Đánh giá dự báo
Dự báo đáng tin cậy
- Yêu thích
- Korona Kielce Trận đấu cân bằng
- Xác suất mô hình
- 44.4%
- Thỏa thuận thị trường
- —
- Xác thực
- Chưa giải quyết
Bản tóm tắt:
Mô hình và thị trường đều nghiêng về Korona Kielce, nhưng không cho thấy nhóm nào được yêu thích hơn. Hòa và {giây} vẫn hợp lý - đây là một trận đấu tương đối cởi mở.
Đăng nhập để xem phán quyết cá cược đầy đủ
Đăng ký miễn phí để mở khóa phán quyết cá cược cuối cùng — thị trường nào vượt qua, +EV có thể ở đâu và cảnh báo steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "a7fa24fc67ac932659d75b2abaf3cfb68336a6bb07ab0a1fe1f318687a617f4d",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.14,
"away_win_prob": 0.2692,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2865,
"fair_odds_away": 3.72,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.49,
"fair_odds_home": 2.25,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.52,
"home_win_prob": 0.4444,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a"
},
"away_xg": 1.14,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Korona Kielce",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.061,
"edge_gap": 0.1579,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3836,
"model_prob": 0.4445,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 26.9,
"draw": 28.7,
"home": 44.5
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.51
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.51,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Korona Kielce Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.61,
"market_odds": 2.51,
"model_odds": 2.25,
"overround": 3.9,
"prob_edge": 4.6,
"value_pct": 11.6,
"value_rating": "value_bet"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 10,
"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 68.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 9,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 78.1,
"no_prob": 45.3,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.7,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.7
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.14,
"home_expected": 1.52,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Korona Kielce or Draw",
"prob": 73.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Korona Kielce or Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
"prob": 71.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
"prob": 55.5
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Korona Kielce or Draw",
"pick_prob": 73.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 26.9,
"draw_pct": 28.6,
"home_pct": 44.4,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Korona Kielce"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.66,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 49.6,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.3,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.66,
"under_prob": 50.3
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 11.6,
"implied_prob": 39.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Korona Kielce Win",
"model_prob": 44.4,
"odds": 2.51
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Korona Kielce",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 38.36,
"gap_pp": 6.1,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 44.45
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 32.2,
"gap_pp": -3.54,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 28.66
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 29.44,
"gap_pp": -2.56,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 26.89
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 38.77,
"gap_pp": 10.83,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 49.6
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 61.23,
"gap_pp": -10.93,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 50.3
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.51,
"early": 2.51,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.36,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.36,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 2.99,
"early": 2.99,
"implied_closing_pct": 32.2,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 32.2,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.27,
"early": 3.27,
"implied_closing_pct": 29.44,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 29.44,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.48,
"early": 2.48,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.77,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.77,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.57,
"early": 1.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 61.23,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 61.23,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 10.8,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.1
}
},
"home_xg": 1.52,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2301,
"ev_under": -0.1298,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2301,
"over_prob": 49.6,
"sort_key": 10357.09,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 50.3,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1348,
"ev_yes": 0.1214,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1214,
"no_prob": 45.3,
"sort_key": 10109.26,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.7
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0253,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3836,
"max_ev": 0.0253,
"model_prob": 0.4445,
"side_label": "Korona Kielce",
"sort_key": 5220.24,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.3,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.1
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 6962,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6962.webp",
"away_team_name": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1380674,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 346,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/346.webp",
"home_team_name": "Korona Kielce",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 106,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
"league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2885,
"best_odd": 3.27,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0074,
"ev": -0.0613,
"implied_prob": 0.2944,
"model_prob": 0.2689,
"p_final": 0.2871
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4261,
"best_odd": 2.99,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0151,
"ev": -0.0823,
"implied_prob": 0.322,
"model_prob": 0.2866,
"p_final": 0.3069
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4089,
"best_odd": 2.51,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0249,
"ev": 0.0253,
"implied_prob": 0.3836,
"model_prob": 0.4445,
"p_final": 0.4085
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.91,
"best_yes_odd": 2.05,
"edge_no": -0.0799,
"edge_yes": 0.0799,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1348,
"ev_yes": 0.1214,
"implied_no": 0.5329,
"implied_yes": 0.4671,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.48,
"best_under_odd": 1.73,
"edge_over": 0.0956,
"edge_under": -0.0966,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2301,
"ev_under": -0.1298,
"implied_over": 0.4004,
"implied_under": 0.5996,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.66,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2301,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.547,
"draw_prob": 0.2866,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4445,
"over_prob": 0.496,
"total_xg": 2.66,
"under_prob": 0.503,
"xg_diff": 0.38
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0249,
"ev": 0.0253,
"implied_prob": 0.3836,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4445,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Korona Kielce"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0799,
"ev": 0.1214,
"implied_prob": 0.4671,
"model_prob": 0.547,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0956,
"ev": 0.2301,
"implied_prob": 0.4004,
"model_prob": 0.496,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1380674,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2301,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2689,
"draw": 0.2866,
"home": 0.4445
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1214,
"implied_prob": 0.4671,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.547,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1214,
"implied_prob": 0.4671,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.547,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
"home": "Korona Kielce"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.11413,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2301,
"implied_prob": 0.4004,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.496,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1380674,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T16:00:59.730046+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Korona Kielce & Widzew Łódź!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Ekstraklasa — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56 |
| 4 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 18 | Nieciecza | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 62 | 45 | +17 | 60 |
| 2 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 38 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 56 | 41 | +15 | 56 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 44 |
| 5 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 51 | 40 | +11 | 55 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 51 | 45 | +6 | 50 |
| 7 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 56 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
| 10 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 48 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 34 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 34 |
| 12 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 42 | 37 | +5 | 49 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 43 |
| 16 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 42 |
| 17 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 46 |
| 18 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 36 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 61.0 | 37.8 | +23.2 | 60 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 34 | 46.6 | 35.5 | +11.1 | 49 |
| 3 | Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 52.6 | 43.7 | +8.9 | 55 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 46.1 | 40.2 | +5.9 | 56 |
| 5 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 51.5 | 46.0 | +5.5 | 38 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 45.8 | 40.9 | +4.9 | 41 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 53.4 | 49.1 | +4.3 | 45 |
| 8 | Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 39.5 | 36.4 | +3.1 | 42 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 34 | 38.9 | 37.5 | +1.4 | 42 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 44.9 | 45.4 | -0.5 | 46 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 49.9 | 51.2 | -1.3 | 43 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 42.0 | 46.5 | -4.5 | 50 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 42.7 | 48.4 | -5.7 | 44 |
| 14 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 44.4 | 50.6 | -6.2 | 56 |
| 15 | Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 35.7 | 44.8 | -9.1 | 48 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 36.6 | 49.7 | -13.1 | 36 |
| 17 | Nieciecza | 34 | 44.5 | 58.1 | -13.6 | 34 |
| 18 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 40.0 | 54.5 | -14.5 | 43 |