Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- União de Leiria Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 43.2%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về União de Leiria, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 União de Leiria Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-2 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "201c1b7d41e7b403b4c63792aadbdf0e8e72e966080c200baf86071f31a36d82",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.95,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Feirense",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Feirense"
},
"away_xg": 0.95,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1126,
"edge_gap": 0.1447,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5443,
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 28.1,
"draw": 28.7,
"home": 43.2
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 11,
"away_failed_to_score": 12,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 63.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 75.8,
"no_prob": 51.8,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 48.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.2,
"home_expected": 1.35,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria or Feirense",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Feirense",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Feirense",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.55,
"away_avg_scored": 1.1,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.5,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.55,
"under_prob": 53.1
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Feirense",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.43,
"gap_pp": -11.26,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 43.17
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 23.94,
"gap_pp": 4.76,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 28.7
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 21.62,
"gap_pp": 6.51,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 28.13
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.12,
"gap_pp": -8.22,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 46.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.88,
"gap_pp": 8.22,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 53.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.72,
"early": 1.72,
"implied_closing_pct": 54.43,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 54.43,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.91,
"early": 3.91,
"implied_closing_pct": 23.94,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 23.94,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 4.33,
"early": 4.33,
"implied_closing_pct": 21.62,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 21.62,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.71,
"early": 1.71,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.12,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.12,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.1,
"early": 2.1,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.88,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.88,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 8.2,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.25,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0619,
"ev_yes": -0.1276,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0619,
"no_prob": 51.8,
"sort_key": 10205.71,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 48.2
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1136,
"ev_under": 0.0726,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0726,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"sort_key": 10065.34,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 53.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1604,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5443,
"max_ev": -0.012,
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"side_label": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria",
"sort_key": 1797.0,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 213,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/213.webp",
"away_team_name": "Feirense",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pt.svg",
"country_name": "Portugal",
"fixture_id": 1398268,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 4662,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4662.webp",
"home_team_name": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria",
"league_country": "Portugal",
"league_id": 95,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/95.webp",
"league_name": "Segunda Liga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1805,
"best_odd": 4.33,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0117,
"ev": -0.0129,
"implied_prob": 0.2162,
"model_prob": 0.2813,
"p_final": 0.228
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2786,
"best_odd": 3.91,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0132,
"ev": -0.012,
"implied_prob": 0.2394,
"model_prob": 0.287,
"p_final": 0.2527
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4986,
"best_odd": 1.72,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0562,
"ev": -0.1604,
"implied_prob": 0.5443,
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"p_final": 0.4882
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.05,
"best_yes_odd": 1.81,
"edge_no": 0.0535,
"edge_yes": -0.0535,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0619,
"ev_yes": -0.1276,
"implied_no": 0.4645,
"implied_yes": 0.5355,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.89,
"best_under_odd": 2.02,
"edge_over": -0.0515,
"edge_under": 0.0515,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1136,
"ev_under": 0.0726,
"implied_over": 0.5205,
"implied_under": 0.4795,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.2,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0726,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.482,
"draw_prob": 0.287,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4317,
"over_prob": 0.469,
"total_xg": 2.2,
"under_prob": 0.531,
"xg_diff": 0.3
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0562,
"ev": -0.1604,
"implied_prob": 0.5443,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0535,
"ev": 0.0619,
"implied_prob": 0.4645,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0515,
"ev": 0.0726,
"implied_prob": 0.4795,
"model_prob": 0.531,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1398268,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0726,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2813,
"draw": 0.287,
"home": 0.4317
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0726,
"implied_prob": 0.4795,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0726,
"implied_prob": 0.4795,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Feirense",
"home": "Uni\u00e3o de Leiria"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.032064,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0619,
"implied_prob": 0.4645,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1398268,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T15:01:17.203374+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho União de Leiria & Feirense!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Segunda Liga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | União de Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 |
| 16 | Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 58 | 33 | +25 | 59 |
| 2 | União de Leiria | 34 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 50 |
| 3 | Maritimo | 34 | 50 | 29 | +21 | 66 |
| 4 | Torreense | 34 | 46 | 33 | +13 | 59 |
| 5 | Leixoes | 34 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 50 |
| 6 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 34 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 43 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 34 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaves | 34 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 34 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 51 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 34 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 34 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 41 |
| 14 | Feirense | 34 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 46 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 34 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 44 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Oliveirense | 34 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 34 |
| 18 | Farense | 34 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 40 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 9.6 | 5.5 | +4.1 | 66 |
| 2 | Chaves | 34 | 7.5 | 4.3 | +3.2 | 45 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 8.5 | 6.2 | +2.3 | 59 |
| 4 | Feirense | 34 | 2.9 | 1.1 | +1.8 | 46 |
| 5 | Leixoes | 34 | 7.9 | 7.1 | +0.8 | 50 |
| 6 | Portimonense | 34 | 6.2 | 5.4 | +0.8 | 40 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 34 | 4.1 | 3.5 | +0.6 | 44 |
| 8 | Felgueiras 1932 | 34 | 7.2 | 6.7 | +0.5 | 44 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 34 | 8.6 | 8.2 | +0.4 | 50 |
| 10 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 3.6 | 3.2 | +0.4 | 42 |
| 11 | Farense | 34 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -0.4 | 40 |
| 12 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 34 | 7.6 | 8.5 | -0.9 | 43 |
| 13 | Vizela | 34 | 3.1 | 4.4 | -1.3 | 51 |
| 14 | Oliveirense | 34 | 6.8 | 8.7 | -1.9 | 34 |
| 15 | Torreense | 34 | 3.1 | 5.0 | -1.9 | 59 |
| 16 | Penafiel | 34 | 4.7 | 7.3 | -2.6 | 41 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 34 | 4.0 | 6.7 | -2.7 | 51 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 4.0 | 7.3 | -3.3 | 39 |