Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Hungary. NB II / Kozarmisleny FC vs Karcag SE

Kozarmisleny FC vs Karcag SE Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 17, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Kozarmisleny FC Kozarmisleny FC ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "7552a2f29c821953eab53579761aa78a1f3165639ce9c5f8980f8499f79061ab",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Kozarmisleny FC or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Kozarmisleny FC"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Kozarmisleny FC",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0514,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.469,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 7,
        "away_failed_to_score": 11,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 62.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 72.4,
        "no_prob": 55.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 44.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.15,
        "home_expected": 1.25,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 11.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 9.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Kozarmisleny FC or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Kozarmisleny FC or Karcag SE",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Karcag SE",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Kozarmisleny FC or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Kozarmisleny FC"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.4,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 43.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 57.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.4,
        "under_prob": 57.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Karcag SE",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Kozarmisleny FC",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 46.9,
          "gap_pp": -5.14,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.86,
          "gap_pp": -1.19,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.24,
          "gap_pp": 6.33,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 49.6,
          "gap_pp": -6.6,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 43.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 50.4,
          "gap_pp": 6.6,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 57.0
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.93,
          "early": 1.93,
          "implied_closing_pct": 46.9,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 46.9,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.37,
          "early": 3.37,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.86,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.86,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.45,
          "early": 3.45,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.24,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.24,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.89,
          "early": 1.89,
          "implied_closing_pct": 49.6,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 49.6,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.86,
          "early": 1.86,
          "implied_closing_pct": 50.4,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 50.4,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 6.6,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 13.0
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0745,
        "ev_yes": -0.2008,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0745,
        "no_prob": 55.1,
        "sort_key": 10217.05,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 44.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1486,
        "ev_under": 0.0545,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0545,
        "over_prob": 43.0,
        "sort_key": 10049.05,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 57.0,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1497,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.469,
        "max_ev": -0.0355,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Kozarmisleny FC",
        "sort_key": 1791.125,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 819.0,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 13.0
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 17289,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/17289.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Karcag SE",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/hu.svg",
      "country_name": "Hungary",
      "fixture_id": 1394047,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2420,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2420.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Kozarmisleny FC",
      "league_country": "Hungary",
      "league_id": 272,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/272.webp",
      "league_name": "NB II",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2715,
            "best_odd": 3.45,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0172,
            "ev": -0.0355,
            "implied_prob": 0.2624,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2796
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2946,
            "best_odd": 3.37,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0035,
            "ev": -0.1066,
            "implied_prob": 0.2686,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2651
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5538,
            "best_odd": 1.93,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0284,
            "ev": -0.1497,
            "implied_prob": 0.469,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4406
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.95,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.78,
          "edge_no": 0.0713,
          "edge_yes": -0.0713,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0745,
          "ev_yes": -0.2008,
          "implied_no": 0.4797,
          "implied_yes": 0.5203,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.98,
          "best_under_odd": 1.85,
          "edge_over": -0.0473,
          "edge_under": 0.0473,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1486,
          "ev_under": 0.0545,
          "implied_over": 0.4773,
          "implied_under": 0.5227,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0745,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.449,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.43,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.57,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0284,
          "ev": -0.1497,
          "implied_prob": 0.469,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Kozarmisleny FC"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0713,
          "ev": 0.0745,
          "implied_prob": 0.4797,
          "model_prob": 0.551,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0473,
          "ev": 0.0545,
          "implied_prob": 0.5227,
          "model_prob": 0.57,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1394047,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0745,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0545,
        "implied_prob": 0.5227,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.57,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0545,
          "implied_prob": 0.5227,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.57,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Karcag SE",
        "home": "Kozarmisleny FC"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.04105,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0745,
        "implied_prob": 0.4797,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.551,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1394047,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T15:00:24.226219+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Kozarmisleny FC & Karcag SE!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
NB II NB IIBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Vasas 30 20 4 6 64
2 Budapest Honved 30 18 5 7 59
3 Kecskeméti TE 30 16 3 11 51
4 Kozarmisleny FC 30 13 9 8 48
5 Mezokovesd-zsory 30 13 7 10 46
6 Csakvar 30 12 10 8 46
7 BVSC 30 12 5 13 41
8 Fehérvár FC 30 10 9 11 39
9 Tiszakecske FC 30 10 9 11 39
10 Szeged 2011 30 9 9 12 36
11 Karcag SE 30 9 8 13 35
12 Ajka 30 10 3 17 33
13 Soroksar 30 8 9 13 33
14 Szentlőrinc SE 30 7 12 11 33
15 Budafoki LC 30 7 8 15 29
16 Bekescsaba 1912 30 6 10 14 28
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Vasas 30 59 26 +33 64
2 Budapest Honved 30 49 26 +23 59
3 Kecskeméti TE 30 49 39 +10 51
4 Csakvar 30 43 37 +6 46
5 Soroksar 30 41 45 -4 33
6 Kozarmisleny FC 30 38 40 -2 48
7 Fehérvár FC 30 37 33 +4 39
8 Mezokovesd-zsory 30 37 34 +3 46
9 Tiszakecske FC 30 37 44 -7 39
10 BVSC 30 36 30 +6 41
11 Szentlőrinc SE 30 35 42 -7 33
12 Budafoki LC 30 33 49 -16 29
13 Szeged 2011 30 29 34 -5 36
14 Karcag SE 30 29 41 -12 35
15 Bekescsaba 1912 30 27 42 -15 28
16 Ajka 30 23 40 -17 33