Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Borussia Mönchengladbach Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 36.2%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về Borussia Mönchengladbach, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "8e319508af7b88b42ce92df2be7dd1517cf428adec07ab5e51281334310c0e49",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.34,
"away_win_prob": 0.3484,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2894,
"fair_odds_away": 2.87,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.46,
"fair_odds_home": 2.76,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.37,
"home_win_prob": 0.3622,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or 1899 Hoffenheim",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "1899 Hoffenheim"
},
"away_xg": 1.34,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1606,
"edge_gap": 0.0139,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2018,
"model_prob": 0.3624,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 34.9,
"draw": 28.9,
"home": 36.2
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 4.8
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 4.8,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 4.96,
"market_odds": 4.8,
"model_odds": 2.76,
"overround": 3.2,
"prob_edge": 15.4,
"value_pct": 73.9,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 7,
"away_failed_to_score": 5,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 73.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 12,
"home_failed_to_score": 12,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 74.6,
"no_prob": 43.4,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 56.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 56.6
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.34,
"home_expected": 1.37,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach or Draw",
"prob": 65.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim",
"prob": 71.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim",
"prob": 63.7
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim",
"pick_prob": 71.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.8,
"draw_pct": 28.9,
"home_pct": 36.2,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.71,
"away_avg_scored": 2.0,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 50.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.71,
"under_prob": 49.1
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 73.9,
"implied_prob": 20.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach Win",
"model_prob": 36.2,
"odds": 4.8
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "1899 Hoffenheim",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 20.18,
"gap_pp": 16.06,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 36.24
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 20.39,
"gap_pp": 8.52,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 28.91
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.43,
"gap_pp": -24.58,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 34.85
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 70.09,
"gap_pp": -19.19,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 50.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 29.91,
"gap_pp": 19.19,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 49.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 4.8,
"early": 4.8,
"implied_closing_pct": 20.18,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 20.18,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 4.75,
"early": 4.75,
"implied_closing_pct": 20.39,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 20.39,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.63,
"early": 1.63,
"implied_closing_pct": 59.43,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 59.43,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.37,
"early": 1.37,
"implied_closing_pct": 70.09,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 70.09,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 3.21,
"early": 3.21,
"implied_closing_pct": 29.91,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 29.91,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 19.2,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.2
}
},
"home_xg": 1.37,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3027,
"ev_under": 0.6203,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.6203,
"over_prob": 50.9,
"sort_key": 10708.27,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 49.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.302,
"ev_yes": -0.2076,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.302,
"no_prob": 43.4,
"sort_key": 10271.8,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 56.6
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0857,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2018,
"max_ev": 0.0857,
"model_prob": 0.3624,
"side_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
"sort_key": 10077.13,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.6,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.2
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 167,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/167.webp",
"away_team_name": "1899 Hoffenheim",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388607,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 163,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/163.webp",
"home_team_name": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 78,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3788,
"best_odd": 1.63,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0931,
"ev": -0.1831,
"implied_prob": 0.5943,
"model_prob": 0.3485,
"p_final": 0.5012
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1745,
"best_odd": 4.75,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0149,
"ev": 0.0392,
"implied_prob": 0.2039,
"model_prob": 0.2891,
"p_final": 0.2188
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1518,
"best_odd": 4.8,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0244,
"ev": 0.0857,
"implied_prob": 0.2018,
"model_prob": 0.3624,
"p_final": 0.2262
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 3.0,
"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": 0.1053,
"edge_yes": -0.1053,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.302,
"ev_yes": -0.2076,
"implied_no": 0.3287,
"implied_yes": 0.6713,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.37,
"best_under_odd": 3.3,
"edge_over": -0.1938,
"edge_under": 0.1938,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3027,
"ev_under": 0.6203,
"implied_over": 0.7028,
"implied_under": 0.2972,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.71,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.6203,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.566,
"draw_prob": 0.2891,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3624,
"over_prob": 0.509,
"total_xg": 2.71,
"under_prob": 0.491,
"xg_diff": 0.03
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0392,
"implied_prob": 0.2039,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.2891,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0244,
"ev": 0.0857,
"implied_prob": 0.2018,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3624,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1053,
"ev": 0.302,
"implied_prob": 0.3287,
"model_prob": 0.434,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1938,
"ev": 0.6203,
"implied_prob": 0.2972,
"model_prob": 0.491,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388607,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.6203,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3485,
"draw": 0.2891,
"home": 0.3624
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.302,
"implied_prob": 0.3287,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.434,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.302,
"implied_prob": 0.3287,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.434,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "1899 Hoffenheim",
"home": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.304567,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.6203,
"implied_prob": 0.2972,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.491,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 4
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388607,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:12.844707+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Borussia Mönchengladbach & 1899 Hoffenheim!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 62 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 73 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 59 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 65 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 61 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 |
| 14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 97.2 | 37.9 | +59.3 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 63.4 | 38.9 | +24.5 | 73 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 64.0 | 44.8 | +19.2 | 59 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66.3 | 50.2 | +16.1 | 65 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 60.1 | 49.8 | +10.3 | 62 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 55.1 | 51.4 | +3.7 | 61 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 48.6 | 47.8 | +0.8 | 47 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 52.9 | 54.6 | -1.7 | 40 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 50.9 | 54.9 | -4.0 | 32 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 45.4 | 50.1 | -4.7 | 44 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44.9 | 52.2 | -7.3 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42.7 | 52.5 | -9.8 | 38 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 40.4 | 54.3 | -13.9 | 32 |
| 14 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 47.1 | 61.8 | -14.7 | 29 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 47.5 | 63.4 | -15.9 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45.2 | 62.6 | -17.4 | 43 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38.3 | 56.9 | -18.6 | 38 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 30.5 | 56.2 | -25.7 | 26 |