Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Fatih Karagümrük Hơi yêu thích
- Xác suất mô hình
- 52.5%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình nghiêng về Fatih Karagümrük, có sự tách biệt khiêm tốn với các kết quả khác. Theo dõi diễn biến thị trường trước khi bắt đầu.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 0-0, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "983350a649f1f9eab5778eb29c358d2fc8396c4f681e5bc6c0b4094a9e0f3673",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.76,
"away_win_prob": 0.1779,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2969,
"fair_odds_away": 5.62,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_home": 1.9,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.47,
"home_win_prob": 0.5251,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck"
},
"away_xg": 0.76,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
"confidence": 52.6,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
"edge": 0.1452,
"edge_gap": 0.2294,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3806,
"model_prob": 0.5258,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 17.8,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 52.6
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 2.55
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 2.55
},
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 2.54
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 2.5
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.5
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 2.45
},
{
"affi_link": null,
"bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
"odd": 2.45
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 2.44
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.55,
"bookmaker_affi": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
"bookmaker_id": 9,
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"display_market": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.63,
"market_odds": 2.46,
"model_odds": 1.9,
"overround": 6.9,
"prob_edge": 13.4,
"value_pct": 34.2,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 12,
"away_played": 31,
"away_score_rate": 53.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 13,
"home_played": 31,
"home_score_rate": 77.0,
"no_prob": 57.4,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 57.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 42.6
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.76,
"home_expected": 1.47,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 15.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck or Draw",
"prob": 82.2
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck or Genclerbirligi",
"prob": 70.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Genclerbirligi",
"prob": 47.5
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck or Draw",
"pick_prob": 82.2
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 17.8,
"draw_pct": 29.7,
"home_pct": 52.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.23,
"away_avg_scored": 1.0,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.9,
"over_prob": 38.5,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 61.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.23,
"under_prob": 61.5
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 9,
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"edge": 34.2,
"implied_prob": 39.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck Win",
"model_prob": 52.6,
"odds": 2.55
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": {
"best_bookmaker": "Betano",
"best_odds": 13.5,
"edge": 4.2,
"ev": 56.8,
"label": "2-0",
"probability": 11.6
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 15.8
}
},
"home_xg": 1.47,
"homepage_pick": {
"best_bookmaker": "1xBet",
"best_odds": 2.68,
"confidence": "moderate",
"display_label": "Home Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
"edge": 15.3,
"ev": 63.4,
"probability": 52.6
},
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1767,
"ev_yes": -0.2375,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1767,
"no_prob": 57.4,
"sort_key": 10309.03,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 42.6
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2146,
"ev_under": 0.1378,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1378,
"over_prob": 38.5,
"sort_key": 10124.02,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 61.5,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0542,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3787,
"max_ev": 0.0542,
"model_prob": 0.5258,
"side_label": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
"sort_key": 10048.78,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 827.4,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 15.8
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 997,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/997.webp",
"away_team_name": "Genclerbirligi",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
"country_name": "Turkey",
"fixture_id": 1394715,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 3589,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3589.webp",
"home_team_name": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
"league_country": "Turkey",
"league_id": 203,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
"league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-03 17:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3463,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0532,
"ev": -0.2211,
"implied_prob": 0.3314,
"model_prob": 0.1778,
"p_final": 0.2782
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2971,
"best_odd": 3.2,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0019,
"ev": -0.066,
"implied_prob": 0.2899,
"model_prob": 0.2964,
"p_final": 0.2919
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3507,
"best_odd": 2.45,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0516,
"ev": 0.0542,
"implied_prob": 0.3787,
"model_prob": 0.5258,
"p_final": 0.4303
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.05,
"best_yes_odd": 1.79,
"edge_no": 0.1091,
"edge_yes": -0.1091,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1767,
"ev_yes": -0.2375,
"implied_no": 0.4649,
"implied_yes": 0.5351,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.04,
"best_under_odd": 1.85,
"edge_over": -0.0881,
"edge_under": 0.0881,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2146,
"ev_under": 0.1378,
"implied_over": 0.4731,
"implied_under": 0.5269,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.23,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1767,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.426,
"draw_prob": 0.2964,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5258,
"over_prob": 0.385,
"total_xg": 2.23,
"under_prob": 0.615,
"xg_diff": 0.71
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0516,
"ev": 0.0542,
"implied_prob": 0.3787,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.5258,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1091,
"ev": 0.1767,
"implied_prob": 0.4649,
"model_prob": 0.574,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0881,
"ev": 0.1378,
"implied_prob": 0.5269,
"model_prob": 0.615,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1394715,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1767,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1778,
"draw": 0.2964,
"home": 0.5258
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1378,
"implied_prob": 0.5269,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.615,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1378,
"implied_prob": 0.5269,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.615,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Genclerbirligi",
"home": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.101426,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1767,
"implied_prob": 0.4649,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.574,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1394715,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-03T10:10:42.134092+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Fatih Karagümrük & Gençlerbirliği S.K.!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Süper Lig — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 69 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Başakşehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 |
| 6 | Göztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| 18 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 77 | 30 | +47 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 77 | 37 | +40 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 61 | 39 | +22 | 69 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 59 | 40 | +19 | 60 |
| 5 | Başakşehir | 34 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 57 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 34 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 51 |
| 7 | Rizespor | 34 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 34 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | Gaziantep FK | 34 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 37 |
| 10 | Göztepe | 34 | 42 | 32 | +10 | 55 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 30 |
| 18 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 37 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 68.5 | 32.7 | +35.8 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 65.0 | 30.1 | +34.9 | 74 |
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 62.6 | 36.8 | +25.8 | 60 |
| 4 | Başakşehir | 34 | 53.5 | 42.7 | +10.8 | 57 |
| 5 | Göztepe | 34 | 46.6 | 35.8 | +10.8 | 55 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 50.4 | 43.9 | +6.5 | 69 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 43.1 | 38.9 | +4.2 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 45.3 | 45.5 | -0.2 | 41 |
| 9 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 30.1 | 33.2 | -3.1 | 37 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 34 | 44.0 | 47.4 | -3.4 | 40 |
| 11 | Gaziantep FK | 34 | 44.4 | 50.8 | -6.4 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 34.6 | 44.1 | -9.5 | 37 |
| 13 | Kayserispor | 34 | 37.9 | 51.7 | -13.8 | 30 |
| 14 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 29.2 | 43.8 | -14.6 | 35 |
| 15 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 33.2 | 48.0 | -14.8 | 30 |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 34.9 | 51.4 | -16.5 | 34 |
| 17 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 34.4 | 53.3 | -18.9 | 33 |
| 18 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 27.8 | 55.2 | -27.4 | 32 |