Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- 1. FC Magdeburg Hơi yêu thích
- Xác suất mô hình
- 47.9%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình nghiêng về 1. FC Magdeburg, có sự tách biệt khiêm tốn với các kết quả khác. Theo dõi diễn biến thị trường trước khi bắt đầu.
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
- 1X2 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Kaiserslautern ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 0-1 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "0c8812c0a43c6bfc21798d0fe073ca8a8dff8e8c3466a1be6f09e80f1939407e",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.1,
"away_win_prob": 0.2431,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2777,
"fair_odds_away": 4.11,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.6,
"fair_odds_home": 2.09,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.62,
"home_win_prob": 0.4793,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : 1. FC Magdeburg or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "1. FC Magdeburg"
},
"away_xg": 1.1,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "1. FC Magdeburg",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"edge": -0.1188,
"edge_gap": 0.2008,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5975,
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
"away": 24.3,
"draw": 27.8,
"home": 47.9
},
"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.6
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.6,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "1. FC Magdeburg Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.67,
"market_odds": 1.6,
"model_odds": 2.09,
"overround": 4.6,
"prob_edge": -14.7,
"value_pct": -23.4,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 10,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 66.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 11,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 80.2,
"no_prob": 45.0,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 55.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 55.0
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.1,
"home_expected": 1.62,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.2
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "1. FC Magdeburg or Draw",
"prob": 75.7
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "1. FC Magdeburg or 1. FC Kaiserslautern",
"prob": 72.2
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern",
"prob": 52.1
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "1. FC Magdeburg or Draw",
"pick_prob": 75.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 24.3,
"draw_pct": 27.8,
"home_pct": 47.9,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "1. FC Magdeburg"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.72,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.6,
"over_prob": 51.1,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.72,
"under_prob": 48.9
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 32.6,
"implied_prob": 21.0,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 27.8,
"odds": 4.77
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "1. FC Kaiserslautern",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "1. FC Magdeburg",
"largest_move_kind": "1x2_h",
"max_abs_move_pp": 2.92,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.75,
"gap_pp": -11.88,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 47.87
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 20.04,
"gap_pp": 7.75,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 27.79
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 20.21,
"gap_pp": 4.13,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 24.34
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 69.56,
"gap_pp": -18.46,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 51.1
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 30.44,
"gap_pp": 18.46,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 48.9
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.6,
"early": 1.68,
"implied_closing_pct": 59.75,
"implied_delta_pp": 2.92,
"implied_early_pct": 56.83,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 4.77,
"early": 4.51,
"implied_closing_pct": 20.04,
"implied_delta_pp": -1.13,
"implied_early_pct": 21.17,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 4.73,
"early": 4.34,
"implied_closing_pct": 20.21,
"implied_delta_pp": -1.79,
"implied_early_pct": 22.0,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.37,
"early": 1.42,
"implied_closing_pct": 69.56,
"implied_delta_pp": 2.5,
"implied_early_pct": 67.05,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 3.13,
"early": 2.89,
"implied_closing_pct": 30.44,
"implied_delta_pp": -2.5,
"implied_early_pct": 32.95,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": false,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 18.5,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.62,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2591,
"ev_under": 0.4132,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.4132,
"over_prob": 51.1,
"sort_key": 10521.88,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 48.9,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.215,
"ev_yes": -0.1915,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.215,
"no_prob": 45.0,
"sort_key": 10193.5,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 55.0
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1378,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5975,
"max_ev": 0.0213,
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"side_label": "1. FC Magdeburg",
"sort_key": 5217.04,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 815.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 745,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/745.webp",
"away_team_name": "1. FC Kaiserslautern",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388917,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 179,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/179.webp",
"home_team_name": "1. FC Magdeburg",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 79,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
"league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1876,
"best_odd": 4.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0078,
"ev": -0.0074,
"implied_prob": 0.2021,
"model_prob": 0.2434,
"p_final": 0.2099
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1768,
"best_odd": 4.77,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0137,
"ev": 0.0213,
"implied_prob": 0.2004,
"model_prob": 0.2779,
"p_final": 0.2141
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4931,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0586,
"ev": -0.1378,
"implied_prob": 0.5975,
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"p_final": 0.5389
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.7,
"best_yes_odd": 1.47,
"edge_no": 0.0985,
"edge_yes": -0.0985,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.215,
"ev_yes": -0.1915,
"implied_no": 0.3515,
"implied_yes": 0.6485,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.45,
"best_under_odd": 2.89,
"edge_over": -0.155,
"edge_under": 0.155,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2591,
"ev_under": 0.4132,
"implied_over": 0.666,
"implied_under": 0.334,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.72,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4132,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.55,
"draw_prob": 0.2779,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4787,
"over_prob": 0.511,
"total_xg": 2.72,
"under_prob": 0.489,
"xg_diff": 0.52
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0213,
"implied_prob": 0.2004,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.2779,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0586,
"ev": -0.1378,
"implied_prob": 0.5975,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "1. FC Magdeburg"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0985,
"ev": 0.215,
"implied_prob": 0.3515,
"model_prob": 0.45,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.155,
"ev": 0.4132,
"implied_prob": 0.334,
"model_prob": 0.489,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388917,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4132,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2434,
"draw": 0.2779,
"home": 0.4787
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.215,
"implied_prob": 0.3515,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.45,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.215,
"implied_prob": 0.3515,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.45,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "1. FC Kaiserslautern",
"home": "1. FC Magdeburg"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.202055,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4132,
"implied_prob": 0.334,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.489,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388917,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:29:12.522269+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho 1. FC Magdeburg & 1. FC Kaiserslautern!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
2. Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 70 |
| 2 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37 |
| 18 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 64 | 39 | +25 | 62 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 59 | 45 | +14 | 62 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 57 | 45 | +12 | 52 |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 41 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 70 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 44 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 37 |
| 13 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 51 |
| 14 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 46 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 30 |
| 17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 37 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 37 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 51.0 | 30.4 | +20.6 | 70 |
| 2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 58.1 | 38.1 | +20.0 | 62 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 55.4 | 38.5 | +16.9 | 60 |
| 4 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 51.6 | 37.3 | +14.3 | 62 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52.6 | 45.9 | +6.7 | 39 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 50.3 | 46.2 | +4.1 | 39 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 51.9 | 48.6 | +3.3 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 46.2 | 44.1 | +2.1 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46.2 | 44.2 | +2.0 | 46 |
| 10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52.1 | 51.8 | +0.3 | 52 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 43.2 | 43.9 | -0.7 | 41 |
| 12 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 44.7 | 51.4 | -6.7 | 51 |
| 13 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 40.3 | 49.4 | -9.1 | 37 |
| 14 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36.7 | 48.1 | -11.4 | 37 |
| 15 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 39.4 | 51.4 | -12.0 | 37 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41.0 | 53.1 | -12.1 | 41 |
| 17 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 36.7 | 55.9 | -19.2 | 30 |
| 18 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 42.5 | 61.9 | -19.4 | 44 |
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