Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow

Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 16, 2026 - 12:45
3 1.18
3 1.32
xG Accuracy: 38%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Cracovia Krakow Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "0e0291683ef035978d92e5931b4a20100913eac726c0e2b4a88d01c7b145f3ac",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.32,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3821,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3025,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.62,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.31,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.17,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.18,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3154,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Cracovia Krakow",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Cracovia Krakow"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.32,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Cracovia Krakow",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0029,
        "edge_gap": 0.0663,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3849,
        "model_prob": 0.382,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 38.2,
          "draw": 30.2,
          "home": 31.6
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.5
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.5,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Cracovia Krakow Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.6,
        "market_odds": 2.5,
        "model_odds": 2.62,
        "overround": 3.9,
        "prob_edge": -1.8,
        "value_pct": -4.6,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 14,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 73.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 69.3,
        "no_prob": 47.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 52.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 52.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.32,
        "home_expected": 1.18,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Motor Lublin or Draw",
            "prob": 61.7
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Motor Lublin or Cracovia Krakow",
            "prob": 69.7
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Cracovia Krakow",
            "prob": 68.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Motor Lublin or Cracovia Krakow",
        "pick_prob": 69.7
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 38.2,
        "draw_pct": 30.2,
        "home_pct": 31.5,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Cracovia Krakow"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.5,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "over_prob": 45.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 54.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.5,
        "under_prob": 54.4
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": -4.6,
        "implied_prob": 40.0,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Cracovia Krakow Win",
        "model_prob": 38.2,
        "odds": 2.5
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Cracovia Krakow",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Motor Lublin",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 32.18,
          "gap_pp": -0.61,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 31.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.33,
          "gap_pp": 0.9,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 30.23
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 38.49,
          "gap_pp": -0.29,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 38.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 52.06,
          "gap_pp": -6.46,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 45.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 47.94,
          "gap_pp": 6.46,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 54.4
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.99,
          "early": 2.99,
          "implied_closing_pct": 32.18,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 32.18,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.28,
          "early": 3.28,
          "implied_closing_pct": 29.33,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 29.33,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.5,
          "early": 2.5,
          "implied_closing_pct": 38.49,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 38.49,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.86,
          "early": 1.86,
          "implied_closing_pct": 52.06,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 52.06,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.02,
          "early": 2.02,
          "implied_closing_pct": 47.94,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 47.94,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 6.5,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.18,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1564,
        "ev_under": 0.1696,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1696,
        "over_prob": 45.6,
        "sort_key": 10302.64,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 54.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0948,
        "ev_yes": -0.1354,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0948,
        "no_prob": 47.6,
        "sort_key": 10085.32,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 52.4
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0411,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3849,
        "max_ev": -0.0291,
        "model_prob": 0.382,
        "side_label": "Cracovia Krakow",
