Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Spain. La Liga / Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 09, 2026 - 16:30
0 1.46
1 1.39
xG Accuracy: 60%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Atletico Madrid Celta Vigo ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "5de0986f301170bc8902592b495a5edb1774bbef75e422bff887c0c4e3cafb91",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.39,
      "away_win_prob": 0.344,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2806,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.91,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.56,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.66,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.46,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3755,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Atletico Madrid"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.39,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Atletico Madrid",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0789,
        "edge_gap": 0.0323,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4546,
        "model_prob": 0.3758,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 34.3,
          "draw": 28.1,
          "home": 37.6
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.14
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.14,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Atletico Madrid Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.2,
        "market_odds": 2.14,
        "model_odds": 2.66,
        "overround": 2.8,
        "prob_edge": -9.1,
        "value_pct": -19.5,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 6,
        "away_played": 34,
        "away_score_rate": 75.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 13,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 34,
        "home_score_rate": 76.8,
        "no_prob": 40.8,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 59.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 59.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.39,
        "home_expected": 1.46,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Atletico Madrid or Draw",
            "prob": 65.6
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Atletico Madrid or Celta Vigo",
            "prob": 71.9
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Celta Vigo",
            "prob": 62.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Atletico Madrid or Celta Vigo",
        "pick_prob": 71.9
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 34.4,
        "draw_pct": 28.1,
        "home_pct": 37.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Atletico Madrid"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.85,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 54.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.85,
        "under_prob": 45.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 19.7,
        "implied_prob": 28.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Celta Vigo Win",
        "model_prob": 34.4,
        "odds": 3.48
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.46,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0515,
        "ev_under": 0.0488,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0488,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "sort_key": 10043.92,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 45.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0941,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4546,
        "max_ev": 0.0332,
        "model_prob": 0.3758,
        "side_label": "Atletico Madrid",
        "sort_key": 5226.56,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.029,
        "ev_yes": -0.041,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.029,
        "no_prob": 40.8,
        "sort_key": 1792.75,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 59.2
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 815.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 538,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/538.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Celta Vigo",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1391160,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 530,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/530.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Atletico Madrid",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 140,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/140.webp",
      "league_name": "La Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2712,
            "best_odd": 3.48,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0173,
            "ev": 0.0332,
            "implied_prob": 0.2796,
            "model_prob": 0.3435,
            "p_final": 0.2969
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2933,
            "best_odd": 3.66,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0044,
            "ev": -0.0111,
            "implied_prob": 0.2658,
            "model_prob": 0.2808,
            "p_final": 0.2702
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3968,
            "best_odd": 2.14,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0313,
            "ev": -0.0941,
            "implied_prob": 0.4546,
            "model_prob": 0.3758,
            "p_final": 0.4233
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.38,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_no": 0.0045,
          "edge_yes": -0.0045,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.029,
          "ev_yes": -0.041,
          "implied_no": 0.4035,
          "implied_yes": 0.5965,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.75,
          "best_under_odd": 2.29,
          "edge_over": -0.021,
          "edge_under": 0.021,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0515,
          "ev_under": 0.0488,
          "implied_over": 0.563,
          "implied_under": 0.437,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.85,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0488,
      "confidence": 4.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 4.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.592,
          "draw_prob": 0.2808,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3758,
          "over_prob": 0.542,
          "total_xg": 2.85,
          "under_prob": 0.458,
          "xg_diff": 0.07
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0488,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.437,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.458,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0332,
          "implied_prob": 0.2796,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.3435,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Celta Vigo",
          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0313,
          "ev": -0.0941,
          "implied_prob": 0.4546,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3758,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Atletico Madrid"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0045,
          "ev": -0.029,
          "implied_prob": 0.4035,
          "model_prob": 0.408,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.021,
          "ev": 0.0488,
          "implied_prob": 0.437,
          "model_prob": 0.458,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1391160,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0488,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3435,
        "draw": 0.2808,
        "home": 0.3758
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals",
        "longshot_high_variance"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Celta Vigo",
        "home": "Atletico Madrid"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1391160,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:59:06.315016+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Atletico Madrid & Celta Vigo!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
La Liga La LigaBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 86
3 Villarreal 37 21 6 10 69
4 Atletico Madrid 37 21 6 10 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 46
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 41
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 29
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Barcelona 38 95 36 +59 94
2 Real Madrid 38 77 35 +42 86
3 Villarreal 37 67 45 +22 69
4 Atletico Madrid 37 61 39 +22 69
5 Real Betis 38 59 48 +11 60
6 Real Sociedad 38 59 61 -2 46
7 Celta Vigo 38 53 48 +5 54
8 Elche 38 49 57 -8 43
9 Mallorca 38 47 57 -10 42
10 Levante 38 47 61 -14 42
11 Valencia 38 46 55 -9 49
12 Sevilla 38 46 60 -14 43
13 Osasuna 38 44 50 -6 42
14 Alaves 38 44 56 -12 43
15 Espanyol 38 43 55 -12 46
16 Athletic Club 38 43 58 -15 45
17 Rayo Vallecano 38 41 44 -3 50
18 Girona 38 39 55 -16 41
19 Getafe 38 32 38 -6 51
20 Oviedo 38 26 60 -34 29
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Barcelona 38 86.7 45.6 +41.1 94
2 Real Madrid 38 74.8 40.1 +34.7 86
3 Villarreal 37 57.8 45.0 +12.8 69
4 Atletico Madrid 37 58.0 48.5 +9.5 69
5 Real Betis 38 54.7 45.5 +9.2 60
6 Athletic Club 38 49.4 40.5 +8.9 45
7 Valencia 38 49.3 46.3 +3.0 49
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 50.1 48.0 +2.1 50
9 Celta Vigo 38 49.7 49.4 +0.3 54
10 Alaves 38 46.1 47.4 -1.3 43
11 Osasuna 38 45.5 49.1 -3.6 42
12 Espanyol 38 48.4 53.8 -5.4 46
13 Real Sociedad 38 49.0 54.7 -5.7 46
14 Levante 38 51.5 59.3 -7.8 42
15 Girona 38 45.6 55.4 -9.8 41
16 Getafe 38 30.2 40.8 -10.6 51
17 Sevilla 38 38.0 54.0 -16.0 43
18 Mallorca 38 43.1 61.9 -18.8 42
19 Elche 38 40.5 60.1 -19.6 43
20 Oviedo 38 34.3 57.3 -23.0 29