Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- SV Elversberg Yêu thích
- Xác suất mô hình
- 72.3%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
SV Elversberg dẫn đầu cả lưới mô hình và định giá thị trường theo định hướng.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
- 1X2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-0, 1-0, 3-0, 2-1, 1-1 3-0 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": 0.0926,
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"betting_insight": {
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"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
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},
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"stacked_market": null,
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"overround": 5.2,
"prob_edge": -11.6,
"value_pct": -13.8,
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"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 33,
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"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 90.9,
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 7.8
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"prob": 81.6
},
{
"key": "X2",
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},
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"draw_pct": 18.5,
"home_pct": 72.3,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "SV Elversberg"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.18,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.8,
"over_prob": 61.6,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 61.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.18,
"under_prob": 38.4
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 38.4,
"implied_prob": 13.4,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 18.5,
"odds": 7.48
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
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"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "SV Elversberg",
"largest_move_kind": "ou_o",
"max_abs_move_pp": 1.54,
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{
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{
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{
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{
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],
"movement": [
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"closing": 1.19,
"early": 1.21,
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"implied_early_pct": 78.75,
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},
{
"closing": 7.48,
"early": 7.13,
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"implied_early_pct": 13.36,
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},
{
"closing": 12.84,
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"most_likely": {
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},
"home_xg": 2.4,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"featured": true,
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"over_prob": 61.6,
"sort_key": 10321.36,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 38.4,
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{
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"sort_key": 1798.5,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 50.3
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-0",
"top_prob": 12.0
}
],
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 1313,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1313.webp",
"away_team_name": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388913,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 1660,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1660.webp",
"home_team_name": "SV Elversberg",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 79,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
"league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
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"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 12.84,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0036,
"ev": -0.0032,
"implied_prob": 0.074,
"model_prob": 0.0925,
"p_final": 0.0776
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"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1829,
"best_odd": 7.48,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0104,
"ev": 0.0287,
"implied_prob": 0.1271,
"model_prob": 0.1842,
"p_final": 0.1375
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.532,
"best_odd": 1.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0402,
"ev": -0.0972,
"implied_prob": 0.7989,
"model_prob": 0.7233,
"p_final": 0.7587
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.0,
"best_yes_odd": 1.83,
"edge_no": 0.0184,
"edge_yes": -0.0184,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.006,
"ev_yes": -0.0795,
"implied_no": 0.4786,
"implied_yes": 0.5214,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 3.1,
"edge_over": -0.0756,
"edge_under": 0.0756,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1438,
"ev_under": 0.1904,
"implied_over": 0.6916,
"implied_under": 0.3084,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.18,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1904,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
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"draw_prob": 0.1842,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.7233,
"over_prob": 0.616,
"total_xg": 3.18,
"under_prob": 0.384,
"xg_diff": 1.62
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0287,
"implied_prob": 0.1271,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.1842,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "longshot",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0402,
"ev": -0.0972,
"implied_prob": 0.7989,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.7233,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "SV Elversberg"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.0184,
"ev": -0.006,
"implied_prob": 0.4786,
"model_prob": 0.497,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
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"edge": 0.0756,
"ev": 0.1904,
"implied_prob": 0.3084,
"model_prob": 0.384,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
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"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
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"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1904,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.1842,
"home": 0.7233
},
"reason_codes": [
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"high_total_goals",
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],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster",
"home": "SV Elversberg"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1904,
"implied_prob": 0.3084,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.384,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388913,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:29:17.158224+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho SV Elversberg & Preußen Münster!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
2. Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 70 |
| 2 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37 |
| 18 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 64 | 39 | +25 | 62 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 59 | 45 | +14 | 62 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 57 | 45 | +12 | 52 |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 41 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 70 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 44 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 37 |
| 13 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 51 |
| 14 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 46 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 30 |
| 17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 37 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 37 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 51.0 | 30.4 | +20.6 | 70 |
| 2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 58.1 | 38.1 | +20.0 | 62 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 55.4 | 38.5 | +16.9 | 60 |
| 4 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 51.6 | 37.3 | +14.3 | 62 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52.6 | 45.9 | +6.7 | 39 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 50.3 | 46.2 | +4.1 | 39 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 51.9 | 48.6 | +3.3 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 46.2 | 44.1 | +2.1 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46.2 | 44.2 | +2.0 | 46 |
| 10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52.1 | 51.8 | +0.3 | 52 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 43.2 | 43.9 | -0.7 | 41 |
| 12 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 44.7 | 51.4 | -6.7 | 51 |
| 13 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 40.3 | 49.4 | -9.1 | 37 |
| 14 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36.7 | 48.1 | -11.4 | 37 |
| 15 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 39.4 | 51.4 | -12.0 | 37 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41.0 | 53.1 | -12.1 | 41 |
| 17 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 36.7 | 55.9 | -19.2 | 30 |
| 18 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 42.5 | 61.9 | -19.4 | 44 |