Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Beşiktaş Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 41.0%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về Beşiktaş, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Beşiktaş Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 2-2 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "5ab55ebd1df1009d4ceecbe2f7f1e9a60d0adf1d75ab4ac2d45156aa9338ada8",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.59,
"away_win_prob": 0.4102,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2722,
"fair_odds_away": 2.44,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.67,
"fair_odds_home": 3.15,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.38,
"home_win_prob": 0.3176,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Be\u015fikta\u015f"
},
"away_xg": 1.59,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0268,
"edge_gap": 0.0924,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4367,
"model_prob": 0.4099,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 41.0,
"draw": 27.3,
"home": 31.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 2.15
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.15,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"display_market": "Be\u015fikta\u015f Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 2.29,
"market_odds": 2.15,
"model_odds": 2.44,
"overround": 6.5,
"prob_edge": -5.5,
"value_pct": -11.9,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 10,
"away_failed_to_score": 5,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 79.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 9,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 74.8,
"no_prob": 39.0,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 61.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 61.0
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.59,
"home_expected": 1.38,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 7.1
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Rizespor or Draw",
"prob": 59.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Rizespor or Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"prob": 72.8
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"prob": 68.2
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Rizespor or Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"pick_prob": 72.8
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 41.0,
"draw_pct": 27.2,
"home_pct": 31.8,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.97,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 57.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 57.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.97,
"under_prob": 43.0
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"edge": 2.0,
"implied_prob": 26.7,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 27.2,
"odds": 3.75
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"closing_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Rizespor",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.3,
"gap_pp": 0.46,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 31.75
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.04,
"gap_pp": 2.22,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 27.25
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.67,
"gap_pp": -2.68,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 40.99
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 65.22,
"gap_pp": -8.22,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 57.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.78,
"gap_pp": 8.22,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 43.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 66.27,
"gap_pp": -5.27,
"kind": "btts_y",
"model_pct": 61.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 33.73,
"gap_pp": 5.27,
"kind": "btts_n",
"model_pct": 39.0
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.0,
"early": 3.0,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.3,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.3,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.75,
"early": 3.75,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.04,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.04,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.15,
"early": 2.15,
"implied_closing_pct": 43.67,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 43.67,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.44,
"early": 1.44,
"implied_closing_pct": 65.22,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 65.22,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.7,
"early": 2.7,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.78,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.78,
"kind": "ou_u"
},
{
"closing": 1.4,
"early": 1.4,
"implied_closing_pct": 66.27,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 66.27,
"kind": "btts_y"
},
{
"closing": 2.75,
"early": 2.75,
"implied_closing_pct": 33.73,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 33.73,
"kind": "btts_n"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 8.2,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.3
}
},
"home_xg": 1.38,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.145,
"ev_under": 0.204,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.204,
"over_prob": 57.0,
"sort_key": 10333.6,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 43.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.131,
"ev_yes": -0.1338,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.131,
"no_prob": 39.0,
"sort_key": 10117.9,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 61.0
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.086,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4367,
"max_ev": -0.037,
"model_prob": 0.4099,
"side_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"sort_key": 1790.75,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 813.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.3
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 549,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/549.webp",
"away_team_name": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
"country_name": "Turkey",
"fixture_id": 1394736,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 1007,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1007.webp",
"home_team_name": "Rizespor",
"league_country": "Turkey",
"league_id": 203,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
"league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 17:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4319,
"best_odd": 2.15,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0116,
"ev": -0.086,
"implied_prob": 0.4367,
"model_prob": 0.4099,
"p_final": 0.4251
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.29,
"best_odd": 3.75,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0064,
"ev": -0.037,
"implied_prob": 0.2504,
"model_prob": 0.2725,
"p_final": 0.2568
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2979,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0014,
"ev": -0.057,
"implied_prob": 0.313,
"model_prob": 0.3175,
"p_final": 0.3143
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.9,
"best_yes_odd": 1.42,
"edge_no": 0.0516,
"edge_yes": -0.0516,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.131,
"ev_yes": -0.1338,
"implied_no": 0.3384,
"implied_yes": 0.6616,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.5,
"best_under_odd": 2.8,
"edge_over": -0.0764,
"edge_under": 0.0764,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.145,
"ev_under": 0.204,
"implied_over": 0.6464,
"implied_under": 0.3536,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.97,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.204,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.61,
"draw_prob": 0.2725,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4099,
"over_prob": 0.57,
"total_xg": 2.97,
"under_prob": 0.43,
"xg_diff": 0.21
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0116,
"ev": -0.086,
"implied_prob": 0.4367,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4099,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0516,
"ev": 0.131,
"implied_prob": 0.3384,
"model_prob": 0.39,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0764,
"ev": 0.204,
"implied_prob": 0.3536,
"model_prob": 0.43,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1394736,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.204,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4099,
"draw": 0.2725,
"home": 0.3175
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
"home": "Rizespor"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.083334,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.204,
"implied_prob": 0.3536,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.43,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1394736,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T16:59:04.265708+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Rizespor & Beşiktaş!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Süper Lig — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 69 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Başakşehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 |
| 6 | Göztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| 18 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 77 | 30 | +47 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 77 | 37 | +40 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 61 | 39 | +22 | 69 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 59 | 40 | +19 | 60 |
| 5 | Başakşehir | 34 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 57 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 34 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 51 |
| 7 | Rizespor | 34 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 34 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | Gaziantep FK | 34 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 37 |
| 10 | Göztepe | 34 | 42 | 32 | +10 | 55 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 30 |
| 18 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 37 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 68.5 | 32.7 | +35.8 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 65.0 | 30.1 | +34.9 | 74 |
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 62.6 | 36.8 | +25.8 | 60 |
| 4 | Başakşehir | 34 | 53.5 | 42.7 | +10.8 | 57 |
| 5 | Göztepe | 34 | 46.6 | 35.8 | +10.8 | 55 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 50.4 | 43.9 | +6.5 | 69 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 43.1 | 38.9 | +4.2 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 45.3 | 45.5 | -0.2 | 41 |
| 9 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 30.1 | 33.2 | -3.1 | 37 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 34 | 44.0 | 47.4 | -3.4 | 40 |
| 11 | Gaziantep FK | 34 | 44.4 | 50.8 | -6.4 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 34.6 | 44.1 | -9.5 | 37 |
| 13 | Kayserispor | 34 | 37.9 | 51.7 | -13.8 | 30 |
| 14 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 29.2 | 43.8 | -14.6 | 35 |
| 15 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 33.2 | 48.0 | -14.8 | 30 |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 34.9 | 51.4 | -16.5 | 34 |
| 17 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 34.4 | 53.3 | -18.9 | 33 |
| 18 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 27.8 | 55.2 | -27.4 | 32 |