Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- SV Elversberg Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 42.8%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về SV Elversberg, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 SV Elversberg Fortuna Düsseldorf ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "bd5d67ab6a5b84ac0754acc2a5ccc0fe94fdc8a9df415a21fdd3e2dcdc4548f0",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.38,
"away_win_prob": 0.4277,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3031,
"fair_odds_away": 2.34,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.3,
"fair_odds_home": 3.71,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.05,
"home_win_prob": 0.2692,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : SV Elversberg",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "SV Elversberg"
},
"away_xg": 1.38,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "SV Elversberg",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0269,
"edge_gap": 0.1243,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4543,
"model_prob": 0.4274,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 42.7,
"draw": 30.3,
"home": 27.0
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.1
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.1,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "SV Elversberg Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 2.2,
"market_odds": 2.1,
"model_odds": 2.34,
"overround": 4.8,
"prob_edge": -4.9,
"value_pct": -10.3,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 9,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 74.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 12,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 65.0,
"no_prob": 49.7,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.3,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 50.3
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.38,
"home_expected": 1.05,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 8.8
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf or Draw",
"prob": 57.2
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf or SV Elversberg",
"prob": 69.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or SV Elversberg",
"prob": 73.1
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or SV Elversberg",
"pick_prob": 73.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 42.8,
"draw_pct": 30.3,
"home_pct": 26.9,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "SV Elversberg"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.43,
"away_avg_scored": 1.9,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.9,
"over_prob": 43.8,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 56.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.43,
"under_prob": 56.2
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 16.4,
"implied_prob": 26.0,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 30.3,
"odds": 3.84
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": {
"best_bookmaker": "Betfair",
"best_odds": 13.0,
"edge": 4.5,
"ev": 57.9,
"label": "0-1",
"probability": 12.1
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.8
}
},
"home_xg": 1.05,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3342,
"ev_under": 0.6186,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.6186,
"over_prob": 43.8,
"sort_key": 10706.74,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 56.2,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3916,
"ev_yes": -0.2757,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3916,
"no_prob": 49.7,
"sort_key": 10352.44,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 50.3
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0704,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"max_ev": 0.0118,
"model_prob": 0.4274,
"side_label": "SV Elversberg",
"sort_key": 5209.44,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.4,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.8
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1660,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1660.webp",
"away_team_name": "SV Elversberg",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388904,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 158,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/158.webp",
"home_team_name": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 79,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
"league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-08 11:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 4.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4318,
"best_odd": 2.1,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0116,
"ev": -0.0704,
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"model_prob": 0.4274,
"p_final": 0.4427
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2754,
"best_odd": 3.84,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.015,
"ev": 0.0118,
"implied_prob": 0.2485,
"model_prob": 0.3031,
"p_final": 0.2635
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2876,
"best_odd": 3.21,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.008,
"ev": -0.0715,
"implied_prob": 0.2972,
"model_prob": 0.2696,
"p_final": 0.2893
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.8,
"best_yes_odd": 1.44,
"edge_no": 0.1561,
"edge_yes": -0.1561,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3916,
"ev_yes": -0.2757,
"implied_no": 0.3409,
"implied_yes": 0.6591,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.52,
"best_under_odd": 2.88,
"edge_over": -0.2069,
"edge_under": 0.2069,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3342,
"ev_under": 0.6186,
"implied_over": 0.6449,
"implied_under": 0.3551,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.43,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.6186,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.503,
"draw_prob": 0.3031,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4274,
"over_prob": 0.438,
"total_xg": 2.43,
"under_prob": 0.562,
"xg_diff": 0.33
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0116,
"ev": -0.0704,
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4274,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "SV Elversberg"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1561,
"ev": 0.3916,
"implied_prob": 0.3409,
"model_prob": 0.497,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2069,
"ev": 0.6186,
"implied_prob": 0.3551,
"model_prob": 0.562,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388904,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.6186,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4274,
"draw": 0.3031,
"home": 0.2696
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"variance_medium"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3916,
"implied_prob": 0.3409,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.497,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3916,
"implied_prob": 0.3409,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.497,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "SV Elversberg",
"home": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.214154,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.6186,
"implied_prob": 0.3551,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.562,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388904,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-08T11:29:04.698474+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Fortuna Düsseldorf & SV Elversberg!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
2. Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 70 |
| 2 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37 |
| 18 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 64 | 39 | +25 | 62 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 59 | 45 | +14 | 62 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 57 | 45 | +12 | 52 |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 41 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 70 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 44 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 37 |
| 13 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 51 |
| 14 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 46 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 30 |
| 17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 37 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 37 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 51.0 | 30.4 | +20.6 | 70 |
| 2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 58.1 | 38.1 | +20.0 | 62 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 55.4 | 38.5 | +16.9 | 60 |
| 4 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 51.6 | 37.3 | +14.3 | 62 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 52.6 | 45.9 | +6.7 | 39 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 50.3 | 46.2 | +4.1 | 39 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 51.9 | 48.6 | +3.3 | 44 |
| 8 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 46.2 | 44.1 | +2.1 | 52 |
| 9 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46.2 | 44.2 | +2.0 | 46 |
| 10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52.1 | 51.8 | +0.3 | 52 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 43.2 | 43.9 | -0.7 | 41 |
| 12 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 44.7 | 51.4 | -6.7 | 51 |
| 13 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 40.3 | 49.4 | -9.1 | 37 |
| 14 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 36.7 | 48.1 | -11.4 | 37 |
| 15 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 39.4 | 51.4 | -12.0 | 37 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41.0 | 53.1 | -12.1 | 41 |
| 17 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 36.7 | 55.9 | -19.2 | 30 |
| 18 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 42.5 | 61.9 | -19.4 | 44 |