Các thị trường khác nhau có hiệu quả định giá khác nhau - 1X2 có thể vượt qua trong khi thị trường mục tiêu vẫn cho thấy lợi thế.
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{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "a55b1ffda622b5c08c5b3ed1926ea1c339eb81ecff8d37f3548025969334ce3d",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.92,
"away_win_prob": 0.1944,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2752,
"fair_odds_away": 5.14,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.63,
"fair_odds_home": 1.89,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.65,
"home_win_prob": 0.5304,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Toulouse",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Nantes",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Toulouse"
},
"away_xg": 0.92,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Nantes",
"confidence": 53.0,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Nantes",
"edge": 0.1619,
"edge_gap": 0.2538,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3677,
"model_prob": 0.5296,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 19.5,
"draw": 27.6,
"home": 53.0
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Nantes"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.59
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.59,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Nantes Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.72,
"market_odds": 2.59,
"model_odds": 1.89,
"overround": 5.0,
"prob_edge": 14.3,
"value_pct": 37.0,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 9,
"away_failed_to_score": 10,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 60.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 14,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 80.8,
"no_prob": 49.9,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 50.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.92,
"home_expected": 1.65,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 7.7
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Nantes or Draw",
"prob": 80.5
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Nantes or Toulouse",
"prob": 72.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Toulouse",
"prob": 46.9
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Nantes or Draw",
"pick_prob": 80.5
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 19.4,
"draw_pct": 27.5,
"home_pct": 53.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Nantes"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.57,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.9,
"over_prob": 47.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 52.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.57,
"under_prob": 52.6
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 37.3,
"implied_prob": 38.6,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Nantes Win",
"model_prob": 53.0,
"odds": 2.59
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Toulouse",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Nantes",
"largest_move_kind": "1x2_a",
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.37,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 36.77,
"gap_pp": 16.19,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 52.96
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.6,
"gap_pp": 0.97,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 27.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 36.63,
"gap_pp": -17.16,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 19.47
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.29,
"gap_pp": -6.89,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 47.4
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 45.71,
"gap_pp": 6.89,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 52.6
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.59,
"early": 2.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 36.77,
"implied_delta_pp": -0.34,
"implied_early_pct": 37.1,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.58,
"early": 3.58,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.6,
"implied_delta_pp": -0.04,
"implied_early_pct": 26.64,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.6,
"early": 2.63,
"implied_closing_pct": 36.63,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.37,
"implied_early_pct": 36.26,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.76,
"early": 1.75,
"implied_closing_pct": 54.29,
"implied_delta_pp": -0.02,
"implied_early_pct": 54.31,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.09,
"early": 2.08,
"implied_closing_pct": 45.71,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.02,
"implied_early_pct": 45.69,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 16.2,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.65,
"homepage_pick": {
"best_bookmaker": "1xBet",
"best_odds": 2.78,
"confidence": "moderate",
"display_label": "Home Nantes",
"edge": 17.0,
"ev": 47.1,
"probability": 53.0
},
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1477,
"ev_yes": -0.1884,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1477,
"no_prob": 49.9,
"sort_key": 10282.93,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 50.1
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1421,
"ev_under": 0.1309,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1309,
"over_prob": 47.4,
"sort_key": 10117.81,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 52.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0952,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3677,
"max_ev": 0.0952,
"model_prob": 0.5296,
"side_label": "Nantes",
"sort_key": 10085.68,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 12.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 96,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/96.webp",
"away_team_name": "Toulouse",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fr.svg",
"country_name": "France",
"fixture_id": 1388000,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 83,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/83.webp",
"home_team_name": "Nantes",
"league_country": "France",
"league_id": 61,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/61.webp",
"league_name": "Ligue 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 19:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3342,
"best_odd": 2.6,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0573,
"ev": -0.1967,
"implied_prob": 0.3663,
"model_prob": 0.1947,
"p_final": 0.3089
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2956,
"best_odd": 3.58,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0029,
"ev": -0.0374,
"implied_prob": 0.266,
"model_prob": 0.2757,
"p_final": 0.2689
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3407,
"best_odd": 2.59,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0552,
"ev": 0.0952,
"implied_prob": 0.3677,
"model_prob": 0.5296,
"p_final": 0.4229
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.3,
"best_yes_odd": 1.62,
"edge_no": 0.0821,
"edge_yes": -0.0821,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1477,
"ev_yes": -0.1884,
"implied_no": 0.4169,
"implied_yes": 0.5831,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.81,
"best_under_odd": 2.15,
"edge_over": -0.0657,
"edge_under": 0.0657,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1421,
"ev_under": 0.1309,
"implied_over": 0.5397,
"implied_under": 0.4603,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.57,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1477,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.501,
"draw_prob": 0.2757,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5296,
"over_prob": 0.474,
"total_xg": 2.57,
"under_prob": 0.526,
"xg_diff": 0.73
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0552,
"ev": 0.0952,
"implied_prob": 0.3677,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.5296,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Nantes"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0821,
"ev": 0.1477,
"implied_prob": 0.4169,
"model_prob": 0.499,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0657,
"ev": 0.1309,
"implied_prob": 0.4603,
"model_prob": 0.526,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388000,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1477,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1947,
"draw": 0.2757,
"home": 0.5296
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1309,
"implied_prob": 0.4603,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.526,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1309,
"implied_prob": 0.4603,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.526,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0952,
"implied_prob": 0.3677,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.5296,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Nantes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Toulouse",
"home": "Nantes"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.073702,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1477,
"implied_prob": 0.4169,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.499,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388000,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T18:59:11.732930+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Ligue 1 — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 17 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 74 | 29 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 66 | 35 | +31 | 70 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 63 | 45 | +18 | 59 |
| 4 | Monaco | 34 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 54 |
| 5 | Rennes | 34 | 59 | 50 | +9 | 59 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 34 | 58 | 47 | +11 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 34 | 53 | 40 | +13 | 60 |
| 8 | Lille | 34 | 52 | 37 | +15 | 61 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 47 | 46 | +1 | 44 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 | Nice | 34 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 34 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 34 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Metz | 34 | 32 | 76 | -44 | 17 |
| 17 | Angers | 34 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 | Nantes | 33 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 23 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 63.7 | 27.4 | +36.3 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 66.7 | 42.7 | +24.0 | 70 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 60.2 | 42.1 | +18.1 | 59 |
| 4 | Lille | 34 | 54.6 | 36.8 | +17.8 | 61 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 34 | 51.4 | 43.9 | +7.5 | 53 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 51.1 | 43.7 | +7.4 | 60 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 56.9 | 50.0 | +6.9 | 54 |
| 8 | Rennes | 34 | 54.0 | 52.8 | +1.2 | 59 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 45.4 | 45.0 | +0.4 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 42.9 | 42.6 | +0.3 | 44 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 44.3 | 50.0 | -5.7 | 39 |
| 12 | Nantes | 33 | 33.4 | 43.5 | -10.1 | 23 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 34 | 44.4 | 56.1 | -11.7 | 44 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 38.3 | 50.9 | -12.6 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 35.5 | 48.1 | -12.6 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 43.1 | 59.2 | -16.1 | 32 |
| 17 | Angers | 34 | 32.4 | 55.4 | -23.0 | 36 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 34.4 | 62.7 | -28.3 | 17 |
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