Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- FSV Mainz 05 Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 43.1%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về FSV Mainz 05, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
- 1X2 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 2-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "aa8fc3c98f6be0d7e1b9921192033c61ccc7596268497d5e034095e1ddeb6973",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.71,
"away_win_prob": 0.4313,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2622,
"fair_odds_away": 2.32,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.81,
"fair_odds_home": 3.26,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.42,
"home_win_prob": 0.3065,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : 1. FC Heidenheim or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "1. FC Heidenheim"
},
"away_xg": 1.71,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "FSV Mainz 05",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1739,
"edge_gap": 0.1243,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.257,
"model_prob": 0.4309,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 43.1,
"draw": 26.2,
"home": 30.7
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.78
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 3.78,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "FSV Mainz 05 Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 3.89,
"market_odds": 3.78,
"model_odds": 2.32,
"overround": 2.9,
"prob_edge": 16.6,
"value_pct": 62.9,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 10,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 81.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 1,
"home_failed_to_score": 11,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 75.8,
"no_prob": 36.5,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 63.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 63.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.71,
"home_expected": 1.42,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 6.4
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "1. FC Heidenheim or Draw",
"prob": 56.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "1. FC Heidenheim or FSV Mainz 05",
"prob": 73.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or FSV Mainz 05",
"prob": 69.3
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "1. FC Heidenheim or FSV Mainz 05",
"pick_prob": 73.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 43.1,
"draw_pct": 26.2,
"home_pct": 30.6,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "FSV Mainz 05"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.13,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 60.5,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 60.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.13,
"under_prob": 39.5
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 62.9,
"implied_prob": 26.5,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "FSV Mainz 05 Win",
"model_prob": 43.1,
"odds": 3.78
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "FSV Mainz 05",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "1. FC Heidenheim",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 52.52,
"gap_pp": -21.85,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 30.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 21.78,
"gap_pp": 4.46,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 26.24
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.7,
"gap_pp": 17.39,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 43.09
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 69.18,
"gap_pp": -8.68,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 60.5
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 30.82,
"gap_pp": 8.68,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 39.5
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.85,
"early": 1.85,
"implied_closing_pct": 52.52,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 52.52,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 4.46,
"early": 4.46,
"implied_closing_pct": 21.78,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 21.78,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.78,
"early": 3.78,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.7,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.7,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.39,
"early": 1.39,
"implied_closing_pct": 69.18,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 69.18,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 3.12,
"early": 3.12,
"implied_closing_pct": 30.82,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 30.82,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 17.4,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.42,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1409,
"ev_under": 0.185,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.185,
"over_prob": 60.5,
"sort_key": 10316.5,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 39.5,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1173,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.257,
"max_ev": 0.1173,
"model_prob": 0.4309,
"side_label": "FSV Mainz 05",
"sort_key": 10105.57,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0512,
"ev_yes": -0.0856,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0512,
"no_prob": 36.5,
"sort_key": 10046.08,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 63.5
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 164,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/164.webp",
"away_team_name": "FSV Mainz 05",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388610,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 180,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/180.webp",
"home_team_name": "1. FC Heidenheim",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 78,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2217,
"best_odd": 3.78,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0386,
"ev": 0.1173,
"implied_prob": 0.257,
"model_prob": 0.4309,
"p_final": 0.2956
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1866,
"best_odd": 4.46,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0083,
"ev": 0.0086,
"implied_prob": 0.2178,
"model_prob": 0.2624,
"p_final": 0.2261
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4034,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0881,
"ev": -0.1915,
"implied_prob": 0.5252,
"model_prob": 0.3067,
"p_final": 0.437
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.88,
"best_yes_odd": 1.44,
"edge_no": 0.0336,
"edge_yes": -0.0336,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0512,
"ev_yes": -0.0856,
"implied_no": 0.3314,
"implied_yes": 0.6686,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.42,
"best_under_odd": 3.0,
"edge_over": -0.0679,
"edge_under": 0.0679,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1409,
"ev_under": 0.185,
"implied_over": 0.6729,
"implied_under": 0.3271,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.13,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1173,
"implied_prob": 0.257,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4309,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "alternative",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "FSV Mainz 05",
"slot": "alternative"
},
"best_tracked_ev": 0.185,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.635,
"draw_prob": 0.2624,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4309,
"over_prob": 0.605,
"total_xg": 3.13,
"under_prob": 0.395,
"xg_diff": 0.29
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0386,
"ev": 0.1173,
"implied_prob": 0.257,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4309,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "FSV Mainz 05"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0336,
"ev": 0.0512,
"implied_prob": 0.3314,
"model_prob": 0.365,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0679,
"ev": 0.185,
"implied_prob": 0.3271,
"model_prob": 0.395,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388610,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.185,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4309,
"draw": 0.2624,
"home": 0.3067
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1173,
"implied_prob": 0.257,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4309,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "FSV Mainz 05",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1173,
"implied_prob": 0.257,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4309,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "FSV Mainz 05",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "FSV Mainz 05",
"home": "1. FC Heidenheim"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.069421,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.185,
"implied_prob": 0.3271,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.395,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388610,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:14.377352+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho 1. FC Heidenheim & FSV Mainz 05!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 62 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 73 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 59 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 65 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 61 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 |
| 14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 97.2 | 37.9 | +59.3 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 63.4 | 38.9 | +24.5 | 73 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 64.0 | 44.8 | +19.2 | 59 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66.3 | 50.2 | +16.1 | 65 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 60.1 | 49.8 | +10.3 | 62 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 55.1 | 51.4 | +3.7 | 61 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 48.6 | 47.8 | +0.8 | 47 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 52.9 | 54.6 | -1.7 | 40 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 50.9 | 54.9 | -4.0 | 32 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 45.4 | 50.1 | -4.7 | 44 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44.9 | 52.2 | -7.3 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42.7 | 52.5 | -9.8 | 38 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 40.4 | 54.3 | -13.9 | 32 |
| 14 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 47.1 | 61.8 | -14.7 | 29 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 47.5 | 63.4 | -15.9 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45.2 | 62.6 | -17.4 | 43 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38.3 | 56.9 | -18.6 | 38 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 30.5 | 56.2 | -25.7 | 26 |
UEFA Champions League
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