
"model_odds": 2.09,
"overround": 6.4,
"prob_edge": -1.2,
"value_pct": -2.4,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 8,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 55.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 73.8,
"no_prob": 57.7,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 57.7,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 42.3
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.8,
"home_expected": 1.34,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 15.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 11.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.4
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Leixoes or Draw",
"prob": 79.3
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Leixoes or Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
"prob": 68.5
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
"prob": 52.2
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Leixoes or Draw",
"pick_prob": 79.3
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 20.7,
"draw_pct": 31.5,
"home_pct": 47.8,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Leixoes"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.14,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 36.1,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 63.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.14,
"under_prob": 63.9
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 13.1,
"implied_prob": 27.9,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 31.5,
"odds": 3.59
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Leixoes",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.08,
"gap_pp": 1.77,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 47.85
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.19,
"gap_pp": 5.26,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 31.45
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.73,
"gap_pp": -7.03,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 20.7
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.56,
"gap_pp": -17.46,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 36.1
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.44,
"gap_pp": 17.46,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 63.9
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.04,
"early": 2.04,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.08,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.08,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.59,
"early": 3.59,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.19,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.19,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.39,
"early": 3.39,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.73,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 27.73,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.76,
"early": 1.76,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.56,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.56,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.03,
"early": 2.03,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.44,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.44,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 17.5,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 15.8
}
},
"home_xg": 1.34,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2852,
"ev_under": 0.2588,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2588,
"over_prob": 36.1,
"sort_key": 10382.92,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 63.9,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2117,
"ev_yes": -0.2471,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2117,
"no_prob": 57.7,
"sort_key": 10190.53,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 42.3
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0441,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4608,
"max_ev": -0.0077,
"model_prob": 0.4785,
"side_label": "Leixoes",
"sort_key": 1798.075,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 827.4,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 15.8
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 6358,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6358.webp",
"away_team_name": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pt.svg",
"country_name": "Portugal",
"fixture_id": 1398269,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 244,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/244.webp",
"home_team_name": "Leixoes",
"league_country": "Portugal",
"league_id": 95,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/95.webp",
"league_name": "Segunda Liga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2684,
"best_odd": 3.39,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0189,
"ev": -0.1238,
"implied_prob": 0.2773,
"model_prob": 0.207,
"p_final": 0.2585
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2763,
"best_odd": 3.59,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0145,
"ev": -0.0077,
"implied_prob": 0.2619,
"model_prob": 0.3145,
"p_final": 0.2764
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4381,
"best_odd": 2.04,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0077,
"ev": -0.0441,
"implied_prob": 0.4608,
"model_prob": 0.4785,
"p_final": 0.4686
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.1,
"best_yes_odd": 1.78,
"edge_no": 0.1219,
"edge_yes": -0.1219,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2117,
"ev_yes": -0.2471,
"implied_no": 0.4551,
"implied_yes": 0.5449,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.98,
"best_under_odd": 1.97,
"edge_over": -0.144,
"edge_under": 0.144,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2852,
"ev_under": 0.2588,
"implied_over": 0.505,
"implied_under": 0.495,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.14,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2588,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.423,
"draw_prob": 0.3145,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4785,
"over_prob": 0.361,
"total_xg": 2.14,
"under_prob": 0.639,
"xg_diff": 0.54
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0077,
"ev": -0.0441,
"implied_prob": 0.4608,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4785,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Leixoes"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1219,
"ev": 0.2117,
"implied_prob": 0.4551,
"model_prob": 0.577,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.144,
"ev": 0.2588,
"implied_prob": 0.495,
"model_prob": 0.639,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1398269,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2588,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.207,
"draw": 0.3145,
"home": 0.4785
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2117,
"implied_prob": 0.4551,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.577,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2117,
"implied_prob": 0.4551,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.577,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
"home": "Leixoes"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.165373,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2588,
"implied_prob": 0.495,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.639,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1398269,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T15:01:29.540460+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Leixoes & Lusitânia Lourosa!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Segunda Liga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | União de Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 |
| 16 | Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 58 | 33 | +25 | 59 |
| 2 | União de Leiria | 34 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 50 |
| 3 | Maritimo | 34 | 50 | 29 | +21 | 66 |
| 4 | Torreense | 34 | 46 | 33 | +13 | 59 |
| 5 | Leixoes | 34 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 50 |
| 6 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 34 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 43 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 34 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaves | 34 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 34 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 51 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 34 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 34 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 41 |
| 14 | Feirense | 34 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 46 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 34 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 44 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Oliveirense | 34 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 34 |
| 18 | Farense | 34 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 40 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 9.6 | 5.5 | +4.1 | 66 |
| 2 | Chaves | 34 | 7.5 | 4.3 | +3.2 | 45 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 8.5 | 6.2 | +2.3 | 59 |
| 4 | Feirense | 34 | 2.9 | 1.1 | +1.8 | 46 |
| 5 | Leixoes | 34 | 7.9 | 7.1 | +0.8 | 50 |
| 6 | Portimonense | 34 | 6.2 | 5.4 | +0.8 | 40 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 34 | 4.1 | 3.5 | +0.6 | 44 |
| 8 | Felgueiras 1932 | 34 | 7.2 | 6.7 | +0.5 | 44 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 34 | 8.6 | 8.2 | +0.4 | 50 |
| 10 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 3.6 | 3.2 | +0.4 | 42 |
| 11 | Farense | 34 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -0.4 | 40 |
| 12 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 34 | 7.6 | 8.5 | -0.9 | 43 |
| 13 | Vizela | 34 | 3.1 | 4.4 | -1.3 | 51 |
| 14 | Oliveirense | 34 | 6.8 | 8.7 | -1.9 | 34 |
| 15 | Torreense | 34 | 3.1 | 5.0 | -1.9 | 59 |
| 16 | Penafiel | 34 | 4.7 | 7.3 | -2.6 | 41 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 34 | 4.0 | 6.7 | -2.7 | 51 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 4.0 | 7.3 | -3.3 | 39 |