Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 44.9%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về SpVgg Greuther Fürth, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
- 1X2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "ea23de1961449a4d9cb05be790e43000ea6909d4b01c4ab04f39076121f001b3",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.12,
"away_win_prob": 0.264,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.287,
"fair_odds_away": 3.79,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.48,
"fair_odds_home": 2.23,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.52,
"home_win_prob": 0.4489,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf"
},
"away_xg": 1.12,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0147,
"edge_gap": 0.1611,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4339,
"model_prob": 0.4486,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 26.4,
"draw": 28.7,
"home": 44.9
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.21
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.21,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.3,
"market_odds": 2.21,
"model_odds": 2.23,
"overround": 4.3,
"prob_edge": -0.4,
"value_pct": -0.9,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 12,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 67.4,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 10,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 78.1,
"no_prob": 45.8,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.12,
"home_expected": 1.52,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth or Draw",
"prob": 73.6
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth or Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"prob": 71.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"prob": 55.1
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth or Draw",
"pick_prob": 73.6
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 26.4,
"draw_pct": 28.7,
"home_pct": 44.9,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.64,
"away_avg_scored": 1.0,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.4,
"over_prob": 49.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.64,
"under_prob": 50.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 7.6,
"implied_prob": 26.7,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 28.7,
"odds": 3.75
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"largest_move_kind": "1x2_h",
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.78,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.39,
"gap_pp": 1.47,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 44.86
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.57,
"gap_pp": 3.17,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 28.75
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.03,
"gap_pp": -4.64,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 26.39
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.05,
"gap_pp": -10.85,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 49.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.95,
"gap_pp": 10.85,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 50.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.21,
"early": 2.25,
"implied_closing_pct": 43.39,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.78,
"implied_early_pct": 42.61,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.75,
"early": 3.74,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.57,
"implied_delta_pp": -0.06,
"implied_early_pct": 25.64,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.09,
"early": 3.02,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.03,
"implied_delta_pp": -0.71,
"implied_early_pct": 31.75,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.59,
"early": 1.6,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.05,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.15,
"implied_early_pct": 59.9,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.39,
"early": 2.39,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.95,
"implied_delta_pp": -0.15,
"implied_early_pct": 40.1,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": false,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 10.8,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.1
}
},
"home_xg": 1.52,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2128,
"ev_under": 0.2954,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2954,
"over_prob": 49.2,
"sort_key": 10415.86,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 50.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2366,
"ev_yes": -0.187,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2366,
"no_prob": 45.8,
"sort_key": 10212.94,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.2
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0268,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4339,
"max_ev": -0.007,
"model_prob": 0.4486,
"side_label": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"sort_key": 1798.25,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.3,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.1
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 158,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/158.webp",
"away_team_name": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388914,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 178,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/178.webp",
"home_team_name": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 79,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
"league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2791,
"best_odd": 3.09,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.013,
"ev": -0.081,
"implied_prob": 0.3103,
"model_prob": 0.2639,
"p_final": 0.2974
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2857,
"best_odd": 3.75,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0091,
"ev": -0.007,
"implied_prob": 0.2557,
"model_prob": 0.2875,
"p_final": 0.2648
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4401,
"best_odd": 2.21,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0065,
"ev": -0.0268,
"implied_prob": 0.4339,
"model_prob": 0.4486,
"p_final": 0.4404
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.7,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.092,
"edge_yes": -0.092,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2366,
"ev_yes": -0.187,
"implied_no": 0.366,
"implied_yes": 0.634,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.6,
"best_under_odd": 2.55,
"edge_over": -0.1083,
"edge_under": 0.1083,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2128,
"ev_under": 0.2954,
"implied_over": 0.6003,
"implied_under": 0.3997,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.64,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2954,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
"draw_prob": 0.2875,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4486,
"over_prob": 0.492,
"total_xg": 2.64,
"under_prob": 0.508,
"xg_diff": 0.4
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0065,
"ev": -0.0268,
"implied_prob": 0.4339,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4486,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.092,
"ev": 0.2366,
"implied_prob": 0.366,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1083,
"ev": 0.2954,
"implied_prob": 0.3997,
"model_prob": 0.508,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388914,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2954,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2639,
"draw": 0.2875,
"home": 0.4486
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2366,
"implied_prob": 0.366,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2366,
"implied_prob": 0.366,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"home": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.150063,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2954,
"implied_prob": 0.3997,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.508,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388914,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:29:04.662660+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho SpVgg Greuther Fürth & Fortuna Düsseldorf!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
2. Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 70 |
| 2 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37 |
| 18 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 64 | 39 | +25 | 62 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 59 | 45 | +14 | 62 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 57 | 45 | +12 | 52 |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 41 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 70 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 44 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 37 |
| 13 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 51 |
| 14 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 46 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 30 |
| 17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 37 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 37 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 51.0 | 30.4 | +20.6 | 70 |
| 2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 58.1 | 38.1 | +20.0 | 62 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 55.4 | 38.5 | +16.9 | 60 |
| 4 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 51.6 | 37.3 | +14.3 | 62 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52.6 | 45.9 | +6.7 | 39 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 50.3 | 46.2 | +4.1 | 39 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 51.9 | 48.6 | +3.3 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 46.2 | 44.1 | +2.1 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46.2 | 44.2 | +2.0 | 46 |
| 10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52.1 | 51.8 | +0.3 | 52 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 43.2 | 43.9 | -0.7 | 41 |
| 12 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 44.7 | 51.4 | -6.7 | 51 |
| 13 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 40.3 | 49.4 | -9.1 | 37 |
| 14 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36.7 | 48.1 | -11.4 | 37 |
| 15 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 39.4 | 51.4 | -12.0 | 37 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41.0 | 53.1 | -12.1 | 41 |
| 17 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 36.7 | 55.9 | -19.2 | 30 |
| 18 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 42.5 | 61.9 | -19.4 | 44 |
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
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