Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Croatia. HNL / HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek

HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 16, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.14
0 0.87
xG Accuracy: 62%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "08519bd4eed4681d0b6cee97a122f6a123e085d92315cf4ee739fb4c706f0c78",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.87,
      "away_win_prob": 0.2606,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3382,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.84,
      "fair_odds_draw": 2.96,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.49,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.14,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4012,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : HNK Gorica or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "HNK Gorica"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.87,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "HNK Gorica",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0541,
        "edge_gap": 0.0638,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4557,
        "model_prob": 0.4017,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 26.0,
          "draw": 33.8,
          "home": 40.2
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.09
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.09,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "HNK Gorica Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.19,
        "market_odds": 2.09,
        "model_odds": 2.49,
        "overround": 5.0,
        "prob_edge": -7.7,
        "value_pct": -16.1,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 14,
        "away_failed_to_score": 16,
        "away_played": 34,
        "away_score_rate": 58.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 34,
        "home_score_rate": 68.0,
        "no_prob": 58.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 58.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 41.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.87,
        "home_expected": 1.14,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 15.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 13.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "HNK Gorica or Draw",
            "prob": 73.9
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "HNK Gorica or NK Osijek",
            "prob": 66.2
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or NK Osijek",
            "prob": 59.9
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "HNK Gorica or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 73.9
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 26.1,
        "draw_pct": 33.8,
        "home_pct": 40.1,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "HNK Gorica"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.01,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 32.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 67.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.01,
        "under_prob": 67.4
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 13.9,
        "implied_prob": 29.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 33.8,
        "odds": 3.37
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "NK Osijek",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "HNK Gorica",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 45.57,
          "gap_pp": -5.41,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 40.17
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 28.26,
          "gap_pp": 5.53,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 33.79
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.17,
          "gap_pp": -0.12,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 26.05
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 47.01,
          "gap_pp": -14.41,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 32.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 52.99,
          "gap_pp": 14.41,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 67.4
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.09,
          "early": 2.09,
          "implied_closing_pct": 45.57,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 45.57,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.37,
          "early": 3.37,
          "implied_closing_pct": 28.26,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 28.26,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.64,
          "early": 3.64,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.17,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.17,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.04,
          "early": 2.04,
          "implied_closing_pct": 47.01,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 47.01,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.81,
          "early": 1.81,
          "implied_closing_pct": 52.99,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 52.99,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 14.4,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 15.3
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.14,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.3154,
        "ev_under": 0.2132,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2132,
        "over_prob": 32.6,
        "sort_key": 10341.88,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 67.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1525,
        "ev_yes": -0.2296,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1525,
        "no_prob": 58.8,
        "sort_key": 10137.25,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 41.2
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0943,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4557,
        "max_ev": 0.0037,
        "model_prob": 0.4017,
        "side_label": "HNK Gorica",
        "sort_key": 5202.96,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 825.9,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 15.3
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 616,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/616.webp",
      "away_team_name": "NK Osijek",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/hr.svg",
      "country_name": "Croatia",
      "fixture_id": 1384089,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1068,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1068.webp",
      "home_team_name": "HNK Gorica",
      "league_country": "Croatia",
      "league_id": 210,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/210.webp",
      "league_name": "HNL",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2995,
            "best_odd": 3.64,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0004,
            "ev": -0.0489,
            "implied_prob": 0.2617,
            "model_prob": 0.2605,
            "p_final": 0.2613
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2751,
            "best_odd": 3.37,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0152,
            "ev": 0.0037,
            "implied_prob": 0.2826,
            "model_prob": 0.3379,
            "p_final": 0.2978
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4135,
            "best_odd": 2.09,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0224,
            "ev": -0.0943,
            "implied_prob": 0.4557,
            "model_prob": 0.4017,
            "p_final": 0.4334
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.96,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.87,
          "edge_no": 0.1023,
          "edge_yes": -0.1023,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1525,
          "ev_yes": -0.2296,
          "implied_no": 0.4857,
          "implied_yes": 0.5143,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.1,
          "best_under_odd": 1.8,
          "edge_over": -0.1372,
          "edge_under": 0.1372,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3154,
          "ev_under": 0.2132,
          "implied_over": 0.4632,
          "implied_under": 0.5368,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.01,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2132,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.412,
          "draw_prob": 0.3379,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4017,
          "over_prob": 0.326,
          "total_xg": 2.01,
          "under_prob": 0.674,
          "xg_diff": 0.27
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0224,
          "ev": -0.0943,
          "implied_prob": 0.4557,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4017,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "HNK Gorica"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1023,
          "ev": 0.1525,
          "implied_prob": 0.4857,
          "model_prob": 0.588,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1372,
          "ev": 0.2132,
          "implied_prob": 0.5368,
          "model_prob": 0.674,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1384089,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2132,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2605,
        "draw": 0.3379,
        "home": 0.4017
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1525,
        "implied_prob": 0.4857,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.588,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1525,
          "implied_prob": 0.4857,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.588,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "NK Osijek",
        "home": "HNK Gorica"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.143697,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2132,
        "implied_prob": 0.5368,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.674,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1384089,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:55:34.071570+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho HNK Gorica & NK Osijek!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
HNL HNLBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Dinamo Zagreb 36 27 5 4 86
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 20 8 8 68
3 NK Varazdin 36 15 9 12 54
4 HNK Rijeka 36 14 11 11 53
5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 10 14 12 44
6 Istra 1961 36 12 7 17 43
7 NK Slaven Belupo 36 10 11 15 41
8 HNK Gorica 36 11 8 17 41
9 NK Osijek 36 8 11 17 35
10 Vukovar 36 6 10 20 28
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Dinamo Zagreb 36 93 28 +65 86
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 61 36 +25 68
3 HNK Rijeka 36 49 36 +13 53
4 NK Varazdin 36 47 46 +1 54
5 NK Slaven Belupo 36 46 61 -15 41
6 HNK Gorica 36 40 48 -8 41
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 40 52 -12 44
8 Istra 1961 36 39 50 -11 43
9 Vukovar 36 37 73 -36 28
10 NK Osijek 36 27 49 -22 35
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Dinamo Zagreb 36 69.3 25.5 +43.8 86
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 66.5 36.7 +29.8 68
3 HNK Rijeka 36 50.7 32.0 +18.7 53
4 HNK Gorica 36 38.3 43.4 -5.1 41
5 NK Osijek 36 38.2 43.3 -5.1 35
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 41.0 46.5 -5.5 44
7 NK Varazdin 36 36.8 42.5 -5.7 54
8 NK Slaven Belupo 36 35.6 51.7 -16.1 41
9 Vukovar 36 29.1 54.0 -24.9 28
10 Istra 1961 36 31.4 61.4 -30.0 43