Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- FC St. Pauli Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 34.8%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về FC St. Pauli, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 FC St. Pauli VfL Wolfsburg ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "ee017d67c926673e1836e80a52dc06b01439e6e2dc0a4d0d1df3278d37c3c3c6",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.2,
"away_win_prob": 0.3427,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3098,
"fair_odds_away": 2.92,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.23,
"fair_odds_home": 2.88,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.21,
"home_win_prob": 0.3475,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or VfL Wolfsburg",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "VfL Wolfsburg"
},
"away_xg": 1.2,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "FC St. Pauli",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0089,
"edge_gap": 0.0048,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3564,
"model_prob": 0.3475,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 34.3,
"draw": 31.0,
"home": 34.7
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.73
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.73,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "FC St. Pauli Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.81,
"market_odds": 2.73,
"model_odds": 2.88,
"overround": 2.8,
"prob_edge": -1.9,
"value_pct": -5.2,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 2,
"away_failed_to_score": 8,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 69.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 13,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 70.2,
"no_prob": 49.3,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.7,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 50.7
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.2,
"home_expected": 1.21,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 9.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.9
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "FC St. Pauli or Draw",
"prob": 65.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "FC St. Pauli or VfL Wolfsburg",
"prob": 69.1
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or VfL Wolfsburg",
"prob": 65.3
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "FC St. Pauli or VfL Wolfsburg",
"pick_prob": 69.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.3,
"draw_pct": 31.0,
"home_pct": 34.8,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "FC St. Pauli"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.41,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.8,
"over_prob": 43.3,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 56.7,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.41,
"under_prob": 56.7
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 13.2,
"implied_prob": 27.4,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 31.0,
"odds": 3.65
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "VfL Wolfsburg",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "FC St. Pauli",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 35.64,
"gap_pp": -0.89,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 34.75
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.65,
"gap_pp": 4.33,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 30.98
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 37.71,
"gap_pp": -3.44,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 34.27
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.36,
"gap_pp": -12.06,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 43.3
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.64,
"gap_pp": 12.06,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 56.7
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.73,
"early": 2.73,
"implied_closing_pct": 35.64,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 35.64,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.65,
"early": 3.65,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.65,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.65,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.58,
"early": 2.58,
"implied_closing_pct": 37.71,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 37.71,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.75,
"early": 1.75,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.36,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.36,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.17,
"early": 2.17,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.64,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.64,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 12.1,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.0
}
},
"home_xg": 1.21,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2379,
"ev_under": 0.2644,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2644,
"over_prob": 43.3,
"sort_key": 10387.96,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 56.7,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1832,
"ev_yes": -0.204,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1832,
"no_prob": 49.3,
"sort_key": 10164.88,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 50.7
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0379,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3564,
"max_ev": 0.0172,
"model_prob": 0.3475,
"side_label": "FC St. Pauli",
"sort_key": 5213.76,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 819.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.0
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 161,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/161.webp",
"away_team_name": "VfL Wolfsburg",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388611,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 186,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/186.webp",
"home_team_name": "FC St. Pauli",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 78,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4268,
"best_odd": 2.58,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0147,
"ev": -0.065,
"implied_prob": 0.3771,
"model_prob": 0.3427,
"p_final": 0.3624
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2805,
"best_odd": 3.65,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0121,
"ev": 0.0172,
"implied_prob": 0.2665,
"model_prob": 0.3098,
"p_final": 0.2787
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.444,
"best_odd": 2.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.004,
"ev": -0.0379,
"implied_prob": 0.3564,
"model_prob": 0.3475,
"p_final": 0.3524
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.4,
"best_yes_odd": 1.57,
"edge_no": 0.0947,
"edge_yes": -0.0947,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1832,
"ev_yes": -0.204,
"implied_no": 0.3983,
"implied_yes": 0.6017,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.76,
"best_under_odd": 2.23,
"edge_over": -0.1271,
"edge_under": 0.1271,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2379,
"ev_under": 0.2644,
"implied_over": 0.5601,
"implied_under": 0.4399,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.41,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2644,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.507,
"draw_prob": 0.3098,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3475,
"over_prob": 0.433,
"total_xg": 2.41,
"under_prob": 0.567,
"xg_diff": 0.01
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.004,
"ev": -0.0379,
"implied_prob": 0.3564,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3475,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "FC St. Pauli"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0947,
"ev": 0.1832,
"implied_prob": 0.3983,
"model_prob": 0.493,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1271,
"ev": 0.2644,
"implied_prob": 0.4399,
"model_prob": 0.567,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388611,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2644,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3427,
"draw": 0.3098,
"home": 0.3475
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"variance_medium"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1832,
"implied_prob": 0.3983,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.493,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1832,
"implied_prob": 0.3983,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.493,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "VfL Wolfsburg",
"home": "FC St. Pauli"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.092348,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2644,
"implied_prob": 0.4399,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.567,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388611,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:09.298826+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho FC St. Pauli & VfL Wolfsburg!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 62 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 73 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 59 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 65 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 61 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 |
| 14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 97.2 | 37.9 | +59.3 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 63.4 | 38.9 | +24.5 | 73 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 64.0 | 44.8 | +19.2 | 59 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66.3 | 50.2 | +16.1 | 65 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 60.1 | 49.8 | +10.3 | 62 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 55.1 | 51.4 | +3.7 | 61 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 48.6 | 47.8 | +0.8 | 47 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 52.9 | 54.6 | -1.7 | 40 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 50.9 | 54.9 | -4.0 | 32 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 45.4 | 50.1 | -4.7 | 44 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44.9 | 52.2 | -7.3 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42.7 | 52.5 | -9.8 | 38 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 40.4 | 54.3 | -13.9 | 32 |
| 14 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 47.1 | 61.8 | -14.7 | 29 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 47.5 | 63.4 | -15.9 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45.2 | 62.6 | -17.4 | 43 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38.3 | 56.9 | -18.6 | 38 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 30.5 | 56.2 | -25.7 | 26 |
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
