Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Piast Gliwice Hơi yêu thích
- Xác suất mô hình
- 48.5%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình nghiêng về Piast Gliwice, có sự tách biệt khiêm tốn với các kết quả khác. Theo dõi diễn biến thị trường trước khi bắt đầu.
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "6617d9bf5c304a5ae19580b4bf12f34cfdb10430ac9c9d85ccc8f1847323c061",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.26,
"away_win_prob": 0.2558,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2596,
"fair_odds_away": 3.91,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.85,
"fair_odds_home": 2.06,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.79,
"home_win_prob": 0.4847,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Piast Gliwice",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa"
},
"away_xg": 1.26,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Piast Gliwice",
"confidence": 48.5,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "Winner : Piast Gliwice",
"edge": 0.1376,
"edge_gap": 0.2255,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3474,
"model_prob": 0.485,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 25.6,
"draw": 25.9,
"home": 48.5
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Piast Gliwice"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.76
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.76,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Piast Gliwice Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.88,
"market_odds": 2.76,
"model_odds": 2.06,
"overround": 4.3,
"prob_edge": 12.3,
"value_pct": 34.0,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 9,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 71.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 10,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 83.3,
"no_prob": 38.9,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 61.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 61.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.26,
"home_expected": 1.79,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 7.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 6.7
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Piast Gliwice or Draw",
"prob": 74.5
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Piast Gliwice or Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
"prob": 74.1
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
"prob": 51.6
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Piast Gliwice or Draw",
"pick_prob": 74.5
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 25.6,
"draw_pct": 26.0,
"home_pct": 48.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Piast Gliwice"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.05,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 58.8,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 58.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.05,
"under_prob": 41.2
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 34.0,
"implied_prob": 36.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Piast Gliwice Win",
"model_prob": 48.5,
"odds": 2.76
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Piast Gliwice",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.74,
"gap_pp": 13.76,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 48.5
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.03,
"gap_pp": -5.08,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.95
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.24,
"gap_pp": -8.69,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 25.55
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.77,
"gap_pp": 12.03,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 58.8
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.23,
"gap_pp": -12.03,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 41.2
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.76,
"early": 2.76,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.74,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.74,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.09,
"early": 3.09,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.03,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.03,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.8,
"early": 2.8,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.24,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.24,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.06,
"early": 2.06,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.77,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.77,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.81,
"early": 1.81,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.23,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.23,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 13.8,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.79,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2054,
"ev_under": -0.2419,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2054,
"over_prob": 58.8,
"sort_key": 10334.86,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 41.2,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0943,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3474,
"max_ev": 0.0943,
"model_prob": 0.485,
"side_label": "Piast Gliwice",
"sort_key": 10084.87,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2026,
"ev_yes": 0.0815,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0815,
"no_prob": 38.9,
"sort_key": 10073.35,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 61.1
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 812.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3491,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3491.webp",
"away_team_name": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1380677,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 349,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/349.webp",
"home_team_name": "Piast Gliwice",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 106,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
"league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3914,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.034,
"ev": -0.1365,
"implied_prob": 0.3424,
"model_prob": 0.2555,
"p_final": 0.3084
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2772,
"best_odd": 3.09,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0141,
"ev": -0.0848,
"implied_prob": 0.3103,
"model_prob": 0.2595,
"p_final": 0.2962
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3571,
"best_odd": 2.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0491,
"ev": 0.0943,
"implied_prob": 0.3474,
"model_prob": 0.485,
"p_final": 0.3965
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.05,
"best_yes_odd": 1.77,
"edge_no": -0.0752,
"edge_yes": 0.0752,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2026,
"ev_yes": 0.0815,
"implied_no": 0.4642,
"implied_yes": 0.5358,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.05,
"best_under_odd": 1.84,
"edge_over": 0.1141,
"edge_under": -0.1141,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2054,
"ev_under": -0.2419,
"implied_over": 0.4739,
"implied_under": 0.5261,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.05,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2054,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.611,
"draw_prob": 0.2595,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.485,
"over_prob": 0.588,
"total_xg": 3.05,
"under_prob": 0.412,
"xg_diff": 0.53
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0491,
"ev": 0.0943,
"implied_prob": 0.3474,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.485,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Piast Gliwice"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0752,
"ev": 0.0815,
"implied_prob": 0.5358,
"model_prob": 0.611,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1141,
"ev": 0.2054,
"implied_prob": 0.4739,
"model_prob": 0.588,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1380677,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2054,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2555,
"draw": 0.2595,
"home": 0.485
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0815,
"implied_prob": 0.5358,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.611,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0815,
"implied_prob": 0.5358,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.611,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Rak\u00f3w Cz\u0119stochowa",
"home": "Piast Gliwice"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.150969,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2054,
"implied_prob": 0.4739,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.588,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1380677,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T16:01:05.156343+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Piast Gliwice & Raków Częstochowa!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Ekstraklasa — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56 |
| 4 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 18 | Nieciecza | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 62 | 45 | +17 | 60 |
| 2 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 38 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 56 | 41 | +15 | 56 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 44 |
| 5 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 51 | 40 | +11 | 55 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 51 | 45 | +6 | 50 |
| 7 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 56 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
| 10 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 48 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 34 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 34 |
| 12 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 42 | 37 | +5 | 49 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 43 |
| 16 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 42 |
| 17 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 46 |
| 18 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 36 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 61.0 | 37.8 | +23.2 | 60 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 46.6 | 35.5 | +11.1 | 49 |
| 3 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 52.6 | 43.7 | +8.9 | 55 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 46.1 | 40.2 | +5.9 | 56 |
| 5 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 51.5 | 46.0 | +5.5 | 38 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 45.8 | 40.9 | +4.9 | 41 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 53.4 | 49.1 | +4.3 | 45 |
| 8 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 39.5 | 36.4 | +3.1 | 42 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 38.9 | 37.5 | +1.4 | 42 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 44.9 | 45.4 | -0.5 | 46 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 49.9 | 51.2 | -1.3 | 43 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 42.0 | 46.5 | -4.5 | 50 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 42.7 | 48.4 | -5.7 | 44 |
| 14 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 44.4 | 50.6 | -6.2 | 56 |
| 15 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 35.7 | 44.8 | -9.1 | 48 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 36.6 | 49.7 | -13.1 | 36 |
| 17 | Nieciecza | 34 | 44.5 | 58.1 | -13.6 | 34 |
| 18 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 40.0 | 54.5 | -14.5 | 43 |
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