Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- RB Leipzig Yêu thích mạnh mẽ
- Xác suất mô hình
- 79.5%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
RB Leipzig dẫn đầu cả lưới mô hình và định giá thị trường theo định hướng.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-0, 3-0, 2-1, 1-0, 3-1 2-1 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "47737888db18f7b4ba5d695b9bfb372b5a52a2c62b988a84af7643f7fc765ed1",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.72,
"away_win_prob": 0.0619,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.1434,
"fair_odds_away": 16.15,
"fair_odds_draw": 6.97,
"fair_odds_home": 1.26,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.79,
"home_win_prob": 0.7947,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : RB Leipzig",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : RB Leipzig",
"percent_away": "0%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "50%",
"winner_name": "RB Leipzig"
},
"away_xg": 0.72,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "RB Leipzig",
"confidence": 79.4,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : RB Leipzig",
"edge": 0.0646,
"edge_gap": 0.6508,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.7298,
"model_prob": 0.7944,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 6.2,
"draw": 14.4,
"home": 79.4
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "RB Leipzig"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.33
}
],
"risk_color": "#ff9800",
"risk_key": "medium_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.33,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "RB Leipzig Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.37,
"market_odds": 1.33,
"model_odds": 1.26,
"overround": 3.0,
"prob_edge": 4.2,
"value_pct": 5.6,
"value_rating": "small_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 13,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 51.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 11,
"home_failed_to_score": 3,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 93.9,
"no_prob": 51.0,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 51.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 48.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.72,
"home_expected": 2.79,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "RB Leipzig or Draw",
"prob": 93.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli",
"prob": 85.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or FC St. Pauli",
"prob": 20.5
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "RB Leipzig or Draw",
"pick_prob": 93.8
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 6.2,
"draw_pct": 14.3,
"home_pct": 79.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "RB Leipzig"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.51,
"away_avg_scored": 0.8,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 2.0,
"over_prob": 68.1,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 68.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.51,
"under_prob": 31.9
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 5.7,
"implied_prob": 75.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "RB Leipzig Win",
"model_prob": 79.5,
"odds": 1.33
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 11.6
}
},
"home_xg": 2.79,
"homepage_pick": {
"best_bookmaker": "1xBet",
"best_odds": 1.46,
"confidence": "very_strong",
"display_label": "Home RB Leipzig",
"edge": 10.9,
"ev": 15.9,
"probability": 79.4
},
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0965,
"ev_yes": -0.1198,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0965,
"no_prob": 51.0,
"sort_key": 10236.85,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 48.9
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0172,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.7298,
"max_ev": 0.0172,
"model_prob": 0.7944,
"side_label": "RB Leipzig",
"sort_key": 5213.76,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0126,
"ev_under": -0.0781,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0126,
"over_prob": 68.1,
"sort_key": 1796.85,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 31.9,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 814.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-0",
"top_prob": 11.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 186,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/186.webp",
"away_team_name": "FC St. Pauli",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388602,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 173,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/173.webp",
"home_team_name": "RB Leipzig",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 78,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1866,
"best_odd": 9.09,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0084,
"ev": -0.1053,
"implied_prob": 0.1068,
"model_prob": 0.062,
"p_final": 0.0984
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1941,
"best_odd": 5.94,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0038,
"ev": -0.0522,
"implied_prob": 0.1634,
"model_prob": 0.1436,
"p_final": 0.1596
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5419,
"best_odd": 1.33,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.035,
"ev": 0.0172,
"implied_prob": 0.7298,
"model_prob": 0.7944,
"p_final": 0.7648
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.15,
"best_yes_odd": 1.8,
"edge_no": 0.0506,
"edge_yes": -0.0516,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0965,
"ev_yes": -0.1198,
"implied_no": 0.4594,
"implied_yes": 0.5406,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.45,
"best_under_odd": 2.89,
"edge_over": 0.0235,
"edge_under": -0.0235,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0126,
"ev_under": -0.0781,
"implied_over": 0.6575,
"implied_under": 0.3425,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.51,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0965,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.489,
"draw_prob": 0.1436,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.7944,
"over_prob": 0.681,
"total_xg": 3.51,
"under_prob": 0.319,
"xg_diff": 2.07
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.035,
"ev": 0.0172,
"implied_prob": 0.7298,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.7944,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "RB Leipzig"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0506,
"ev": 0.0965,
"implied_prob": 0.4594,
"model_prob": 0.51,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0235,
"ev": -0.0126,
"implied_prob": 0.6575,
"model_prob": 0.681,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1388602,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0965,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.062,
"draw": 0.1436,
"home": 0.7944
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "FC St. Pauli",
"home": "RB Leipzig"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.049215,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0965,
"implied_prob": 0.4594,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.51,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388602,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T13:29:16.974910+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho RB Leipzig & FC St. Pauli!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 62 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 73 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 59 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 65 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 61 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 |
| 14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 97.2 | 37.9 | +59.3 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 63.4 | 38.9 | +24.5 | 73 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 64.0 | 44.8 | +19.2 | 59 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66.3 | 50.2 | +16.1 | 65 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 60.1 | 49.8 | +10.3 | 62 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 55.1 | 51.4 | +3.7 | 61 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 48.6 | 47.8 | +0.8 | 47 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 52.9 | 54.6 | -1.7 | 40 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 50.9 | 54.9 | -4.0 | 32 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 45.4 | 50.1 | -4.7 | 44 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44.9 | 52.2 | -7.3 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42.7 | 52.5 | -9.8 | 38 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 40.4 | 54.3 | -13.9 | 32 |
| 14 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 47.1 | 61.8 | -14.7 | 29 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 47.5 | 63.4 | -15.9 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45.2 | 62.6 | -17.4 | 43 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38.3 | 56.9 | -18.6 | 38 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 30.5 | 56.2 | -25.7 | 26 |