Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Bayern München Yêu thích
- Xác suất mô hình
- 68.0%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Bayern München dẫn đầu cả lưới mô hình và định giá thị trường theo định hướng.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Bayern München Bayern München ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 3-1, 2-1, 3-2, 4-1, 2-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "90d0899b4c753017cbf6df76968441d12487a0cfadaad6ad6789f1aa292a99fe",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.58,
"away_win_prob": 0.1592,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.1613,
"fair_odds_away": 6.28,
"fair_odds_draw": 6.2,
"fair_odds_home": 1.47,
"home_predicted_xg": 3.14,
"home_win_prob": 0.6795,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Winner : Bayern M\u00fcnchen and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"away_xg": 1.58,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"edge": -0.1464,
"edge_gap": 0.5186,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.8261,
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
"away": 15.9,
"draw": 16.1,
"home": 68.0
},
"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.16
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.16,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.21,
"market_odds": 1.16,
"model_odds": 1.47,
"overround": 4.4,
"prob_edge": -18.2,
"value_pct": -21.1,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 79.4,
"home_clean_sheet": 12,
"home_failed_to_score": 0,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 95.7,
"no_prob": 23.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 76.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 76.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.58,
"home_expected": 3.14,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 7.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 6.9
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-2",
"prob": 5.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 4,
"label": "4-1",
"prob": 5.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 5.5
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen or Draw",
"prob": 84.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen or 1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"prob": 83.9
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or 1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"prob": 32.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen or Draw",
"pick_prob": 84.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 15.9,
"draw_pct": 16.1,
"home_pct": 68.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 4.72,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 3.5,
"over_prob": 85.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 85.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 4.72,
"under_prob": 15.0
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 118.8,
"implied_prob": 7.3,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market": "1. FC K\u00f6ln Win",
"model_prob": 15.9,
"odds": 13.76
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 82.61,
"gap_pp": -14.64,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 67.97
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 10.43,
"gap_pp": 5.69,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 16.12
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 6.96,
"gap_pp": 8.95,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 15.91
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.16,
"early": 1.16,
"implied_closing_pct": 82.61,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 82.61,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 9.19,
"early": 9.19,
"implied_closing_pct": 10.43,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 10.43,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 13.76,
"early": 13.76,
"implied_closing_pct": 6.96,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 6.96,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 8.9,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 7.3
}
},
"home_xg": 3.14,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.342,
"ev_yes": 0.1475,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1475,
"no_prob": 23.5,
"sort_key": 10282.75,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 76.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0395,
"ev_under": 0.05,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.05,
"over_prob": 85.0,
"sort_key": 10045.0,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 15.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1212,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.8261,
"max_ev": 0.1714,
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"side_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"sort_key": 5337.12,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 801.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "3-1",
"top_prob": 7.3
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 192,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/192.webp",
"away_team_name": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388606,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 157,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/157.webp",
"home_team_name": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 78,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1732,
"best_odd": 13.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0155,
"ev": 0.1714,
"implied_prob": 0.0696,
"model_prob": 0.1591,
"p_final": 0.0851
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1829,
"best_odd": 9.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0104,
"ev": 0.0539,
"implied_prob": 0.1043,
"model_prob": 0.1612,
"p_final": 0.1147
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4683,
"best_odd": 1.16,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0685,
"ev": -0.1212,
"implied_prob": 0.8261,
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"p_final": 0.7576
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.8,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": -0.1207,
"edge_yes": 0.1207,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.342,
"ev_yes": 0.1475,
"implied_no": 0.3557,
"implied_yes": 0.6443,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.13,
"best_under_odd": 7.0,
"edge_over": 0.0014,
"edge_under": -0.0014,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0395,
"ev_under": 0.05,
"implied_over": 0.8486,
"implied_under": 0.1514,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 4.72,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1714,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.765,
"draw_prob": 0.1612,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6797,
"over_prob": 0.85,
"total_xg": 4.72,
"under_prob": 0.15,
"xg_diff": 1.56
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1714,
"implied_prob": 0.0696,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.1591,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "longshot",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"slot": "longshot"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0539,
"implied_prob": 0.1043,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.1612,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "longshot",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0685,
"ev": -0.1212,
"implied_prob": 0.8261,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1207,
"ev": 0.1475,
"implied_prob": 0.6443,
"model_prob": 0.765,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": -0.0014,
"ev": 0.05,
"implied_prob": 0.1514,
"model_prob": 0.15,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388606,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1714,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1591,
"draw": 0.1612,
"home": 0.6797
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"home": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.112837,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1475,
"implied_prob": 0.6443,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.765,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 4
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388606,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:05.146552+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Bayern München & 1. FC Köln!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 62 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 73 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 59 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 65 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 61 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 |
| 14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 97.2 | 37.9 | +59.3 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 63.4 | 38.9 | +24.5 | 73 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 64.0 | 44.8 | +19.2 | 59 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66.3 | 50.2 | +16.1 | 65 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 60.1 | 49.8 | +10.3 | 62 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 55.1 | 51.4 | +3.7 | 61 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 48.6 | 47.8 | +0.8 | 47 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 52.9 | 54.6 | -1.7 | 40 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 50.9 | 54.9 | -4.0 | 32 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 45.4 | 50.1 | -4.7 | 44 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44.9 | 52.2 | -7.3 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42.7 | 52.5 | -9.8 | 38 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 40.4 | 54.3 | -13.9 | 32 |
| 14 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 47.1 | 61.8 | -14.7 | 29 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 47.5 | 63.4 | -15.9 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45.2 | 62.6 | -17.4 | 43 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38.3 | 56.9 | -18.6 | 38 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 30.5 | 56.2 | -25.7 | 26 |