        "sort_key": 1792.725,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 818.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.8
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 350,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/350.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Cracovia Krakow",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1380676,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 14562,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14562.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Motor Lublin",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 106,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
      "league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.448,
            "best_odd": 2.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0013,
            "ev": -0.0411,
            "implied_prob": 0.3849,
            "model_prob": 0.382,
            "p_final": 0.3836
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.296,
            "best_odd": 3.28,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0027,
            "ev": -0.0291,
            "implied_prob": 0.2933,
            "model_prob": 0.3023,
            "p_final": 0.296
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4459,
            "best_odd": 2.99,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0027,
            "ev": -0.046,
            "implied_prob": 0.3218,
            "model_prob": 0.3157,
            "p_final": 0.3191
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.3,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.65,
          "edge_no": 0.0589,
          "edge_yes": -0.0589,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0948,
          "ev_yes": -0.1354,
          "implied_no": 0.4171,
          "implied_yes": 0.5829,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.85,
          "best_under_odd": 2.15,
          "edge_over": -0.0836,
          "edge_under": 0.0836,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1564,
          "ev_under": 0.1696,
          "implied_over": 0.5396,
          "implied_under": 0.4604,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.5,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1696,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.524,
          "draw_prob": 0.3023,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.382,
          "over_prob": 0.456,
          "total_xg": 2.5,
          "under_prob": 0.544,
          "xg_diff": 0.14
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0013,
          "ev": -0.0411,
          "implied_prob": 0.3849,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.382,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Cracovia Krakow"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0589,
          "ev": 0.0948,
          "implied_prob": 0.4171,
          "model_prob": 0.476,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0836,
          "ev": 0.1696,
          "implied_prob": 0.4604,
          "model_prob": 0.544,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1380676,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1696,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.382,
        "draw": 0.3023,
        "home": 0.3157
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Cracovia Krakow",
        "home": "Motor Lublin"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.056834,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1696,
        "implied_prob": 0.4604,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.544,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1380676,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T16:01:06.889986+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Motor Lublin & Cracovia Krakow!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
Ekstraklasa EkstraklasaBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Lech Poznan 34 16 12 6 60
2 Gornik Zabrze 34 16 8 10 56
3 Jagiellonia 34 15 11 8 56
4 Raków Częstochowa 34 16 7 11 55
5 GKS Katowice 34 14 8 12 50
6 Legia Warszawa 34 12 13 9 49
7 Zaglebie Lubin 34 13 9 12 48
8 Wisla Plock 34 12 10 12 46
9 Pogon Szczecin 34 13 6 15 45
10 Radomiak Radom 34 11 11 12 44
11 Korona Kielce 34 11 10 13 43
12 Motor Lublin 34 10 13 11 43
13 Cracovia Krakow 34 9 15 10 42
14 Widzew Łódź 34 12 6 16 42
15 Piast Gliwice 34 11 8 15 41
16 Lechia Gdansk 34 12 7 15 38
17 Arka Gdynia 34 9 9 16 36
18 Nieciecza 34 9 7 18 34
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Lech Poznan 34 62 45 +17 60
2 Lechia Gdansk 34 62 65 -3 38
3 Jagiellonia 34 56 41 +15 56
4 Radomiak Radom 34 52 53 -1 44
5 Raków Częstochowa 34 51 40 +11 55
6 GKS Katowice 34 51 45 +6 50
7 Gornik Zabrze 34 50 38 +12 56
8 Pogon Szczecin 34 47 49 -2 45
9 Motor Lublin 34 46 53 -7 43
10 Zaglebie Lubin 34 45 38 +7 48
11 Nieciecza 34 43 65 -22 34
12 Legia Warszawa 34 42 37 +5 49
13 Piast Gliwice 34 42 46 -4 41
14 Widzew Łódź 34 41 41 0 42
15 Korona Kielce 34 40 40 0 43
16 Cracovia Krakow 34 39 42 -3 42
17 Wisla Plock 34 34 38 -4 46
18 Arka Gdynia 34 34 61 -27 36
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Lech Poznan 34 61.0 37.8 +23.2 60
2 Legia Warszawa 34 46.6 35.5 +11.1 49
3 Raków Częstochowa 34 52.6 43.7 +8.9 55
4 Gornik Zabrze 34 46.1 40.2 +5.9 56
5 Lechia Gdansk 34 51.5 46.0 +5.5 38
6 Piast Gliwice 34 45.8 40.9 +4.9 41
7 Pogon Szczecin 34 53.4 49.1 +4.3 45
8 Cracovia Krakow 34 39.5 36.4 +3.1 42
9 Widzew Łódź 34 38.9 37.5 +1.4 42
10 Wisla Plock 34 44.9 45.4 -0.5 46
11 Korona Kielce 34 49.9 51.2 -1.3 43
12 GKS Katowice 34 42.0 46.5 -4.5 50
13 Radomiak Radom 34 42.7 48.4 -5.7 44
14 Jagiellonia 34 44.4 50.6 -6.2 56
15 Zaglebie Lubin 34 35.7 44.8 -9.1 48
16 Arka Gdynia 34 36.6 49.7 -13.1 36
17 Nieciecza 34 44.5 58.1 -13.6 34
18 Motor Lublin 34 40.0 54.5 -14.5 43