Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Croatia. HNL / Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo

Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 04, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.13
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 54%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 NK Slaven Belupo Istra 1961 ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "d5f132a02f5e58393e43908dcd3cfd92004ce7a61dd22e8a4ff0bbac3b71e0cb",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.4,
      "away_win_prob": 0.4148,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.298,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.41,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.36,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.48,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.13,
      "home_win_prob": 0.2872,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or NK Slaven Belupo",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "NK Slaven Belupo"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.4,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "NK Slaven Belupo",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0808,
        "edge_gap": 0.1173,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3341,
        "model_prob": 0.415,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 41.5,
          "draw": 29.8,
          "home": 28.7
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.85
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.85,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "NK Slaven Belupo Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.99,
        "market_odds": 2.85,
        "model_odds": 2.41,
        "overround": 5.0,
        "prob_edge": 6.4,
        "value_pct": 18.3,
        "value_rating": "value_bet"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 75.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 67.7,
        "no_prob": 47.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 52.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 52.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.4,
        "home_expected": 1.13,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.0
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Istra 1961 or Draw",
            "prob": 58.5
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Istra 1961 or NK Slaven Belupo",
            "prob": 70.2
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or NK Slaven Belupo",
            "prob": 71.3
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or NK Slaven Belupo",
        "pick_prob": 71.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 41.5,
        "draw_pct": 29.8,
        "home_pct": 28.7,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "NK Slaven Belupo"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.53,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 46.4,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.53,
        "under_prob": 53.6
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 18.3,
        "implied_prob": 35.1,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "NK Slaven Belupo Win",
        "model_prob": 41.5,
        "odds": 2.85
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.13,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0712,
        "ev_yes": -0.1005,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0712,
        "no_prob": 47.4,
        "sort_key": 10214.08,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 52.6
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0952,
        "ev_under": 0.0988,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0988,
        "over_prob": 46.4,
        "sort_key": 10088.92,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 53.6,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0434,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3341,
        "max_ev": 0.0434,
        "model_prob": 0.415,
        "side_label": "NK Slaven Belupo",
        "sort_key": 10039.06,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1018,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1018.webp",
      "away_team_name": "NK Slaven Belupo",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/hr.svg",
      "country_name": "Croatia",
      "fixture_id": 1384081,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1016,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1016.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Istra 1961",
      "league_country": "Croatia",
      "league_id": 210,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/210.webp",
      "league_name": "HNL",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-04 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3954,
            "best_odd": 2.85,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.032,
            "ev": 0.0434,
            "implied_prob": 0.3341,
            "model_prob": 0.415,
            "p_final": 0.3661
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2963,
            "best_odd": 3.29,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0024,
            "ev": -0.0397,
            "implied_prob": 0.2895,
            "model_prob": 0.2976,
            "p_final": 0.2919
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3899,
            "best_odd": 2.53,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0347,
            "ev": -0.1355,
            "implied_prob": 0.3764,
            "model_prob": 0.2874,
            "p_final": 0.3417
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.26,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.71,
          "edge_no": 0.0419,
          "edge_yes": -0.0419,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0712,
          "ev_yes": -0.1005,
          "implied_no": 0.4321,
          "implied_yes": 0.5679,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.95,
          "best_under_odd": 2.05,
          "edge_over": -0.0549,
          "edge_under": 0.0549,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0952,
          "ev_under": 0.0988,
          "implied_over": 0.5189,
          "implied_under": 0.4811,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.53,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0988,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.526,
          "draw_prob": 0.2976,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.415,
          "over_prob": 0.464,
          "total_xg": 2.53,
          "under_prob": 0.536,
          "xg_diff": 0.27
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.032,
          "ev": 0.0434,
          "implied_prob": 0.3341,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.415,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "NK Slaven Belupo"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0419,
          "ev": 0.0712,
          "implied_prob": 0.4321,
          "model_prob": 0.474,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0549,
          "ev": 0.0988,
          "implied_prob": 0.4811,
          "model_prob": 0.536,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1384081,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0988,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.415,
        "draw": 0.2976,
        "home": 0.2874
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0988,
        "implied_prob": 0.4811,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.536,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0988,
          "implied_prob": 0.4811,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.536,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "NK Slaven Belupo",
        "home": "Istra 1961"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.033749,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0712,
        "implied_prob": 0.4321,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.474,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1384081,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-04T15:59:04.661033+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Istra 1961 & NK Slaven Belupo!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
HNL HNLBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Dinamo Zagreb 36 27 5 4 86
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 20 8 8 68
3 NK Varazdin 36 15 9 12 54
4 HNK Rijeka 36 14 11 11 53
5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 10 14 12 44
6 Istra 1961 36 12 7 17 43
7 NK Slaven Belupo 36 10 11 15 41
8 HNK Gorica 36 11 8 17 41
9 NK Osijek 36 8 11 17 35
10 Vukovar 36 6 10 20 28
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Dinamo Zagreb 36 93 28 +65 86
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 61 36 +25 68
3 HNK Rijeka 36 49 36 +13 53
4 NK Varazdin 36 47 46 +1 54
5 NK Slaven Belupo 36 46 61 -15 41
6 HNK Gorica 36 40 48 -8 41
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 40 52 -12 44
8 Istra 1961 36 39 50 -11 43
9 Vukovar 36 37 73 -36 28
10 NK Osijek 36 27 49 -22 35
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Dinamo Zagreb 36 69.3 25.5 +43.8 86
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 66.5 36.7 +29.8 68
3 HNK Rijeka 36 50.7 32.0 +18.7 53
4 HNK Gorica 36 38.3 43.4 -5.1 41
5 NK Osijek 36 38.2 43.3 -5.1 35
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 41.0 46.5 -5.5 44
7 NK Varazdin 36 36.8 42.5 -5.7 54
8 NK Slaven Belupo 36 35.6 51.7 -16.1 41
9 Vukovar 36 29.1 54.0 -24.9 28
10 Istra 1961 36 31.4 61.4 -30.0 43