Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Hertha BSC Hơi yêu thích
- Xác suất mô hình
- 55.8%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình nghiêng về Hertha BSC, có sự tách biệt khiêm tốn với các kết quả khác. Theo dõi diễn biến thị trường trước khi bắt đầu.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-1 2-1 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "546d75292e3478b46bfe0b6e1f52d5c701909c46a53d3f0ad19818204333f126",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.08,
"away_win_prob": 0.1953,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2464,
"fair_odds_away": 5.12,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.06,
"fair_odds_home": 1.79,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.93,
"home_win_prob": 0.5583,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Hertha BSC or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Hertha BSC",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Hertha BSC"
},
"away_xg": 1.08,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Hertha BSC",
"confidence": 55.9,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Hertha BSC",
"edge": 0.0444,
"edge_gap": 0.3123,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5142,
"model_prob": 0.5585,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 19.5,
"draw": 24.6,
"home": 55.9
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Hertha BSC"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.85
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.85,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Hertha BSC Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.94,
"market_odds": 1.85,
"model_odds": 1.79,
"overround": 5.1,
"prob_edge": 1.8,
"value_pct": 3.4,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 10,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 66.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 12,
"home_failed_to_score": 9,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 85.5,
"no_prob": 42.2,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 57.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 57.8
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.08,
"home_expected": 1.93,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 6.4
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Hertha BSC or Draw",
"prob": 80.4
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Hertha BSC or SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"prob": 75.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"prob": 44.1
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Hertha BSC or Draw",
"pick_prob": 80.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 19.5,
"draw_pct": 24.6,
"home_pct": 55.8,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Hertha BSC"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 3.01,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.4,
"over_prob": 57.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 57.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.01,
"under_prob": 42.1
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 7.0,
"implied_prob": 23.0,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 24.6,
"odds": 4.35
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.3
}
},
"home_xg": 1.93,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1489,
"ev_under": 0.2125,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2125,
"over_prob": 57.9,
"sort_key": 10341.25,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 42.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1394,
"ev_yes": -0.1619,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1394,
"no_prob": 42.2,
"sort_key": 10125.46,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 57.8
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0029,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5142,
"max_ev": -0.0029,
"model_prob": 0.5585,
"side_label": "Hertha BSC",
"sort_key": 2199.768,
"tier": "pass"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 810.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.3
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 178,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/178.webp",
"away_team_name": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388905,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 159,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/159.webp",
"home_team_name": "Hertha BSC",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 79,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
"league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-08 11:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 8.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2676,
"best_odd": 3.56,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0193,
"ev": -0.1173,
"implied_prob": 0.2672,
"model_prob": 0.1953,
"p_final": 0.2479
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1917,
"best_odd": 4.35,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0053,
"ev": -0.0258,
"implied_prob": 0.2187,
"model_prob": 0.2462,
"p_final": 0.2239
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5601,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0248,
"ev": -0.0029,
"implied_prob": 0.5142,
"model_prob": 0.5585,
"p_final": 0.539
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.7,
"best_yes_odd": 1.45,
"edge_no": 0.0715,
"edge_yes": -0.0715,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1394,
"ev_yes": -0.1619,
"implied_no": 0.3505,
"implied_yes": 0.6495,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.47,
"best_under_odd": 2.88,
"edge_over": -0.0768,
"edge_under": 0.0768,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1489,
"ev_under": 0.2125,
"implied_over": 0.6558,
"implied_under": 0.3442,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.01,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2125,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.578,
"draw_prob": 0.2462,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5585,
"over_prob": 0.579,
"total_xg": 3.01,
"under_prob": 0.421,
"xg_diff": 0.85
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0248,
"ev": -0.0029,
"implied_prob": 0.5142,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.5585,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Hertha BSC"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0715,
"ev": 0.1394,
"implied_prob": 0.3505,
"model_prob": 0.422,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0768,
"ev": 0.2125,
"implied_prob": 0.3442,
"model_prob": 0.421,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388905,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2125,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1953,
"draw": 0.2462,
"home": 0.5585
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1394,
"implied_prob": 0.3505,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.422,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1394,
"implied_prob": 0.3505,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.422,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "SpVgg Greuther F\u00fcrth",
"home": "Hertha BSC"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.089463,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2125,
"implied_prob": 0.3442,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.421,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388905,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-08T11:29:06.036864+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Hertha BSC & SpVgg Greuther Fürth!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
2. Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 70 |
| 2 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37 |
| 18 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 64 | 39 | +25 | 62 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 59 | 45 | +14 | 62 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 57 | 45 | +12 | 52 |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 41 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 70 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 44 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 37 |
| 13 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 51 |
| 14 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 46 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 30 |
| 17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 37 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 37 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 51.0 | 30.4 | +20.6 | 70 |
| 2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 58.1 | 38.1 | +20.0 | 62 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 55.4 | 38.5 | +16.9 | 60 |
| 4 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 51.6 | 37.3 | +14.3 | 62 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52.6 | 45.9 | +6.7 | 39 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 50.3 | 46.2 | +4.1 | 39 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 51.9 | 48.6 | +3.3 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 46.2 | 44.1 | +2.1 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46.2 | 44.2 | +2.0 | 46 |
| 10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52.1 | 51.8 | +0.3 | 52 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 43.2 | 43.9 | -0.7 | 41 |
| 12 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 44.7 | 51.4 | -6.7 | 51 |
| 13 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 40.3 | 49.4 | -9.1 | 37 |
| 14 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36.7 | 48.1 | -11.4 | 37 |
| 15 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 39.4 | 51.4 | -12.0 | 37 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41.0 | 53.1 | -12.1 | 41 |
| 17 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 36.7 | 55.9 | -19.2 | 30 |
| 18 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 42.5 | 61.9 | -19.4 | 44 |